The 2023 Oscar nominations went pretty much as we predicted outside of some acting categories. Our combined odds correctly predicted 88% of the nominees for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Original Screenplay. However, a few surprises did sneak onto the roster of contenders and a couple shocking omissions made our list of Academy Awards snubs. While nine of our Top 10 predicted films earned spots in the Best Picture lineup, “The Whale” was replaced by “Triangle of Sadness.”
The biggest jaw-dropper came from the directors branch who snubbed BAFTA nominee Edward Berger (“All Quiet on the Western Front”) who was sitting in fifth place in our odds as well as James Cameron (“Avatar: The Way of Water”) who was in sixth. Instead, Ruben Östlund took a slot for “Triangle of Sadness,” despite ranking 16th in our odds.
We aced the nominees for Best Original Screenplay in our predictions so there were no surprises there. One major shock was “Top Gun: Maverick” overtaking “The Whale” for a Best Adapted Screenplay nod. Ehren Kruger, Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie wrote the blockbuster film which also contends for Best Picture.
Scroll down for our list of the top 20 biggest movie, director and writer Oscar snubs, and check out the full list of the 95th annual Academy Awards nominees.
NOT NOMINATED: BEST PICTURE
“Black Panther: Wakanda Forever”
NOT NOMINATED: BEST DIRECTOR
Edward Berger (“All Quiet on the Western Front”)
James Cameron (“Avatar: The Way of Water”)
Sarah Polley (“Women Talking”)
Baz Luhrmann (“Elvis”)
Joseph Kosinski (“Top Gun: Maverick”)
NOT NOMINATED: BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
“Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio”
“Bones and All”
“Catherine Called Birdy”
NOT NOMINATED: BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
“Decision to Leave”
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