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Looks like that is it for Sterling K. Brown, so I am now predicting Song Kang Ho to win.
Song Kang Ho needs to be nominated
I just love movies. And awards.
Looks like that is it for Sterling K. Brown, so I am now predicting Song Kang Ho to win.
How? What’s your logic?
Tom Hanks, Anthony Hopkins, Al Pacino, Joe Pesci Brad Pitt… what decade is this? That is a lot of old white guys who already have Oscars. Alan Alda and Willem Dafoe have also been around forever and feel like the same demographic. They can still get an Oscar one of these years, but these current projects are not the ones. I find it hard to believe that academy members are going to be itching to give any of these guys a win for these performances in light of last year’s acting winners—three were first-time nominees and the fourth had gotten his first nomination only two years earlier. So I am looking for the apple in the bag of oranges. I thought that it would be Sterling K. Brown because he fit the mould of essentially all of last year’s acting winners in that he was a recent awards darling for television work now stepping into the world of prestige film. I am less confident about Song Kang Ho, who could easily go the way of Brown at Gotham and the Spirits and be a nonstarter, but I do have Parasite taking it all, so maybe a rising tide helps him.
The only non-campaigned person I can think of is Jennifer Tilly for Bullets Over Broadway. Her studio didn’t campaign her so she did it herself and got a nomination. The studio was pushing Diane Wiest and Tracey Ullman but not Tilly.
Olive:” What do you think I am, some kind of chump? They’re black, for God’s sake. They probably came from defective oysters.”
Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
Philip K Dick Blade RunnerLooks like that is it for Sterling K. Brown, so I am now predicting Song Kang Ho to win.
He would need some breaks but I could see that happening. If Pitt isnt the frontrunner we thought, Pacino already well awarded, Dafoe in divisive film, the skies could open up for him.
Tom Hanks, Anthony Hopkins, Al Pacino, Joe Pesci Brad Pitt… what decade is this? That is a lot of old white guys who already have Oscars. Alan Alda and Willem Dafoe have also been around forever and feel like the same demographic. They can still get an Oscar one of these years, but these current projects are not the ones. I find it hard to believe that academy members are going to be itching to give any of these guys a win for these performances in light of last year’s acting winners—three were first-time nominees and the fourth had gotten his first nomination only two years earlier. So I am looking for the apple in the bag of oranges. I thought that it would be Sterling K. Brown because he fit the mould of essentially all of last year’s acting winners in that he was a recent awards darling for television work now stepping into the world of prestige film. I am less confident about Song Kang Ho, who could easily go the way of Brown at Gotham and the Spirits and be a nonstarter, but I do have Parasite taking it all, so maybe a rising tide helps him.
Parasite isn’t “taking it all”. It takes Best Director, maybe a below the line tech win but not cinematography, FLF, and that’s it. If it does better than that, I’ll think I’m having a good dream.
Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
Philip K Dick Blade RunnerFrontrunners
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Al Pacino, The IrishmanOn the brink
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
Joe Pesci, The IrishmanNext in line
John Lithgow, Bombshell
Jamie Foxx, Just MercyStrong possibilities
Shia LaBeouf, Honey Boy
Song Kang-ho, ParasitePossibilities
Timothee Chalamet, Little Women
Sam Rockwell, Richard Jewell
Alan Alda, Marriage Story
Sam Rockwell, Jojo Rabbit
Sterling K. Brown, Waves
Taika Waititi, Jojo RabbitShouldn’t be written off
Lucas Hedges, Waves
Ray Liotta, Marriage StoryLonger shots
Robert Downey, Jr., Avengers: Endgame
Jonathan Majors, The Last Black Man in San Francisco
Tracy Letts, Ford vs. Ferrari
George McKay, 1917Theoretical possibilities
Wesley Snipes, Dolemite Is My Name
Jamie Bell, Rocketman
Aldis Hodge, ClemencyDaniel Craig?
Kubrick-Tarkovsky-Scorsese-Bergman-Bresson-Kurosawa
Tom Hanks, Anthony Hopkins, Al Pacino, Joe Pesci Brad Pitt… what decade is this? That is a lot of old white guys who already have Oscars. Alan Alda and Willem Dafoe have also been around forever and feel like the same demographic. They can still get an Oscar one of these years, but these current projects are not the ones. I find it hard to believe that academy members are going to be itching to give any of these guys a win for these performances in light of last year’s acting winners—three were first-time nominees and the fourth had gotten his first nomination only two years earlier. So I am looking for the apple in the bag of oranges. I thought that it would be Sterling K. Brown because he fit the mould of essentially all of last year’s acting winners in that he was a recent awards darling for television work now stepping into the world of prestige film. I am less confident about Song Kang Ho, who could easily go the way of Brown at Gotham and the Spirits and be a nonstarter, but I do have Parasite taking it all, so maybe a rising tide helps him.
Your argument makes no sense. Al Pacino has one Oscar and is one of the greatest actors alive. Voters wouldnt wanna see him win his 2nd? Especially since they gave Ali his 2nd
Your argument makes no sense. Al Pacino has one Oscar and is one of the greatest actors alive. Voters wouldnt wanna see him win his 2nd? Especially since they gave Ali his 2nd
Ali starred in 2 BP winners. I guess if Irishman wins BP then Pacino would go along for the ride. I dont think he has a narrative other than that. But Ali?!?! Isnt a winning message.
Lucas Hedges is extraordinary in Honey Boy, as are Noah Jupe and Shia LeBeouf (I personally felt that the latter two belong in the lead actor category but understand that they are being campaigned in supporting). All 3 are amazing! The film is so imaginative and inventive, and the performances are all brilliant! I so prefer any of these 3 to Willem Dafoe’s in The Lighthouse, which might win because I have a feeling Al Pacino and Joe Pesci will cancel each other out…
Lucas Hedges has shown such enormous range over the past 3 years. His older Otis is his best performance yet – he made me cry in one of his scenes with his therapist at the rehab center so hard (and cathartic). Just beautiful!
Ali starred in 2 BP winners. I guess if Irishman wins BP then Pacino would go along for the ride. I dont think he has a narrative other than that. But Ali?!?! Isnt a winning message.
Pacino clearly has a narrative. He’s a living legend making a comeback who’s considered overdue for another win after being snubbed many times.
Pacino clearly has a narrative. He’s a living legend making a comeback who’s considered overdue for another win after being snubbed many times.
You cant be “overdue” and an oscar winner. lol And if that is Pacino’s narrative than Pitt has stronger one than that. Character actor producing BP winners finally getting his due for his underrated acting that he never won for before.
You cant be “overdue” and an oscar winner. lol And if that is Pacino’s narrative than Pitt has stronger one than that. Character actor producing BP winners finally getting his due for his underrated acting that he never won for before.
You absolutely can be considered overdue for another Oscar win – that’s one of the reasons Streep won for one of her worst performances.
To be perfectly clear, I’m not saying Al Pacino is overdue, and I doubt most voters feel any sense of urgency to crown him a two-time winner; I also agree that Pitt has a much clearer narrative – even Willem Dafoe has a stronger narrative than Pacino.
But purely in terms of whether a one-time winner can be considered overdue for a second win: of course they can.
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