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January 10, 2019 at 3:46 pm #1202729327
The nominations come out almost the earliest – other than Gothams – for these awards and it’s always interesting to look at them once the rest of the awards season has been shaping up.
I think If Beale Street Could Talk is the front-runner for Best Film, Best Director, Best Supporting Actress – it was snubbed for Best Screenplay (???). Sadly it’s looking like Beale Street isn’t going to get a BP or Best Director nomination at the Oscars (I hope I am wrong about this).
There are very few front-runners nominated in the acting categories – Glenn Close, Regina King, and Richard E Grant – with Ethan Hawke as a possibility.
I have Hereditary in my prediction for Best First Film but I’m not so sure. Sorry To Bother You, We the Animals, Wildlife and The Tale all could win.
It’s the only place Carey Mulligan’s superb performance made it in. Regina Hall won NYFCC but hasn’t factored elsewhere. Elsie Fisher got a GG nomination. Glenn Close won the GG and is nominated for SAG and I think will win the Oscar. Toni Collette has won many critics prizes but hasn’t factored in the precursors much.
Ethan Hawke, Glenn Close, Richard E Grant and Regina King seem like locks to me in the acting categories.
Still stunned that Suspiria got the Robert Altman Award!January 10, 2019 at 3:50 pm #1202729331
I wonder if Toni Collette or anybody other than Glenn Close will win here as Collette beat Close at the Gothams. However, Gothams are chosen by a jury of five people. We may have a repeat of when Brie Larson beat Cate Blanchett at Gothams but then Cate Blanchett won the Spirit Awards as she was winning everything else.January 10, 2019 at 3:55 pm #1202729339
I was expecting it to go to a more high profile movie, such as Beale Street or BlacKkKlansman, and didn’t see it coming at all. Did you expect Suspiria to win it?January 11, 2019 at 8:33 pm #1202730496
1. First Reformed
2. Beale Street
3. Leave No Trace
4. Eighth Grade
5. You Were Never Really HereJanuary 12, 2019 at 1:51 am #1202730582
I was expecting it to go to a more high profile movie, such as Beale Street or BlacKkKlansman, and didn’t see it coming at all. Did you expect Suspiria to win it?
Suspiria wasn’t going to get the respect it deserved during award season so I’m glad they sought to give it a special prize.January 12, 2019 at 3:44 am #1202730619
I wish Paul Dano could win for Wildlife in the Best First Feature category but I am predicting Ari Aster will win for Hereditary.
I wish Carey Mulligan would win in a stunning shocker for Wildlife, but it’s a toss-up between Glenn Close and Toni Collette, and I can’t figure out what they will do.
Ethan Hawke, Richard E Grant and Regina King are definitely winning their Indie Spirit categories.
I am predicting – and hoping – If Beale Street Could Talk wins for Best Feature and Best Director. Strange it isn’t nominated for it’s brilliant screenplay though.January 12, 2019 at 9:37 am #1202730864
If it wasn’t for that GG win, I’d predict Toni Collette here. But because ISA voters have become sheep in recent years they’ll vote Close.
Fuck, how do I hate that sheep mentality!
They’re no THAT sheep. Usually in supporting they sometimes choose the Oscar snub over the nominee. Ben Foster over Lucas Hedges. Shailene Woodley over Janet McTeer. Michelle Williams was also snubbed in Supporting for MBS. This year Melissa was also snubbed. So they’re not That sheep.January 12, 2019 at 12:45 pm #1202730988
I keep on changing my mind about Best Female Lead – they do seem to go with the Oscar winner in recent years and that would mean Glenn Close; while I didn’t like Toni Collette’s performance lots of others did including lots of critics groups so I could see them going with her instead. I keep on changing my mind. If I were an Indie Spirit voter I would vote for Carey Mulligan but she has no chance at all and I know it.January 12, 2019 at 11:26 pm #1202731343
They’re no THAT sheep. Usually in supporting they sometimes choose the Oscar snub over the nominee. Ben Foster over Lucas Hedges. Shailene Woodley over Janet McTeer. Michelle Williams was also snubbed in Supporting for MBS. This year Melissa was also snubbed. So they’re not That sheep.
It is true about nominations because only a handful of people vote on those but for winners even a normal person can vote if he/she pays the required amount of money to be a member. That’s why in recent years they always go with the biggest Oscar contender among the nominees. Lucas Hedges is the only exception I remember. Gothams are far better than them.
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