When the 2022 Oscars nominations are announced by Tracee Ellis Ross and Leslie Jordan on Tuesday, February 8, watch for “Dune” and “West Side Story” to dominate. These films are predicted to top all others that premiered in theaters or streamed online within the eligibility period (March 1, 2021 to December 31, 2021), which was two months shorter than usual after last year’s proceedings being elongated because of Covid-19. Below, see the film-by-film breakdown of all of the features that are expected to receive bids this year, per Gold Derby’s predictions.
SEE all of Gold Derby’s predictions slugfests
Both of our predicted leaders are expected to earn bids for picture and director — Denis Villeneuve for “Dune” and Steven Spielberg for “West Side Story” — plus oodles of below-the-line support. In addition, “Dune” looks to score a screenplay nom while “West Side Story” is a front-runner for supporting actress.
Our Oscar racetrack odds are based on the combined forecasts of 8,300+ Gold Derby readers, including Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting last year’s nominations, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc.
Other films we’re forecasting to earn major love on nominations morning are: “Belfast” (nine bids), “The Power of the Dog” (nine), “King Richard” (five), “Licorice Pizza” (five), “Don’t Look Up” (four) and “House of Gucci” (four). Have you made YOUR Oscar predictions yet? There’s still time to prove you’re the smartest prognosticator on the planet, so start right now.
Here are Gold Derby’s 2022 Oscar nominations predictions by film:
11 NOMINATIONS
“Dune”
Best Picture
Best Director (Denis Villeneuve)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Film Editing
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Best Production Design
Best Score
Best Sound
Best Visual Effects
10 NOMINATIONS
“West Side Story”
Best Picture
Best Director (Steven Spielberg)
Best Supporting Actress (Ariana DeBose)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Film Editing
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Best Production Design
Best Sound
9 NOMINATIONS
“Belfast”
Best Picture
Best Director (Kenneth Branagh)
Best Supporting Actress (Caitriona Balfe)
Best Supporting Actor (Ciaran Hinds)
Best Original Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Film Editing
Best Song (“Down to Joy”)
Best Sound
“The Power of the Dog”
Best Picture
Best Director (Jane Campion)
Best Actor (Benedict Cumberbatch)
Best Supporting Actress (Kirsten Dunst)
Best Supporting Actor (Kodi Smit-McPhee)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Cinematography
Best Film Editing
Best Score
5 NOMINATIONS
“King Richard”
Best Picture
Best Actor (Will Smith)
Best Supporting Actress (Aunjanue Ellis)
Best Original Screenplay
Best Song (“Be Alive”)
“Licorice Pizza”
Best Picture
Best Director (Paul Thomas Anderson)
Best Supporting Actor (Bradley Cooper)
Best Original Screenplay
Best Film Editing
4 NOMINATIONS
“Don’t Look Up”
Best Picture
Best Original Screenplay
Best Score
Best Song (“Just Look Up”)
“House of Gucci”
Best Actress (Lady Gaga)
Best Supporting Actor (Jared Leto)
Best Costume Design
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
3 NOMINATIONS
“Being the Ricardos”
Best Actress (Nicole Kidman)
Best Actor (Javier Bardem)
Best Original Screenplay
“CODA”
Best Picture
Best Supporting Actor (Troy Kotsur)
Best Adapted Screenplay
“Flee”
Best Animated Feature
Best Documentary Feature
Best International Film
“tick, tick… Boom!”
Best Picture
Best Actor (Andrew Garfield)
Best Sound
“The Tragedy of Macbeth”
Best Actor (Denzel Washington)
Best Cinematography
Best Production Design
2 NOMINATIONS
“Cruella”
Best Costume Design
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“Drive My Car”
Best Picture
Best International Film
“Encanto”
Best Song (“Dos Oruguitas”)
Best Animated Feature
“The Eyes of Tammy Faye”
Best Actress (Jessica Chastain)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“The French Dispatch”
Best Production Design
Best Score
“The Lost Daughter”
Best Actress (Olivia Colman)
Best Adapted Screenplay
“Nightmare Alley”
Best Costume Design
Best Production Design
“No Time to Die”
Best Song (“No Time to Die”)
Best Sound
1 NOMINATION
“Ascension”
Best Documentary Feature
“Godzilla vs. Kong”
Best Visual Effects
“The Hand of God”
Best International Film
“A Hero”
Best International Film
“Luca”
Best Animated Feature
“The Matrix Resurrections”
Best Visual Effects
“The Mitchells vs the Machines”
Best Animated Feature
“Parallel Mothers”
Best Score
“Passing”
Best Supporting Actress (Ruth Negga)
“Procession”
Best Documentary Feature
“Raya and the Last Dragon”
Best Animated Feature
“The Rescue”
Best Documentary Feature
“Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings”
Best Visual Effects
“Spider-Man: No Way Home”
Best Visual Effects
“Spencer”
Best Actress (Kristen Stewart)
“Summer of Soul”
Best Documentary Feature
“The Worst Person in the World”
Best International Film
As for the three shorts categories, here are Gold Derby’s predicted nominees:
Best Animated Short
“Us Again”
“Robin Robin”
“The Windshield Wiper”
“Step Into the River”
“Only a Child”
Best Documentary Short
“Three Songs for Benazir”
“The Queen of Basketball”
“Coded: The Hidden Love of J.C. Leyendecker”
“When We Were Bullies”
“Terror Contagion”
Best Live Action Short
“When the Sun Sets”
“The Long Goodbye”
“Tala’vision”
“Censor of Dreams”
“Frimas”
PREDICT the 2022 Oscar nominees through February 8
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