Predicted Winners Odds Graph
Oscars Nominations 2022
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Best Picture
Will this be the year Netflix finally wins Best Picture? According to the Oscars odds, it's likely: "The Power of the Dog" has held the top spot in the predictions for weeks, and the film's strong showing at the guilds -- including a Producers Guild Awards nomination -- has done nothing to dim the enthusiasm. But if "The Power of the Dog" were to fall, there are a handful of worthy choices that could step up, including "Belfast" and "West Side Story."
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Best Director
Jane Campion should become the first woman ever nominated twice in the Best Director category thanks to "The Power of the Dog." Campion, who won a screenwriting Oscar for "The Piano" and was also a Best Director nominee for that film, is the top pick among users and experts for the Netflix film and is widely expected to win.
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Best Actress
Last year, Kristen Stewart was dominating the race thanks to her performance in "Spencer." But after Stewart was snubbed by the Screen Actors Guild Awards, her support crumbled. Stewart now sits in fourth place. That leaves a tight Best Actress race wide open with two former winners currently occupying the top spots: Olivia Colman and Nicole Kidman.
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Best Actor
Will Smith has received two Best Actor nominations in his career, and the consensus among experts and users is that Smith should land his third for "King Richard." The blockbuster actor is currently a heavy favorite ahead of Benedict Cumberbatch ("The Power of the Dog") and Andrew Garfield ("tick, tick... boom").
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Best Supporting Actress
At the Oscars in 1962, Rita Moreno won Best Supporting Actress for playing Anita in "West Side Story." This year, Ariana DeBose is predicted to follow in Moreno's footsteps. The "West Side Story" star has stepped ahead of Kirsten Dunst ("The Power of the Dog") and is the pick to win.
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Best Supporting Actor
The Best Supporting Actor race is the most wide-open of any acting competition this year, but not when it comes to the predicted winner. "The Power of the Dog" star Kodi Smit-McPhee has dominated here for months and is the choice to win.
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Best Adapted Screenplay
Jane Campion won Best Original Screenplay at the 1994 Oscars for "The Piano" and she remains the odds-on favorite to win in Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2022 Oscars for "The Power of the Dog."
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Best Original Screenplay
Is this the time for Paul Thomas Anderson to win his first Oscar after eight nominations? The auteur's new film, "Licorice Pizza," is a slight favorite in the Best Original Screenplay category over Kenneth Branagh's autobiographical Best Picture contender "Belfast."
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Best Cinematography
"Dune" cinematographer Greig Fraser, who shot "Zero Dark Thirty" and "Vice," could win his first Oscar for Denis Villeneuve's "Dune."
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Best Costume Design
Two-time Oscar winner Jenny Beaven crafted the wild costumes for Disney's "Cruella" and the experts and users agree she could win a third award for the Emma Stone film.
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Best Film Editing
Two-time Oscar nominee Joe Walker is the favorite here for "Dune," but Kenneth Branagh's Best Picture favorite "Belfast" could give Úna Ní Dhonghaíle her first nomination and win.
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Best Makeup and Hairstyling
The hair and makeup team that helped transform Best Actress contender Jessica Chastain into Tammy Faye Bakker for "The Eyes of Tammy Faye" is the odds-on favorite to win here.
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Best Production Design
Two-time Oscar nominee Patrice Vermette is the favorite here for "Dune," which most users and experts expect to be a strong contender in the below-the-line categories.
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Best Score
Legendary composer Hans Zimmer is expected to win his second Academy Award for his booming score to "Dune." But Johnny Greenwood could sneak past Zimmer for "The Power of the Dog."
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Best Song
Billie Eilish's theme from "No Time to Die" is picked to win here, which would give the James Bond franchise its third win in the Best Song category in nine years.
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Best Sound
"Dune" again tops the list with Steven Spielberg's musical "West Side Story" a strong No. 2 choice.
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Best Visual Effects
Is anyone surprised to see "Dune" favored again among experts and users? Unlikely, but if the Frank Herbert adaptation is going to win in 2022 it will need to top three Marvel contenders plus a new "Matrix" movie among other blockbusters.
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Best Animated Feature
An incredibly competitive category has "Encanto" in the top spot among users and experts.
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Best Documentary Feature
The acclaimed animated film "Flee" is the top pick in the documentary category, with fellow Sundance 2021 debut "Summer of Soul" sitting close behind in second.
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Best International Film
Acclaimed international feature "Drive My Car" leads the way here.
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Best Animated Short
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Best Documentary Short
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Best Live Action Short
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