2023 Oscars: Best Original Screenplay Predictions

Since the academy expanded the Best Picture category at the Oscars in 2010, Best Original Screenplay has gone to writers of a wide-range of genres: dramas (“Birdman,” “Manchester by the Sea”); comedies (“Midnight in Paris”); biopics (“The King’s Speech,” “Green Book”); true-life stories (“Spotlight”); memoirs (“Belfast”); period pictures (“Django Unchained”); war movies (“The Hurt Locker”); sci-fi (“Her”), thrillers (“Parasite,” “Promising Young Woman:) and horror (“Get Out”). (Scroll down for the most up-to-date 2023 Oscars Best Original Screenplay predictions.)

Regardless of the type of film, a nominee needs broad academy support to win this race. Indeed, all 13 of the most recent Best Original Screenplay winners were, at the least, Best Picture nominees. And six of them won the big prize, bringing the total number of Best Picture champs with Oscar-winning original screenplays to 18. By comparison, 42 films have done this on the adapted side including the 2022 double dipper “CODA.”

In 2022 three nominees for Best Original Screenplay at the Academy Awards were crafted by writer/directors; the previous year it had been all five. Expect auteurs to be well-represented in this race once again.

UPDATED: February 6, 2023

Please note: To read full descriptions of each film, check out our 2023 Oscar Best Picture predictions.

“Everything Everywhere All at Once,” Written by Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert

“The Banshees of Inisherin,” Written by Martin McDonagh

“The Fabelmans,” Written by Steven Spielberg & Tony Kushner

“Tár,” Written by Todd Field

“Triangle of Sadness,” Written by Ruben Östlund

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