Oscars 2022: Final Best Supporting Actress winner predictions

Sixty years ago, “West Side Story” star Rita Moreno made history as the first Hispanic actress to ever win an Oscar, taking home Best Supporting Actress for playing Anita in the musical at the 1962 Academy Awards ceremony. Sixty years later, and it seems that history will repeat itself. Steven Spielberg‘s remake of “West Side Story” and its own Anita, actress Ariana DeBose, is the overwhelming favorite to win in the Best Supporting Actress category among Gold Derby experts and users.

DeBose, a triple threat, steals scenes in the new version of the musical classic — even going toe-to-toe against Moreno in a key third act scene. (Moreno plays a new character named Valentina, the widow of drug store owner Doc.) DeBose has not just won numerous awards from critics groups but swept through the precursor season as well. DeBose has received Best Supporting Actress awards from the Screen Actors Guild Awards, BAFTA Awards, and Critics Choice Awards.

But if a shocking upset were to occur and DeBose doesn’t go all the way in the Oscars 2022 Best Supporting Actress race, then there is a case to be made that Kirsten Dunst could ascend to the top of the mountain. Dunst, who has been hailed for her performance in “The Power of the Dog,” is the runner-up pick among the Gold Derby experts to win Best Supporting Actress for what is her first-ever nomination despite decades of lauded work in popular hits like “Bring It On” and arthouse favorites such as “Melancholia.”

The other three slots are filled with one Oscar-winning legend and two first-time nominees: Judi Dench made it in for “Belfast,” presumably getting a nomination many had earmarked instead for her co-star, Caitriona Balfe. After briefly stumbling following a snub at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, Aunjanue Ellis was nominated for “King Richard.” Finally, Jesse Buckley, who made it in at the BAFTA Awards (where Ellis was also nominated), received a surprise nomination for “The Lost Daughter.” While all three actresses turn in exemplary work in their films, the Gold Derby odds aren’t necessarily in their favor to win at this time.

Christopher Rosen Final Oscars 2022 Best Supporting Actress predictions as of Monday, March 21 (updated weekly)

  1. Ariana DeBose, “West Side Story”
  2. Kirsten Dunst, “The Power of the Dog”
  3. Aunjanue Ellis, “King Richard”
  4. Judi Dench, “Belfast”
  5. Jesse Buckley, “The Lost Daughter”

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