Experts' Predictions
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Eric Deggans NPR
Updated Mar 12, 2023 4:21 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Hanh Nguyen Salon
Updated Mar 12, 2023 1:57 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Jazz Tangcay Variety
Updated Mar 12, 2023 11:45 am
  • Colin Farrell
    1

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Austin Butler
    2

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    3

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Marcus Jones Indiewire
Updated Mar 12, 2023 11:16 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Scott Mantz KTLA-TV
Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:08 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Perri Nemiroff Collider
Updated Mar 11, 2023 8:55 pm
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    2

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Austin Butler
    3

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Dave Karger TCM
Updated Mar 11, 2023 8:43 pm
Tim Gray Variety
Updated Mar 11, 2023 6:36 pm
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    2

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    3

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Austin Butler
    4

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Nikki Novak Fandango
Updated Mar 11, 2023 3:35 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Paul Mescal
    4

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

  • Bill Nighy
    5

    Bill Nighy (Living)

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Susan King Gold Derby
Updated Mar 11, 2023 12:07 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Bill Nighy
    3

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Colin Farrell
    4

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Keith Simanton IMDb
Updated Mar 10, 2023 4:29 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Grae Drake Moviefone
Updated Mar 10, 2023 1:45 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Kevin Polowy Yahoo
Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:09 pm
  • Colin Farrell
    1

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Austin Butler
    3

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Paul Mescal
    4

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

  • Bill Nighy
    5

    Bill Nighy (Living)

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Peter Travers ABC
Updated Mar 10, 2023 11:00 am
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Austin Butler
    2

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Christopher Rosen Gold Derby
Updated Mar 10, 2023 10:29 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Wilson Morales BlackFilmandTV
Updated Mar 10, 2023 8:12 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Tariq Khan Fox TV
Updated Mar 10, 2023 7:41 am
  • Colin Farrell
    1

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Austin Butler
    2

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    3

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

    • My Reasons: You probably saw my article explaining why Farrell will pull off a shocker. Sorry that I can't respond to all of your messages. But here are a few more points: 1. I'm detecting a serious case of "transformation" fatigue. Voters are tired of rewarding the person who transforms the most. They want to honor the one who acts the best. 2. Farrell only lost BAFTA because Nighy cut heavily into his vote there. 3. Farrell will overperform with the international bloc. 4. Farrell's high "cool" factor.
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    2 Comments
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    2 comments on Tariq Khan's predictions. Hide
    OPKIOJDJEFEJOJJkopd
      - Mar 10, 2023 4:00 pm
    yes and i don't get why he thinks Colin will "overperform with the international bloc" while Paul Mescal and Bill Nighy are still in the competition. If Colin didn't manage to win at home it seems more than a challenge to win the American Oscar. Furthermore khan was the one who was 100 % sure of a Carey Mulligan win ...
    Marcel_Carneiro_1
      - Feb 27, 2023 8:58 am
    I am really curious as to why Farrell. He did not win SAG or BAFTA. Is this based on polling Oscar voters?
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Matt Neglia Next Best Picture
Updated Mar 10, 2023 4:32 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Anne Thompson Indiewire
Updated Mar 9, 2023 3:25 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Erik Davis Fandango
Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:27 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

    • 1 Comments
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    1 comments on Erik Davis's predictions. Hide
    Tyler_Jewell
      - Mar 9, 2023 12:40 pm
    I want to win Austin Butler in Elvis (2022) at the Oscars. :)
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Thelma Adams Gold Derby
Updated Mar 9, 2023 9:19 am
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Austin Butler
    2

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Paul Mescal
    4

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

  • Bill Nighy
    5

    Bill Nighy (Living)

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Clayton Davis Variety
Updated Mar 8, 2023 7:49 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Colin Farrell
    2

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Brendan Fraser
    3

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

    • 1 Comments
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    1 comments on Clayton Davis's predictions. Hide
    Tyler_Jewell
      - Feb 28, 2023 6:23 pm
    I want to win Austin Butler. :)
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Claudia Puig KPCC
Updated Mar 8, 2023 6:38 pm
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Austin Butler
    2

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Sasha Stone Awards Daily
Updated Mar 8, 2023 3:32 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Pete Hammond Deadline Hollywood
Updated Mar 8, 2023 2:41 pm
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Joyce Eng Gold Derby
Updated Mar 8, 2023 9:05 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Andrea Mandell People Magazine
Updated Mar 5, 2023 3:55 am
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    2

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Austin Butler
    3

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Susan Wloszczyna Gold Derby
Updated Mar 3, 2023 10:52 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Brian Truitt USA Today
Updated Feb 26, 2023 3:06 pm
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Austin Butler
    2

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Shawn Edwards WDAF-TV Fox
Updated Feb 20, 2023 11:48 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Paul Mescal
    4

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

  • Bill Nighy
    5

    Bill Nighy (Living)

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Michael Musto Queerty
Updated Feb 19, 2023 10:24 am
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    2

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Austin Butler
    3

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Tom O'Neil Gold Derby
Updated Feb 12, 2023 9:09 am
  • Austin Butler
    1

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Brendan Fraser
    2

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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Ray Richmond
Updated Jan 25, 2023 11:33 am
  • Brendan Fraser
    1

    Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

  • Austin Butler
    2

    Austin Butler (Elvis)

  • Colin Farrell
    3

    Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)

  • Bill Nighy
    4

    Bill Nighy (Living)

  • Paul Mescal
    5

    Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

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