If the 2023 Emmy Awards nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict would be the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on January 31 and already more than 2,400 people have made their nominations forecasts in 16 top races. Who’s out front to claim golden trophies in our 2023 Emmy predictions? As of this writing, things are looking strong for Apple TV Plus’ feel-good comedy “Ted Lasso,” HBO’s family drama “Succession” and Netflix’s serial killer limited series “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — but it’s still anyone’s game at this initial stage.
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for Emmy predictions 2023, updated March 13. Our odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc.
Now predicted to receive nominations since the last update: Lisa Ann Walter (“Abbott Elementary”) for Best Comedy Supporting Actress and Elizabeth Olsen (“Love and Death”) for Best Movie/Limited Actress.
BEST COMEDY SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Ted Lasso” — 9/2
2. “Abbott Elementary” — 5/1
3. “Only Murders in the Building” — 7/1
4. “The Bear” — 7/1
5. “Barry” — 17/2
6. “Wednesday” — 14/1
7. “What We Do in the Shadows” — 14/1
8. “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 22/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Poker Face” — 37/1
“Shrinking” — 54/1
“The Great” — 62/1
“Mo” — 100/1
“The Righteous Gemstones” — 100/1
“Dead to Me” — 100/1
See more Comedy Series contenders …
BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”) — 7/2
2. Christina Applegate (“Dead to Me”) — 11/2
3. Jenna Ortega (“Wednesday”) — 6/1
4. Rachel Brosnahan (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 7/1
5. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 19/2
6. Elle Fanning (“The Great”) — 14/1
Predicted Spoilers
Natasha Lyonne (“Poker Face”) — 20/1
Linda Cardellini (“Dead to Me”) — 37/1
Cecily Strong (“Schmigadoon”) — 54/1
Natasia Demetriou (“What We Do in the Shadows”) — 80/1
Bridget Everett (“Somebody Somewhere”) — 82/1
Devery Jacobs (“Reservation Dogs”) — 100/1
See more Comedy Actress contenders …
BEST COMEDY ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Jason Sudeikis (“Ted Lasso”) — 19/5
2. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”) — 4/1
3. Bill Hader (“Barry”) — 5/1
4. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 6/1
5. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 13/2
6. Donald Glover (“Atlanta”) — 16/1
Predicted Spoilers
Jason Segel (“Shrinking”) — 30/1
Nicholas Hoult (“The Great”) — 33/1
Mohammed Amer (“Mo”) — 100/1
Nathan Fielder (“The Rehearsal”) — 100/1
Bob Odenkirk (“Lucky Hank”) — 100/1
Ramy Youssef (“Ramy”) — 100/1
See more Comedy Actor contenders …
BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”) — 4/1
2. Hannah Waddingham (“Ted Lasso”) — 11/2
3. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”) — 6/1
4. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”) — 15/2
5. Juno Temple (“Ted Lasso”) — 19/2
6. Alex Borstein (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 12/1
7. Sarah Goldberg (“Barry”) — 14/1
8. Lisa Ann Walter (“Abbott Elementary”) — 20/1
Predicted Spoilers
Cecily Strong (“Saturday Night Live”) — 25/1
Jessica Williams (“Shrinking”) — 64/1
Zazie Beetz (“Atlanta”) — 100/1
Gwendoline Christie (“Wednesday”) — 100/1
Michelle Yeoh (“American Born Chinese”) — 100/1
Molly Shannon (“The Other Two”) — 100/1
See more Comedy Supp. Actress contenders …
BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”) — 9/2
2. Brett Goldstein (“Ted Lasso”) — 5/1
3. Henry Winkler (“Barry”) — 13/2
4. Nick Mohammed (“Ted Lasso”) — 9/1
5. Anthony Carrigan (“Barry”) — 10/1
6. Tony Shalhoub (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 23/2
7. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”) — 14/1
8. Harrison Ford (“Shrinking”) — 20/1
Predicted Spoilers
Brian Tyree Henry (“Atlanta”) — 28/1
Chris Perfetti (“Abbott Elementary”) — 33/1
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”) — 35/1
Stephen Root (“Barry”) — 100/1
Harvey Guillen (“What We Do in the Shadows”) — 100/1
Toheeb Jimoh (“Ted Lasso”) — 100/1
See more Comedy Supp. Actor contenders …
BEST DRAMA SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Succession” — 4/1
2. “The White Lotus” — 11/2
3. “Better Call Saul” — 15/2
4. “The Last of Us” — 8/1
5. “The Crown” — 9/1
6. “House of the Dragon” — 19/2
7. “Yellowjackets” — 11/1
8. “The Mandalorian” — 16/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Andor” — 30/1
“Yellowstone” — 56/1
“The Old Man” — 85/1
“Lord of the Rings: Rings of Power” — 85/1
“The Handmaid’s Tale” — 100/1
“Bad Sisters” — 100/1
See more Drama Series contenders …
BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Melanie Lynskey (“Yellowjackets”) — 71/20
2. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”) — 9/2
3. Emma D’Arcy (“House of the Dragon”) — 6/1
4. Bella Ramsey (“The Last of Us”) — 13/2
5. Elisabeth Moss (“The Handmaid’s Tale”) — 15/2
6. Sharon Horgan (“Bad Sisters”) — 20/1
Predicted Spoilers
Helen Mirren (“1923”) — 28/1
Juliette Lewis (“Yellowjackets”) — 33/1
Christine Baranski (“The Good Fight”) — 64/1
Hilary Swank (“Alaska Daily”) — 66/1
Lily-Rose Depp (“The Idol”) — 80/1
Kelly Reilly (“Yellowstone”) — 100/1
See more Drama Actress contenders …
BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) — 19/5
2. Brian Cox (“Succession”) — 4/1
3. Jeremy Strong (“Succession”) — 5/1
4. Jeff Bridges (“The Old Man”) — 7/1
5. Pedro Pascal (“The Last of Us”) — 7/1
6. Paddy Considine (“House of the Dragon”) — 15/1
Predicted Spoilers
Diego Luna (“Andor”) — 22/1
Matthew Rhys (“Perry Mason”) — 40/1
Harrison Ford (“1923”) — 56/1
Kevin Costner (“Yellowstone”) — 100/1
Dominic West (“The Crown”) — 100/1
Antony Starr (“The Boys”) — 100/1
See more Drama Actor contenders …
BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jennifer Coolidge (“The White Lotus”) — 4/1
2. Sarah Snook (“Succession”) — 11/2
3. Rhea Seehorn (“Better Call Saul”) — 13/2
4. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”) — 8/1
5. Christina Ricci (“Yellowjackets”) — 19/2
6. Aubrey Plaza (“The White Lotus”) — 10/1
7. Meghann Fahy (“The White Lotus”) — 14/1
8. J. Smith-Cameron (“Succession”) — 18/1
Predicted Spoilers
Lesley Manville (“The Crown”) — 40/1
Carol Burnett (“Better Call Saul”) — 60/1
Milly Alcock (“House of the Dragon”) — 90/1
Olivia Cooke (“House of the Dragon”) — 100/1
Rachel Sennott (“The Idol”) — 100/1
Ann Dowd (“The Handmaid’s Tale”) — 100/1
See more Drama Supp. Actress contenders …
BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Matthew Macfadyen (“Succession”) — 9/2
2. Kieran Culkin (“Succession”) — 11/2
3. Giancarlo Esposito (“Better Call Saul”) — 15/2
4. F. Murray Abraham (“The White Lotus”) — 15/2
5. Matt Smith (“House of the Dragon”) — 11/1
6. John Lithgow (“The Old Man”) — 14/1
7. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”) — 16/1
8. Stellan Skarsgard (“Andor”) — 18/1
Predicted Spoilers
Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”) — 22/1
Nicholas Braun (“Succession”) — 28/1
Michael Imperioli (“The White Lotus”) — 58/1
Tom Hollander (“The White Lotus”) — 66/1
Alan Ruck (“Succession”) — 80/1
Ken Leung (“Industry”) — 100/1
See more Drama Supp. Actor contenders …
BEST LIMITED SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — 4/1
2. “Fleishman Is in Trouble” — 5/1
3. “Black Bird” — 11/2
4. “White House Plumbers” — 13/2
5. “George and Tammy” — 11/1
6. “Daisy Jones and the Six” — 14/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Love and Death” — 18/1
“Extrapolations” — 33/1
“Full Circle” — 40/1
“Great Expectations” — 48/1
“Obi-Wan Kenobi” — 56/1
“Welcome to Chippendales” — 80/1
See more Limited Series contenders …
BEST TV MOVIE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Fire Island” — 18/5
2. “Prey” — 4/1
3. “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” — 9/2
4. “Hocus Pocus 2” — 15/2
5. “Jerry and Marge Go Large” — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Boston Strangler” — 25/1
“Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist” — 30/1
“Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas” — 46/1
“Father of the Bride” — 52/1
“Somebody I Used to Know” — 75/1
“Disenchanted” — 100/1
See more TV Movie contenders …
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jessica Chastain (“George and Tammy”) — 71/20
2. Emily Blunt (“The English”) — 5/1
3. Lizzy Caplan (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”) — 15/2
4. Riley Keough (“Daisy Jones and the Six”) — 9/1
5. Elizabeth Olsen (“Love and Death”) — 11/1
6. Vera Farmiga (“Five Days at Memorial”) — 12/1
Predicted Spoilers
Claire Danes (“Full Circle”) — 16/1
Naomi Watts (“The Watcher”) — 25/1
Kathryn Hahn (“Tiny Beautiful Things”) — 44/1
Amber Midthunder (“Prey”) — 52/1
Rachel Weisz (“Dead Ringers”) — 56/1
Annette Bening (“Jerry and Marge Go Large”) — 64/1
See more Movie/Limited Actress contenders …
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Evan Peters (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 37/10
2. Taron Egerton (“Black Bird”) — 9/2
3. Michael Shannon (“George and Tammy”) — 6/1
4. Woody Harrelson (“White House Plumbers”) — 13/2
5. Daniel Radcliffe (“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story”) — 8/1
6. Jesse Eisenberg (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”) — 15/1
Predicted Spoilers
Steve Carell (“The Patient”) — 22/1
Jesse Plemons (“Love and Death”) — 30/1
Ewan McGregor (“Obi-Wan Kenobi”) — 35/1
Justin Theroux (“White House Plumbers”) — 42/1
Ben Whishaw (“This Is Going To Hurt”) — 100/1
Jake Lacy (“A Friend of the Family”) — 100/1
See more Movie/Limited Actor contenders …
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Claire Danes (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”) — 19/5
2. Niecy Nash-Betts (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 4/1
3. Lena Headey (“White House Plumbers”) — 11/2
4. Judy Greer (“White House Plumbers”) — 17/2
5. Cherry Jones (“Five Days at Memorial”) — 13/1
6. Anna Paquin (“A Friend of the Family”) — 14/1
Predicted Spoilers
Olivia Colman (“Great Expectations”) — 22/1
Carrie Coon (“Boston Strangler”) — 30/1
Lily Rabe (“Love and Death”) — 33/1
Michael Learned (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 48/1
Merritt Wever (“Tiny Beautiful Things”) — 52/1
Zazie Beetz (“Full Circle”) — 68/1
See more Movie/Limited Supp. Actress contenders …
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Richard Jenkins (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 37/10
2. Paul Walter Hauser (“Black Bird”) — 4/1
3. Domhnall Gleeson (“The Patient”) — 13/2
4. Ray Liotta (“Black Bird”) — 13/2
5. Jharrel Jerome (“Full Circle”) — 13/1
6. Dennis Quaid (“Full Circle”) – 14/1
Predicted Spoilers
Ciaran Hinds (“The English”) — 33/1
Timothy Olyphant (“Full Circle”) — 46/1
Hayden Christensen (“Obi-Wan Kenobi”) — 52/1
Greg Kinnear (“Black Bird”) — 64/1
Murray Bartlett (“Welcome to Chippendales”) — 66/1
Bowen Yang (“Fire Island”) — 100/1
See more Movie/Limited Supp. Actor contenders …
PREDICT the 2023 Emmy nominees through July 12
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