2020 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 5 Posts: 2167 View Predictions]

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Manuelcolon wrote:

With everything you said, did you see Jojo already? Do you think it would be a deserving winner?

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[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 5 Posts: 2167 View Predictions]

#1203183926

Manuelcolon wrote:

With everything you said, did you see Jojo already? Do you think it would be a deserving winner?

Yes, and I loved it. It’s my second favorite film of the year so far, only after Parasite. But I’ve been predicting Jojo to win since way before then, ever since it won People’s Choice at TIFF. Every other major contender just has more going against it. The Irishman and Marriage Story have to work against Netflix bias, which is still strong in the academy. Parasite has to work against foreign film bias, though I think it will be the critics favorite and win a few precursors. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood peaked too early. Joker is actually too divisive to win (there’s real controversy surrounding it, unlike Jojo Rabbit). Ford v Ferrari and 1917 are too traditional. And Little Women and Bombshell just don’t have the buzz.

Jojo Rabbit is the type of film the academy likes to reward (bold in it’s premise but simple in its execution, just like Green Book). It’s the audience favorite of the year. It’s doing extremely well at the box office. It has no bias to work against. And it’s the frontrunner to win Screenplay, an award that’s gone to the Picture winner 8 times out of 10 this decade. Several other contenders have a few of these factors, but only Jojo has all of them. And no I don’t think reviews matter anymore. The Oscars lost so many viewers by rewarding tiny, indie films over massive hits, turning away general audiences. They want to draw in more viewers, and to do that they will reward the films that millions of audience members love, not the films that a couple hundred critics love. Jojo Rabbit’s reviews are good enough (79% on Rotten Tomatoes) to win.

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[Babygirl Joined: Sep 12th, 2018 Topics: 2 Posts: 2257 View Predictions]

#1203184033

I just think Jojo Rabbit is too campy for AMPAS and some of the voters might misinterpret some of the jokes and the portrayal of the characters who are Nazis. I’d love to be proven wrong though.

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[Lil Tony Joined: Sep 17th, 2018 Topics: 8 Posts: 2168 View Predictions]

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Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby wrote:

lol. I don’t know if the gif says good or bad

FYC:

Chromatica: Album of the Year, Best Pop Vocal Album.

Rain On Me: Song of the Year, Record of the Year, Best Pop Duo/Group Performance, Best Music Video.

Alice: Best Pop Solo Performance

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[thesmark88 Joined: Sep 23rd, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 47 View Predictions]

#1203184248

FreemanGriffin wrote:

Scorsese has so much affection for these monsters but that doesn’t mean I have to feel the same way, no matter how hard a film-maker tries to manipulate me into doing so.

Did…did you watch the last hour of the film? I cannot conceive someone watching The Irishman and coming to any other conclusion than Scorsese having utter contempt for mobsters and their world. There’s not even the fun and glamor of Goodfellas mafia life, it’s just emptiness.

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[teri]

#1203184935

Lil Tony wrote:

lol. I don’t know if the gif says good or bad

I take it as a yes, although I’m happy to see he’s toned down his vulgar misogynistic posts. His opinions take a back seat.

• This reply was modified 8 months, 4 weeks ago by teri.
• This reply was modified 8 months, 4 weeks ago by teri.

Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 9 Posts: 1079 View Predictions]

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This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Aagaash Pathmathevan]

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Anonymous wrote:

I think Jojo Rabbit needs at least 1 acting nod if it’s going to win BP and that’s not set in stone yet

I think that and Taika having little chance of getting nominated for Best Director will be its downfall. If they can get Roman Griffin Davis a nomination for Best Actor, though, then that’s a different story. This is Marriage Story‘s to lose.

• This reply was modified 8 months, 4 weeks ago by Aagaash Pathmathevan.
• This reply was modified 8 months, 4 weeks ago by Aagaash Pathmathevan.

Oscars 2020: I stan Joaquin Phoenix, Willem Dafoe, Alan Silvestri, and Dean Deblois.

Emmys 2020: I stan Logan Lerman, Olivia Colman, and David Harbour.

Tom Hanks and Amy Adams stan in general.

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[Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby Joined: Jan 3rd, 2018 Topics: 8 Posts: 2297 View Predictions]

#1203185243

Darlings, I’m starting to think the Kramer v Kramer remake is winning the dildo for BP. It’s clearly going to be loved (and at least liked) by most Academy members who lived a divorce. That’s why Kramer v Kramer won back in the day, and that’s why its remake could win this year.

 

As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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[Nikhil Joined: Dec 9th, 2015 Topics: 6 Posts: 435 View Predictions]

#1203185329

Anonymous wrote:

I think Jojo Rabbit needs at least 1 acting nod if it’s going to win BP and that’s not set in stone yet

I think ScarJo will be double nominated this year. Her role in Jojo is wonderful and her character is too likeable. That said, I don’t think Jojo Rabbit is winning regardless. The passion feels less strong for it than Green Book last year which I think it needs.

Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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[ginnala Joined: Dec 1st, 2018 Topics: 4 Posts: 1533 View Predictions]

#1203185380

Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby wrote:

Darlings, I’m starting to think the Kramer v Kramer remake is winning the dildo for BP. It’s clearly going to be loved (and at least liked) by most Academy members who lived a divorce. That’s why Kramer v Kramer won back in the day, and that’s why its remake could win this year.

A Netflix movie will never win.

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[FairWeatherAffair Joined: May 11th, 2018 Topics: 5 Posts: 789 View Predictions]

#1203185549

Lil Tony wrote:

The Academy can’t handle the risk of making such mistake

Why do people always say this? No voter thinks in this manner.

Also, include me among those posters confused by people coming away from The Irishman feeling as if Scorsese is sympathizing with his lead characters…

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 9 Posts: 2946 View Predictions]

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[FairWeatherAffair Joined: May 11th, 2018 Topics: 5 Posts: 789 View Predictions]

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Anonymous wrote:

What did you think of The Irishman?

God cinema. You?

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[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 9 Posts: 2946 View Predictions]

#1203185594

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