2023 Golden Globes TV Predictions: Best TV Movie/Limited Actor [Updated December 31]

The 2023 Golden Globes nominations were announced on December 12 in film and television, as voted on by members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association. Who will prevail in the category of Best TV Movie/Limited Actor during NBC’s ceremony on Tuesday, January 10? This year’s five nominees are: Taron Egerton (“Black Bird”), Colin Firth (“The Staircase”), Andrew Garfield (“Under the Banner of Heaven”), Evan Peters (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) and Sebastian Stan (“Pam and Tommy”).

Scroll down to see Gold Derby’s 2023 Golden Globes TV Predictions for Best TV Movie/Limited Actor, listed in order of their racetrack odds. Our Golden Globe odds are based on the combined forecasts of thousands of readers, including Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc.

SEE 2023 Golden Globes nominations list: Nominees for 80th annual ceremony

2023 Golden Globes TV Predictions: Best TV Movie/Limited Actor

Predicted Winners (in odds order)

1. Evan Peters (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 16/5 odds
Ryan Murphy‘s latest collaboration with Peters broke ratings records for Netflix when it debuted in September. The actor, who was snubbed by the Globes last year for “Mare of Easttown” despite winning the Emmy, is at his career-best as the titular serial killer, particularly when he’s sharing scenes with fellow nominees Richard Jenkins (as his caring father) and Niecy Nash-Betts (as his suspicious neighbor).

2. Taron Egerton (“Black Bird”) — 39/10 odds
Egerton portrays James Keene, a rising football star who’s involved in a sting operation for dealing drugs and possessing illegal weapons. This Apple TV Plus entry is based on Keene’s 2010 autobiographical novel “In with the Devil: a Fallen Hero, a Serial Killer, and a Dangerous Bargain for Redemption.” Egerton’s co-star Paul Walter Hauser (as Lawrence “Larry” Hall) also earned a supporting bid.

3. Andrew Garfield (“Under the Banner of Heaven”) — 9/2 odds
This true crime show created by Dustin Lance Black streamed on FX on Hulu last spring and stars Garfield and Gil Birmingham as a pair of detectives investigating a killing that could be connected to Mormonism. Garfield, who won a Globe just last year for the film “tick, tick…BOOM!,” plays Jeb Pyre, a Mormon who works as a detective for the East Rockwell, Utah police department.

4. Sebastian Stan (“Pam and Tommy”) — 9/2 odds
“Pam and Tommy” is the story you never knew you wanted about the infamous sex tape between “Baywatch” star Pamela Anderson (fellow nominee Lily James) and Motley Crue frontman Tommy Lee (Stan). In Hulu’s miniseries, viewers can’t look away as Stan undergoes a complete physical transformation to become the rock legend, who often feuds with Seth Rogen‘s character, who stole and distributed the tape.

5. Colin Firth (“The Staircase”) — 9/2 odds
Firth takes on the role of Michael Peterson, a real-life novelist who becomes a worldwide obsession when his wife Kathleen Peterson (Toni Collette) dies after falling down the stairs. Is he guilty of murder? Or was it an accident? HBO Max gives viewers multiple different possibilities to consider throughout the course of the series. Firth previously took home a Globe for “The King’s Speech” (2010).

PREDICT the 2023 Golden Globe winners

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