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2020 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

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    thatnerdgreg
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    #1203170258

    Predictions

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    Nico Agudelo
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    #1203170401

    I’m not from the states, so I have found very curious that Peanut Butter Falcon has been one of the indie hits of the year, a crowd pleaser with good reviews and a known cast but has zero traction.
    Can anyone tell me why?
    I would appreciate a constructive answer…
    Thanx

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    Babygirl
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    #1203170418

    Just saw Marriage Story. Phenomenal movie. A serious screenplay contender and I feel pretty positive that Driver, Johansson, and Dern will all win. I don’t know when I’ve seen so many phenomenal performances in one movie. However, this is not a Best Picture winner. I’ve just got a feeling in my gut. It’s just too similar to Kramer v Kramer and it doesn’t have to usual social/political commentary that they’ve been going for.

    I can definitely see a scenario where it takes home Actor, Actress, Supporting Actress and Screenplay but not Picture, like Network.

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    babypook
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    #1203171289

    bumpity bump

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    babypook
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    #1203171393

    I’m putting off seeing it until it’s wider theatre release. Not Netflix.
    I think Zaillian remains a threat to win. I also don’t believe Scorsese or Pacino is the most likely chance for a win.

    But those reviews remain overall stellar and it could still win BP , without Scorsese or an actor win.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    cinetastic
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    #1203171656

    I’m not from the states, so I have found very curious that Peanut Butter Falcon has been one of the indie hits of the year, a crowd pleaser with good reviews and a known cast but has zero traction. Can anyone tell me why? I would appreciate a constructive answer… Thanx

    I thought Peanut Butter Falcon had a chance to be nominated for a few Oscars when it first came out. I even remember reading about Zack Gottsagen’s surprise and possible Oscar nomination. However, nobody seems to be talking about the movie or its chances at being nominated anymore.

    • This reply was modified 7 months ago by cinetastic.
    • This reply was modified 7 months ago by cinetastic.
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    babypook
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    #1203171682

    I don’t think it’s getting a wider theatrical release at all.

    I still don’t see this as a Best Picture winner. Just kind of a gut feeling. The critics don’t mean much when it comes to the Oscars. I wasn’t saying that it needs a Scorsese or a Pacino win for it to win BP, I’m saying that I don’t see it winning anything except maybe a win for Scorsese, Pacino, or Zaillian.

    It should be open for at least a few days in late November. The Netflix comment is a boycott. Lol.
    The only sure winner, and ima gonna say it again, is Thelma Schoonmaker. The other nominees will be honoured just to be in the same room with her.
    I’m not as confident about the win.

    • This reply was modified 7 months ago by teri.
    • This reply was modified 7 months ago by teri.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Heptapod
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    #1203171688

    Six nominees; no more, no less. 3 mainstream, 3 arthouse-rs

    Mainstream: Endgame, Frozen II, Rise of Skywalker (ONLY if latter 2 are mid-high 90’s on RT and are boxoffice megahits)

    Arthouse: Us, 1917, The Farewell.

    If you think Us and 1917 are small arthouse movies then you REALLY have NO idea what’s going on in the industry.

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    No
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    #1203171691

    Parasite has the same issue as Roma; foreign language. Thus, nominate it in Foreign Language Film

    Because we all know a Foreign Language film cannot be considered one of the best films of the year. That’d be ridiculous!

    Banned for making a fake movie poster

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    No
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    #1203171695

    Six nominees; no more, no less. 3 mainstream, 3 arthouse-rs Mainstream: Endgame, Frozen II, Rise of Skywalker (ONLY if latter 2 are mid-high 90’s on RT and are boxoffice megahits) Arthouse: Us, 1917, The Farewell.

    I cannot possibly imagine a worst lineup

    Banned for making a fake movie poster

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    Heptapod
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    #1203171697

    I’m not from the states, so I have found very curious that Peanut Butter Falcon has been one of the indie hits of the year, a crowd pleaser with good reviews and a known cast but has zero traction.
    Can anyone tell me why?
    I would appreciate a constructive answer…
    Thanx

    Buzz. I know that buzz is all relative, and it moves up and down, but even the contenders that lose buzz at least had it at one point. It is strange that it had such good box office numbers and that no one is really talking about it, but it’s unfortunately true. And while Shia and Dakota are big names, they’ve never really been big awards names, so people looking to watch movies that they can vote for for awards won’t really think of them (no matter how deserving they are).

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    No
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    #1203171706

    To be fair, I don’t think Parasite being a foreign language film will hurt it getting nominated for Best Picture, but I don’t think it will win Best Picture. Parasite will win Foreign Language, but it won’t win Best Picture in such a strong year. They’ll want to spread the wealth around a bit.

    oh this is valid but suggesting foreign language film shouldn’t be eligible in Best Picture just to make room for Frozen 2 anything Kristen Bell is in is one of the dumbest suggestions I’ve read on these threads.

    Banned for making a fake movie poster

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    kellis
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    #1203172901

    Dear AMPAS,

    Parasite or bust hoes.

    xoxo

    “No user starts this shady” - someone culturally relevant.

    Also got banned because...reasons? So, I guess ciao.

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    babypook
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    #1203172905

    It’s already in theaters. It’s not getting wider than this. Same with Marriage Story.

    Schoonmaker could win, but I really didn’t care for the editing in The Irishman. Oddly enough, JoJo might have the best editing of all the contenders. Editing is important in comedy and there’s some interesting stuff there. Parasite also has phenomenal editing.

    The Irishman is just a quantity over quality movie. It has moments of brilliance and moments that are only ok. It’s a pretty inconsistent movie, IMO.

    It doesn’t open anywhere near where I am until the 27th.
    And if I’m wrong about Thelma, then I’ve woken up in an alternate universe. Like Shrek

    ETA: your opinion on her work will have no relevance.

    • This reply was modified 6 months, 4 weeks ago by teri.
    • This reply was modified 6 months, 4 weeks ago by teri.
    • This reply was modified 6 months, 4 weeks ago by teri.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    #1203175156

    Darling, I know you love me. You all do. We may be in a BDSM relationship. That’s all. Oh and get ready for Clownery to get snubbed.

    • This reply was modified 6 months, 3 weeks ago by Thatcher.
    • This reply was modified 6 months, 3 weeks ago by Thatcher.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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