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10 Oscar Nominations Club

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    Vincent Figueroa
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    #1204581509

    Denzel  Washington  100% (this year and a least one more when he will be seventy years old )

    Cate Blanchett  85 % (the new Meryl  Streep)

    Leo Dicaprio 75% ( he plays in a few movies  but  he always  be a contender and last decade three nominations  in his last three movies)

    Al Pacino 60 % (too old even  to play  old characthers …)

     

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    Stank83
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    #1204581628

    From most likely to least likely:

    1. Denzel Washington

    2. Leonardo DiCaprio

    3. Cate Blanchett

    4. Al Pacino

    5. Kate Winslet

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    Barbra Please
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    #1204581763

    Cate Blanchett for sure.I also think if Olivia Colman continues to have the filmography she has now, she could also easily hit 10+

    oh yes darling … Queen Colman deserves many Oscar nominations. She’s just too great

    FOR YOUR CONSIDERATION DARLING.
    Tessa Thompson, Lead Actress for PASSING
    Ruth Negga, Supporting Actress for PASSING
    Charlotte Rampling, Supporting Actress for BENEDETTA
    Martha Plimpton, Supporting Actress for MASS
    Arawinda Kirana, Lead Actress for YUNI
    Kathryn Hunter, Supporting Actress for THE TRAGEDY OF MACBETH

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    Jacob "Oscar Boy" Boe
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    #1204582145

    McDormand is not getting to 10. Even if she gets nominated this year, and she can easily miss, she will only have 7 nominations at the age of 65. I do not think she can get 3 more nominations. People forget that she only has 2 nominations in the last 15 years.

    You’re acting like she fell off the face of the earth between North Country and Three Billboards. Three years after the former, she received a Globe nomination for Burn After Reading. A couple years after that, she received a Tony nom for Good People. Three years after that, she won an Emmy for Olive Kitteridge. And, of course, three years after that was Three Billboards.

    So yeah, she got two noms in the last fifteen years. That’s because she worked on Broadway and television in between that time. But now, she’s come back to film, and is in a major project every other year, a sort of McDormaissance, if you will.

    She has Macbeth this year and Women Talking next year, and will probably be nominated for one if not both. She’ll probably get something after the latter as well. And in the last five years, she’s had two nominations and two wins… She seems to be on a roll. Four nominations in the next decade does not seem out-of-place at all.

    Oscars FYC:
    Belfast (Pic, Balfe, Dornan, Hinds, Screenplay)
    CODA (Kotsur, Screenplay)
    Dune (Pic, Villeneuve, Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing, Production Design, Sound, VFX)
    Free Guy (VFX)
    Passing (Negga)
    The Power of the Dog (Pic, Campion, Cumberbatch, Dunst, Smit-McPhee, Screenplay, Cinematography, Editing)
    tick, tick, Boom! (Garfield)
    West Side Story (Pic, Spielberg, Zegler, DeBose, Moreno, Faist, Screenplay, Cinematography, Costume, Editing, Production Design, Sound)

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    We keep the news light!
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    #1204582151

    Saoirse Ronan. She is 28 with 4 noms already. Ronan is a strong candidate for the 10th club.

    Cate Blanchett will for sure get there. Same with Winslet.

    Denzel will get there this year with MacBeth

    FYC
    Best Picture: Nightmare Alley
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
    Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett
    Best Supporting Actor: Jon Bernthal
    Bes Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in The World

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    Tick Tock
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    #1204582178

    You’re acting like she fell off the face of the earth between North Country and Three Billboards. Three years after the former, she received a Globe nomination for Burn After Reading. A couple years after that, she received a Tony nom for Good People. Three years after that, she won an Emmy for Olive Kitteridge. And, of course, three years after that was Three Billboards. So yeah, she got two noms in the last fifteen years. That’s because she worked on Broadway and television in between that time.

    And none of that counts as an Oscar nomination so what’s your point? Maybe she spends most of the next 15 years doing TV and Theater which would still mean no Oscar nominations, who knows.

    She has Macbeth this year and Women Talking next year, and will probably be nominated for one if not both. She’ll probably get something after the latter as well. And in the last five years, she’s had two nominations and two wins… She seems to be on a roll. Four nominations in the next decade does not seem out-of-place at all.

    Or you know she could maybe not get nominated for Macbeth or Women Talking. This year looks deep enough for lead actress that she could easily miss and anything can happen with Women Talking. You say 4 nominations in the next decade does not seem out of place but has McDormand ever got 4 nominations in a decade? The answer is no. And now she is in her mid 60s which is not the best age to be for an actress in terms of opportunities.

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    Tick Tock
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    #1204582185

    Before reaching her 6th, 7th and 8th nom Glenn Close was absent of the race for 23 years.

    Sometimes it’s about trends. McDormand can be the 60s something character actress which Hollywood will cast her after surviving the filter.

    I see your point but you have to admit that Glenn Close is an exception to the rule… also a big part of why Close keeps getting nominated is because she is considered due and parts of the industry keep voting for her because they want to see her win. McDormand with 3 wins already will never have that level of urgency as Close.

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    JROCK1772
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    #1204583317

    9 noms :
    Al Pacino [81 years old; still making movies]
    – Likely will score one more supporting nomination. He’ll make it.

    8 noms:
    Denzel Washington [66 years old; still making movies]
    – Definitely earning another two nods in the next decade, with one of them likely being this year. He’ll make it (and then some!).
    Glenn Close [74 years old; still making movies]
    – Most likely scoring another nomination. If she wins on the next go around, I don’t think there will be a push to nominate her again, so it’s a 50/50 chance. I could see a lead and supporting nomination.

    7 noms:
    Robert De Niro [78 years old; still making movies]
    – Will he get another nod? It’s certainly possible, but I don’t see him breaking into the 10 nominations club, given his inconsistent slew of recent films.
    Jane Fonda [83 years old; still making movies]
    – Fonda is beloved, but she’s slowed down significantly, so I don’t think she’ll be generating enough future nominations.
    Dustin Hoffman [84 years old; still making movies]
    – Hoffman has been MIA from Oscar bait for over two decades and isn’t getting any younger. I’d count him out.
    Jeff Bridges [71 years old; still making movies]
    – With his cancer battle, I fear that Bridges is going to be making very few movies moving forward. He’ll have a hell of a narrative if he gets good role, but I don’t think that get him to that 10th nomination.
    Judi Dench [86 years old; still making movies]
    – Dench might be a player this year, but I can’t really picture her obtaining three nominations, considering she’s in the running for mostly supporting grandmother roles.
    Robert Duvall [90 years old; still making movies]
    – He’s not making enough movies consistently to squeeze in those last three nominations. I think the time has passed.
    Cate Blanchett [52 years old; still making movies]
    – She got nominations in her 20s, her 30s, and her 40s. Considering she hasn’t been nominated in some time, I’d expect her to continually rack up nominations in the next few decades. Three more nominations is quite attainable for her.
    Kate Winslet [46 years old; still making movies]
    – Having just been embraced once more by the Television Academy, I predict great fortune in Winslet’s future with the Oscars. She has always shadowed Meryl and I see no reason why she wouldn’t follow in her footsteps to the 10th nomination.

    6 noms:
    Daniel Day Lewis [64 years old; retired]
    – He’s not returning to film and, even if he did, that’s not enough to get him four more nominations. Easy no.
    Frances McDormand [64 years old; still making movies]
    – She’s beloved by the Academy, so I think more nominations are in store. Considering how esteemed a thespian she is, I would expect her to accrue four nominations if she remains consistently working.
    Leonardo DiCaprio [47 years old; still making movies]
    – This feels inevitable. He’s one of the last remaining movie stars and consistently produces high caliber performance in Oscar vehicles. He nabbed four nominations in the stretch of a little over a decade, so seems doable in the next decade or so.
    Michael Caine [88 years old; possibly retired?]
    – Considering his health and slowed pace of movie-making, I don’t see another nomination coming his way. It’s a no for Caine.
    Tom Hanks [65 years old; still making movies]
    – It took so long for Hanks to return to the fold. Not sure he’ll get into the 10 nominations club, especially considering his two wins, but I’d expect one or two more. Just not 10 total.
    Anthony Hopkins [83 years old; still making movies]
    – He’s been consistently scoring nominations lately, but I don’t think the trend will continue four more times. He might get one or two more, but I think that’s the most he’ll get.
    Maggie Smith [86 years old; still making movies]
    – She hasn’t been nominated since 2001 and likely won’t be procuring four more nominations any time soon. It’s over for Dame Smith.
    Jessica Lange [72 years old; still making movies]
    – Kind of a wildcard with returning to film, but I could see her being welcomed back into the fold. I don’t envision that entailing four more nominations, so I’ll keep her out of contention.
    Ellen Burstyn [88 years old; still making movies]
    – If she couldn’t sneak in for Pieces of a Woman, I’m afraid her time might be up. She’s out of the running.
    Vanessa Redgrave [84 years old; still making movies]
    – Redgrave hasn’t been nominated 1992. It’s not happening.
    Sissy Spacek [71 years old; still making movies]
    – She’s not exactly too old to be garnering more nominations, but I don’t think she’s going to capitalize on the dwindling window she has. She won’t make it to 10.
    Amy Adams [47 years old; still making movies]
    – If she keeps up the caliber of work, she’ll breeze to 10 nominations in no time. Her affinity for supporting roles will make her an easy nominee in weaker years and she’ll generate a DiCaprio-esque narrative soon enough.

    5 noms:
    Shirley MacLaine [87 years old; still making movies]
    – Her time has passed. Not happening.
    Sean Penn [61 years old; still making movies]
    – The double win and unlikeable personality makes it difficult for me to fathom another nomination, let alone five. It’s not happening.
    Morgan Freeman [84 years old; still making movies]
    – He’s too old to get a string of five nominations. Off the table.
    Julianne Moore [60 years old; still making movies]
    – She strikes me as someone who will easily slip into the Streep / Dench / Mirren roles, so I could see her garnering a few more. Ten is a lot, but it is doable. She’s just got to get back in soon.
    Susan Sarandon [75 years old; still making movies]
    – I don’t see it happening. Similar to Hoffman, her time seems to have lapsed.

    Overall, the contenders that make sense to me are:
    Pacino (9), Washington (8), Blanchett (7), Winslet (7), McDormand (6), DiCaprio (6), Adams (6)

    If Close wins on her next one, she’ll have to fight to get more.

    Some other names that seem like the next closest: Cooper (4), Ronan (4), Davis (4), Phoenix (4), Bale (4), Kidman (4), Williams (4), and Stone (3). Colman, Driver, Kaluuya, and Robbie are all on my radar as well.

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    Eve Harrington
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    #1204583365

    Cate Blanchett, Kate Winslet, Saoirse Ronan, and Amy Adams, I think could all easily get there. I’d love to see Viola Davis get there too.

    Also, out of the men, I can see Pacino and Washington getting there no problem. DiCaprio too, unfortunately.

     

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    Manav
    Joined:
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    #1204583479

    9 noms :
    Al Pacino [81 years old; still making movies]
    – Likely will score one more supporting nomination. He’ll make it.

    8 noms:
    Denzel Washington [66 years old; still making movies]
    – Definitely earning another two nods in the next decade, with one of them likely being this year. He’ll make it (and then some!).
    Glenn Close [74 years old; still making movies]
    – Most likely scoring another nomination. If she wins on the next go around, I don’t think there will be a push to nominate her again, so it’s a 50/50 chance. I could see a lead and supporting nomination.

    7 noms:
    Robert De Niro [78 years old; still making movies]
    – Will he get another nod? It’s certainly possible, but I don’t see him breaking into the 10 nominations club, given his inconsistent slew of recent films.
    Jane Fonda [83 years old; still making movies]
    – Fonda is beloved, but she’s slowed down significantly, so I don’t think she’ll be generating enough future nominations.
    Dustin Hoffman [84 years old; still making movies]
    – Hoffman has been MIA from Oscar bait for over two decades and isn’t getting any younger. I’d count him out.
    Jeff Bridges [71 years old; still making movies]
    – With his cancer battle, I fear that Bridges is going to be making very few movies moving forward. He’ll have a hell of a narrative if he gets good role, but I don’t think that get him to that 10th nomination.
    Judi Dench [86 years old; still making movies]
    – Dench might be a player this year, but I can’t really picture her obtaining three nominations, considering she’s in the running for mostly supporting grandmother roles.
    Robert Duvall [90 years old; still making movies]
    – He’s not making enough movies consistently to squeeze in those last three nominations. I think the time has passed.
    Cate Blanchett [52 years old; still making movies]
    – She got nominations in her 20s, her 30s, and her 40s. Considering she hasn’t been nominated in some time, I’d expect her to continually rack up nominations in the next few decades. Three more nominations is quite attainable for her.
    Kate Winslet [46 years old; still making movies]
    – Having just been embraced once more by the Television Academy, I predict great fortune in Winslet’s future with the Oscars. She has always shadowed Meryl and I see no reason why she wouldn’t follow in her footsteps to the 10th nomination.

    6 noms:
    Daniel Day Lewis [64 years old; retired]
    – He’s not returning to film and, even if he did, that’s not enough to get him four more nominations. Easy no.
    Frances McDormand [64 years old; still making movies]
    – She’s beloved by the Academy, so I think more nominations are in store. Considering how esteemed a thespian she is, I would expect her to accrue four nominations if she remains consistently working.
    Leonardo DiCaprio [47 years old; still making movies]
    – This feels inevitable. He’s one of the last remaining movie stars and consistently produces high caliber performance in Oscar vehicles. He nabbed four nominations in the stretch of a little over a decade, so seems doable in the next decade or so.
    Michael Caine [88 years old; possibly retired?]
    – Considering his health and slowed pace of movie-making, I don’t see another nomination coming his way. It’s a no for Caine.
    Tom Hanks [65 years old; still making movies]
    – It took so long for Hanks to return to the fold. Not sure he’ll get into the 10 nominations club, especially considering his two wins, but I’d expect one or two more. Just not 10 total.
    Anthony Hopkins [83 years old; still making movies]
    – He’s been consistently scoring nominations lately, but I don’t think the trend will continue four more times. He might get one or two more, but I think that’s the most he’ll get.
    Maggie Smith [86 years old; still making movies]
    – She hasn’t been nominated since 2001 and likely won’t be procuring four more nominations any time soon. It’s over for Dame Smith.
    Jessica Lange [72 years old; still making movies]
    – Kind of a wildcard with returning to film, but I could see her being welcomed back into the fold. I don’t envision that entailing four more nominations, so I’ll keep her out of contention.
    Ellen Burstyn [88 years old; still making movies]
    – If she couldn’t sneak in for Pieces of a Woman, I’m afraid her time might be up. She’s out of the running.
    Vanessa Redgrave [84 years old; still making movies]
    – Redgrave hasn’t been nominated 1992. It’s not happening.
    Sissy Spacek [71 years old; still making movies]
    – She’s not exactly too old to be garnering more nominations, but I don’t think she’s going to capitalize on the dwindling window she has. She won’t make it to 10.
    Amy Adams [47 years old; still making movies]
    – If she keeps up the caliber of work, she’ll breeze to 10 nominations in no time. Her affinity for supporting roles will make her an easy nominee in weaker years and she’ll generate a DiCaprio-esque narrative soon enough.

    5 noms:
    Shirley MacLaine [87 years old; still making movies]
    – Her time has passed. Not happening.
    Sean Penn [61 years old; still making movies]
    – The double win and unlikeable personality makes it difficult for me to fathom another nomination, let alone five. It’s not happening.
    Morgan Freeman [84 years old; still making movies]
    – He’s too old to get a string of five nominations. Off the table.
    Julianne Moore [60 years old; still making movies]
    – She strikes me as someone who will easily slip into the Streep / Dench / Mirren roles, so I could see her garnering a few more. Ten is a lot, but it is doable. She’s just got to get back in soon.
    Susan Sarandon [75 years old; still making movies]
    – I don’t see it happening. Similar to Hoffman, her time seems to have lapsed.

    Overall, the contenders that make sense to me are:
    Pacino (9), Washington (8), Blanchett (7), Winslet (7), McDormand (6), DiCaprio (6), Adams (6)

    If Close wins on her next one, she’ll have to fight to get more.

    Some other names that seem like the next closest: Cooper (4), Ronan (4), Davis (4), Phoenix (4), Bale (4), Kidman (4), Williams (4), and Stone (3). Colman, Driver, Kaluuya, and Robbie are all on my radar as well.

    Great insight.

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    Anirudh Arun
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    #1204583716

    9 noms : Al Pacino [81 years old; still making movies] – Likely will score one more supporting nomination. He’ll make it. 8 noms: Denzel Washington [66 years old; still making movies] – Definitely earning another two nods in the next decade, with one of them likely being this year. He’ll make it (and then some!). Glenn Close [74 years old; still making movies] – Most likely scoring another nomination. If she wins on the next go around, I don’t think there will be a push to nominate her again, so it’s a 50/50 chance. I could see a lead and supporting nomination. 7 noms: Robert De Niro [78 years old; still making movies] – Will he get another nod? It’s certainly possible, but I don’t see him breaking into the 10 nominations club, given his inconsistent slew of recent films. Jane Fonda [83 years old; still making movies] – Fonda is beloved, but she’s slowed down significantly, so I don’t think she’ll be generating enough future nominations. Dustin Hoffman [84 years old; still making movies] – Hoffman has been MIA from Oscar bait for over two decades and isn’t getting any younger. I’d count him out. Jeff Bridges [71 years old; still making movies] – With his cancer battle, I fear that Bridges is going to be making very few movies moving forward. He’ll have a hell of a narrative if he gets good role, but I don’t think that get him to that 10th nomination. Judi Dench [86 years old; still making movies] – Dench might be a player this year, but I can’t really picture her obtaining three nominations, considering she’s in the running for mostly supporting grandmother roles. Robert Duvall [90 years old; still making movies] – He’s not making enough movies consistently to squeeze in those last three nominations. I think the time has passed. Cate Blanchett [52 years old; still making movies] – She got nominations in her 20s, her 30s, and her 40s. Considering she hasn’t been nominated in some time, I’d expect her to continually rack up nominations in the next few decades. Three more nominations is quite attainable for her. Kate Winslet [46 years old; still making movies] – Having just been embraced once more by the Television Academy, I predict great fortune in Winslet’s future with the Oscars. She has always shadowed Meryl and I see no reason why she wouldn’t follow in her footsteps to the 10th nomination. 6 noms: Daniel Day Lewis [64 years old; retired] – He’s not returning to film and, even if he did, that’s not enough to get him four more nominations. Easy no. Frances McDormand [64 years old; still making movies] – She’s beloved by the Academy, so I think more nominations are in store. Considering how esteemed a thespian she is, I would expect her to accrue four nominations if she remains consistently working. Leonardo DiCaprio [47 years old; still making movies] – This feels inevitable. He’s one of the last remaining movie stars and consistently produces high caliber performance in Oscar vehicles. He nabbed four nominations in the stretch of a little over a decade, so seems doable in the next decade or so. Michael Caine [88 years old; possibly retired?] – Considering his health and slowed pace of movie-making, I don’t see another nomination coming his way. It’s a no for Caine. Tom Hanks [65 years old; still making movies] – It took so long for Hanks to return to the fold. Not sure he’ll get into the 10 nominations club, especially considering his two wins, but I’d expect one or two more. Just not 10 total. Anthony Hopkins [83 years old; still making movies] – He’s been consistently scoring nominations lately, but I don’t think the trend will continue four more times. He might get one or two more, but I think that’s the most he’ll get. Maggie Smith [86 years old; still making movies] – She hasn’t been nominated since 2001 and likely won’t be procuring four more nominations any time soon. It’s over for Dame Smith. Jessica Lange [72 years old; still making movies] – Kind of a wildcard with returning to film, but I could see her being welcomed back into the fold. I don’t envision that entailing four more nominations, so I’ll keep her out of contention. Ellen Burstyn [88 years old; still making movies] – If she couldn’t sneak in for Pieces of a Woman, I’m afraid her time might be up. She’s out of the running. Vanessa Redgrave [84 years old; still making movies] – Redgrave hasn’t been nominated 1992. It’s not happening. Sissy Spacek [71 years old; still making movies] – She’s not exactly too old to be garnering more nominations, but I don’t think she’s going to capitalize on the dwindling window she has. She won’t make it to 10. Amy Adams [47 years old; still making movies] – If she keeps up the caliber of work, she’ll breeze to 10 nominations in no time. Her affinity for supporting roles will make her an easy nominee in weaker years and she’ll generate a DiCaprio-esque narrative soon enough. 5 noms: Shirley MacLaine [87 years old; still making movies] – Her time has passed. Not happening. Sean Penn [61 years old; still making movies] – The double win and unlikeable personality makes it difficult for me to fathom another nomination, let alone five. It’s not happening. Morgan Freeman [84 years old; still making movies] – He’s too old to get a string of five nominations. Off the table. Julianne Moore [60 years old; still making movies] – She strikes me as someone who will easily slip into the Streep / Dench / Mirren roles, so I could see her garnering a few more. Ten is a lot, but it is doable. She’s just got to get back in soon. Susan Sarandon [75 years old; still making movies] – I don’t see it happening. Similar to Hoffman, her time seems to have lapsed. Overall, the contenders that make sense to me are: Pacino (9), Washington (8), Blanchett (7), Winslet (7), McDormand (6), DiCaprio (6), Adams (6) If Close wins on her next one, she’ll have to fight to get more. Some other names that seem like the next closest: Cooper (4), Ronan (4), Davis (4), Phoenix (4), Bale (4), Kidman (4), Williams (4), and Stone (3). Colman, Driver, Kaluuya, and Robbie are all on my radar as well.

    Very well put!

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    Luke Dias
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    #1204586789

    9 noms: Pacino could get another nomination. It all depends on his role choice and how people feel about his Irishman nomination – specifically if it was a career recognition or not (same goes for De Niro and Silver Linings Playbook).

    8 noms: Denzel’s definitely going to ten nominations. Close could, but I think I speak for everyone when I say she should win instead.

    7 noms: Most of these people have already hit their twilight years and I don’t think they’ll be nominated again, period (maybe Bridges and Dench but that’s it). Blanchett and Winslet are the exceptions to this. I think that unless she rides a Mare of Easttown hype train it won’t happen for Winslet now that she has her Oscar. I totally think Blanchett will get it though.

    6 noms: Another mostly aged-out group (i.e. Caine, Hopkins, Smith, Lange, Burstyn, Redgrave, and Spacek). Day-Lewis has obviously retired, but I think his penchant of appearing in one movie every few years and inevitably getting nominated will live on in DiCaprio (except it’s because of his environmental work and not because he wants to live in the country forever), which could propel DiCaprio to ten nominations before he’s six feet under. McDormand is going to ride a huge hype train after Nomadland, though whether or not it will get her those ten nominations is another thing. I don’t think Hanks will have enough traction to do something similar. Adams, though, I can totally see her doing it (though, again, she needs to win first).

    5 noms: MacLaine aged out a long time ago, and Freeman (with his role choices) seems to think he’s in the same boat. Sarandon hasn’t had a push in forever, and I think Penn’s dubious personal life will eventually make him a pariah. Moore is the most reasonable choice, but like Winslet, I think the nominations will slow now that she has her Oscar.

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