2023 Golden Globes TV Predictions: Best Drama Series [Updated January 6]

The 2023 Golden Globes nominations were announced on December 12 in film and television, as voted on by members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association. What will prevail in the category of Best Drama Series during NBC’s ceremony on Tuesday, January 10? This year’s five nominees are: AMC’s “Better Call Saul,” Netflix’s “The Crown,” HBO’s “House of the Dragon,” Netflix’s “Ozark” and Apple TV Plus’s “Severance.”

Scroll down to see Gold Derby’s 2023 Golden Globes TV Predictions for Best Drama Series, listed in order of their racetrack odds. Our Golden Globe odds are based on the combined forecasts of thousands of readers, including Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc.

SEE 2023 Golden Globes nominations list: Nominees for 80th annual ceremony

2023 Golden Globes TV Predictions: Best Drama Series

Predicted Winners (in odds order)

1. “Severance” — 17/5 odds
The freshman sci-fi hit stars Adam Scott as a worker at Lumon Industries, which requires its employees to undergo memory wipes when they arrive at work so they can stay focused. Britt Lower plays a confused new co-worker while Patricia Arquette takes on the role of their mysterious boss. Besides the all-important series bid, “Severance” also picked up Globe nominations for Scott in Drama Actor and John Turturro (as a fellow severed worker) in Drama/Comedy Supporting Actor.
Experts predicting: Christopher Rosen (Gold Derby), Keith Simanton (IMDb), Susan King (Gold Derby)

2. “The Crown” — 4/1 odds
The fifth season of Netflix’s regal drama swapped out the main cast members yet again, with Imelda Staunton taking over as Queen Elizabeth II, Jonathan Pryce stepping in as Prince Philip and Lesley Manville now portraying Princess Margaret. “The Crown” is a favorite of Globes voters, having previously won this category twice before, in 2016 and 2020. Its four bids this year are for series, actress (Staunton), supporting actor (Pryce) and supporting actress (Elizabeth Debicki as Princess Diana).
Experts predicting: Peter Travers (ABC), Susan Wloszczyna (Gold Derby)

3. “House of the Dragon” — 4/1 odds
The third place contender is HBO’s “House of the Dragon,” which takes place about 200 years before the events of awards juggernaut “Game of Thrones.” “Dragon’s” lead cast members are Paddy Considine as King Viserys Targaryen and Emma D’Arcy as the adult Princess Rhaenyra Targaryen. Despite its sprawling cast, D’Arcy received the show’s only acting nomination this year, for Best Drama Actress.
Experts predicting: Ben Travers (Indiewire), Clayton Davis (Variety),

4. “Better Call Saul” — 4/1 odds
After six seasons on the air, this intricate “Breaking Bad” spin-off recently said goodbye with an instant fan-favorite series finale in which Saul Goodman (Bob Odenkirk) reunited with his one true love Kim Wexler (Rhea Seehorn) after going to jail for a whole host of drug-related crimes. Odenkirk earned yet another lead actor bid, his fifth overall, while the other cast members were overlooked.
Experts predicting: Joyce Eng (Gold Derby)

5. “Ozark” — 9/2 odds
For its final season, Netflix’s gritty drama about drug laundering is up for three noms: series, lead actress (Laura Linney as Wendy Byrde) and supporting actress (Julia Garner as Ruth Langmore). Will it finally win its first Golden Globe on its last shot? Of note: the show’s lead actor, Jason Bateman, was strangely snubbed despite earning three prior Globe nominations for playing Martin “Marty” Byrde.
Experts predicting: None

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