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2017 Los Angeles Film Critics Assocation Awards Predictions

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  • Anonymous
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    Anthony 🐜
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    I could see Phantom Thread doing extremely well with LAFCA. Screenplay, Musical Score, Vicky Krieps and Director are my bet. Maybe even picture.

    Coco is probably not winning Animated film here. Just like Inside Out and Zootopia. They go out of their way to stay clear of populist choices, and lean towards more arthouse animated films. Loving Vincent and The Breadwinner.

    Everyone expects them to go with Call Me By Your Name for Best Picture. But don’t be shocked if The Florida Project or Phantom Thread win instead. Their ballot and the way they vote results in underdogs prevailing more than most. People have time to re-group and throw their weight behind an underdog in the runoff vote.

    – The Lobster over Manchester By the Sea for Screenplay
    – The Descendents over The Tree of Life
    – Michael Fassbender over Geza Rohrig
    – I am not your Negro over OJ: Made in America
    – Adam Driver over Affleck,
    – Lily Gladstone over Michelle Williams.
    – Spotlight over Mad Max

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    Marcus Snowden (The Artist Formerly Known as msnowden1)
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    Best Picture: Call Me By Your Name
    Best Director: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
    Best Actress: Saiorse Ronan, Lady Bird
    Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
    Best Supporting Actress: Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
    Best Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread
    Best Cinematography: Roger Deakins, Blade Runner 2049
    Best Editing: Get Out
    Best Production Design: Blade Runner 2049
    Best Score: Hans Zimmer, Dunkirk
    Best Foreign Language Film: BPM (Beats Per Minute)
    New Generation Award: Jordan Peele, Get Out
    Best Documentary/Non-Fiction Film: Faces Places
    Best Animated Film: Coco

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    Anonymous
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    Wigseau
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    It is not going to happen, but Patrick Stewart winning Best Supporting Actor for his amazing last performance as a depressed/senile Charles Xavier would be the nicest surprise ever.

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    FreemanGriffin
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    do they usually take 3-4 hours to do their voting the way NYFCC does?

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    CitizenBlake
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    I fuckin hope not, otherwise fuck it.

    Well I hope that 3-4 hour thing was a one off for NYFCC, and doesn’t happen here. It shouldn’t take that fuckin long to vote this year.

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    Eddy Q
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    I didn’t bother with predictions for National Board and New York critics, but this time I’m in the mood:

    Film: Call Me by Your Name
    Runner-up: Lady Bird

    Director: Luca Guadagnino – Call Me by Your Name
    Runner-up: Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water

    Actor: Robert Pattinson – Good Time
    Runner-up: Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name

    Actress: Daniela Vega – A Fantastic Woman
    Runner-up: Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water

    Supporting Actor: Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me by Your Name/The Post/The Shape of Water
    Runner-up: Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project

    Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo – Novitiate
    Runner-up: Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird

    Screenplay: Lady Bird – Greta Gerwig
    Runner-up: Phantom Thread – Paul Thomas Anderson

    Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049 – Roger Deakins
    Runner-up: The Shape of Water – Dan Laustsen

    Editing: Baby Driver – Paul Machliss, Jonathan Amos
    Runner-up: Get Out – Gregory Plotkin

    Production Design: The Shape of Water – Paul Denham Austerberry
    Runner-up: Blade Runner 2049 – Dennis Gassner

    Music: Phantom Thread – Jonny Greenwood
    Runner-up: Get Out – Michael Abels

    Animated Film: The Breadwinner
    Runner-up: Coco

    Documentary Film: Jane
    Runner-up: Faces Places

    Foreign Language Film: Foxtrot
    Runner-up: A Fantastic Woman

    I just have a hunch The Shape of Water will make a bit of a comeback here, although I only have it actually winning one award.

    EDIT: I forgot about Baby Driver so I changed my editing prediction to that. Same with Robert Pattinson in Good Time. Also remembered how this group like to award actors for a whole body of work (particularly supporting ones) so I switched round my winner and runner-up predictions for Supporting Actor, with Stuhlbarg winning for all three of his films out this year.

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    kbfr12
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    do they usually take 3-4 hours to do their voting the way NYFCC does?

    Yeah, mainly because they also have a lunch break in the middle.

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    Paul Hardister
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    A lot of the LAFCA members are on the Film Week podcast.

    I listen every week. They didn’t seem to like Call Me By Your Name as much as everyone else, including me. They liked but didn’t seem to love Billboards. They admired Dunkirk but more on a technical level.

    Based on their original reviews, I can see them awarding Lady Bird, Get Out, The Florida Project and just this week they really enjoyed The Disaster Artist.

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    CitizenBlake
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    A lot of the LAFCA members are on the Film Week podcast.

    I listen every week. They didn’t seem to like Call Me By Your Name as much as everyone else, including me. They liked but didn’t seem to love Billboards. They admired Dunkirk but more on a technical level.

    Based on their original reviews, I can see them awarding Lady Bird, Get Out, The Florida Project and just this week they really enjoyed The Disaster Artist.

    What did they think of Darkest Hour and Gary Oldman?

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    Anonymous
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    Paul Hardister
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    @citizenblake They didn’t seem to like that one that much either. They are a tough crowd! They thought the movie was stodgy. (It has a lower metacritic score than most contenders this year.)

    As far as Gary Oldman, they actually praised the makeup more than the performance! I think one of the reasons I don’t think he has done well so far in this year’s award season (as other pundits on blogs, podcasts point out) is there have been already so many recent award winning or award worthy Churchill performances: Lithgow in The Crown, Brian Cox in Churchill, etc. Therefore, it is hard to stand out from that. That’s also something the Film Week critics pointed out.

    I still have Oldman in my #1 spot in my predictions because, if for no other reason, Oldman has delivered so many transformative performances in his career (Lee Harvey Oswald, Sid Vicious, and even Dracula) that I feel like that will carry some weight with voters.

    I haven’t seen the movie myself. I’m watching it today actually.

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    Bee
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    He hasn’t won anything so far because a) they know he’s the frontrunner and b) they don’t want to reward typical baity performance over something worthy like Chalamet or Franco.

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    Miles
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    Critics don’t go for performances like Oldman’s. They see through the hamminess of it all while Oscar voters don’t.

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