Oscars 2022: Final Best Supporting Actor winner predictions

It looks like “CODA” star Troy Kotsur is all but assured of following in the footsteps of previously dominant Best Supporting Actor winners like Daniel Kaluuya, Brad Pitt, and Mahershala Ali.

Kotsur, who made history as the first deaf male actor nominated for an Oscar, has shown surprising strength all season, winning major precursor awards at the Screen Actors Guild, BAFTA Awards, and Critics Choice Awards — and during each televised event, Kotsur’s speeches were a highlight.

The result has left him as an easy contender to root for and pushed the veteran ahead of the once-presumed favorite, “The Power of the Dog” star Kodi Smit-McPhee, in the 2022 Oscars Best Supporting Actor race. Were Kotsur to lose on March 27 at the 2022 Oscars, it would be a significant upset.

But Smit-McPhee and the favorite Kotsur aren’t the only nominees here — although it doesn’t seem like many pundits have seriously engaged with the possibility of one of the other men winning. If an upset did happen, the most likely pick would be Ciaran Hinds for “Belfast.” The other nominees are Jesse Plemons for “The Power of the Dog” (has his presence in the category hurt Smit-McPhee?) and J.K. Simmons for “Being the Ricardos.”

Christopher Rosen Final Oscars 2022 Best Supporting Actor predictions as of Monday, March 21 (updated weekly)

  1. Troy Kotsur, “CODA”
  2. Kodi Smit-McPhee, “The Power of the Dog”
  3. Ciaran Hinds, “Belfast”
  4. Jesse Plemons, “The Power of the Dog”
  5. J.K. Simmons, “Being the Ricardos”

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