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2020 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress (Part 2)

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    JackO
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    #1203146787

    This is definitely going to one interesting category what with Robbie in 2 roles she could be nominated in, Streep being Streep, and how quickly late releases can get screeners out.

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    AnotherVice
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    #1203146833

    It would be a dream if Penelope Cruz were to get into this category. Though subtle and limited in screen time, she’s an absolute gem in this beautiful movie. While the present scenes were epic with Banderas, Cruz left you anticipating for the next flashback as she was a total screen stealer and the heart of this movie. I would love for her to get at least some Critics nods and perhaps some televised precursors.

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    Tyler
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    #1203147104

    Preface: I want Dern to have an Oscar just as much as anyone. That said, with this category starting to shape up, is she being overestimated big time for basically being Renata Klein in two-three scenes of the Driver/Johannson show? I worry everyone has their hopes too high. Robbie feels incredibly likely and honestly the Academy is probably just as ready to award her as they are Dern, J-Lo would be their way of awarding the narrative of Hustlers (this doesn’t feel that likely), heck, what if ScarJo starts picking up steam so that Renee or Charlize is cleared to sweep and the actors can award Jojo somewhere.

    If we make the case that Dern is in a similar place as King (character actress who needs an Oscar in a smaller role) shouldn’t we mention that King swept the critics and Dern definitely won’t? Also that King barely won category (granted her performance was much quieter than Dern’s) and Weisz/Stone had Oscars already, unlike Robbie, Johannson, and J-Lo. I guess that leaves out the Amy Adams of it all, but can that just be chocked up to a passionless reception to that specific performance? I’m pretty tempted to predict Robbie.

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    Pulp
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    #1203147124

    Dern definitely won’t?

    Why not?

    #FreeTheBannedFour

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    #1203147132
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    Piper Halliwell
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    #1203147135

    Preface: I want Dern to have an Oscar just as much as anyone. That said, with this category starting to shape up, is she being overestimated big time for basically being Renata Klein in two-three scenes of the Driver/Johannson show? I worry everyone has their hopes too high. Robbie feels incredibly likely and honestly the Academy is probably just as ready to award her as they are Dern, J-Lo would be their way of awarding the narrative of Hustlers (this doesn’t feel that likely), heck, what if ScarJo starts picking up steam so that Renee or Charlize is cleared to sweep and the actors can award Jojo somewhere. If we make the case that Dern is in a similar place as King (character actress who needs an Oscar in a smaller role) shouldn’t we mention that King swept the critics and Dern definitely won’t? Also that King barely won category (granted her performance was much quieter than Dern’s) and Weisz/Stone had Oscars already, unlike Robbie, Johannson, and J-Lo. I guess that leaves out the Amy Adams of it all, but can that just be chocked up to a passionless reception to that specific performance? I’m pretty tempted to predict Robbie.

    I don’t think King is comparable to Dern. The former’s previous work was mostly on television (I do not write this in a negative sense) and although she was known and popular in the business, she really needed the critical acclaim to stay relevant during the awards season. Laura Dern is a descendant of a popular actor dynasty, and she has worked with prestigious directors, dozens of Hollywood icons and her filmography has decades of strong work. I think someone like her doesn’t need the critical acclaim (though I think she’ll get a lot of mention) because she’s just well-known, popular, and respected enough to make it with the combination of good performance/strong picture/personal narrative. Also, it’s funny that you mentioned Renata Klein, because the success of Big Little Lies is yet another plus for Dern.

    Being ready to reward Robbie might be an exaggeration, but not all awards should be about being ready to reward someone. Sometimes performance and momentum triumph. Robbie is definitely a possibility, though I’d wait for official reviews before I dare to name her the front-runner over Laura Dern.

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    Luca
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    #1203147138

    I just want to remind everyone that Dern is easily sweeping those critics awards. While I haven’t seen the movie yet, it’s already obvious to me that “Marriage Story” is a critical favorite, and Dern seems to give that short but scene-stealing performance that critics end up rallying behind – like King. For the record, as fantastic as King was in her little “Beale Street” screen time, I honestly don’t think she was deserving of that win. It’s one thing if you can maximize your screen time, it’s another if your co-nominees could have done the same had they had less screen time (yes, I’m looking at Stone and Weisz, who were sublime).

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203147286

    I have a feeling that Marriage Story’s 3 actors are all going to sweep their respective critics awards, which is realky going to solidify Johansson and Dern in particular. Phoenix at least has enough popular praise to beat Driver at the bigger precursors, but I don’t see any of the masses rooting for Theron, Zellweger, or Robbie.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    #1203147291
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    Victor Cruz
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    #1203147321

    No one rooted for Close yet she swept. Her BAFTA loss made her vulnerable enough to lose the Oscar too however. All u need is industry support, not the mass’s.

    Exactly. Last year Malek and Ali barely won any critics awards. Glenn Close also didn’t win any critics awards and she almost won.

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    Tyler
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    #1203147455

    I just want to remind everyone that Dern is easily sweeping those critics awards. While I haven’t seen the movie yet, it’s already obvious to me that “Marriage Story” is a critical favorite, and Dern seems to give that short but scene-stealing performance that critics end up rallying behind – like King.

    Dern is not sweeping critics, her performance is loud and over the top- which is not to say it’s bad- but that’s not what critics go for. And critics don’t usually let one movie sweep all categories in their respective awards- like if a critics group awards Driver and the Marriage Story screenplay it doesn’t mean Dern will win, they like recognizing more films and particularly like going off the beaten path with supporting. Zhao Shuzen is more likely to win big critics prizes like LA and NY, or even Cruz because those are performances critics rally around. Hell even JLO makes more sense as a critics winner. None of those three I mentioned will win the Oscar, I’m just pointing out that Dern will have critical support for her movie but will not at all be the critics consensus pick like King was

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    Seven
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    #1203147461

    Dern is not sweeping critics, her performance is loud and over the top- which is not to say it’s bad- but that’s not what critics go for.  

    Not true. They loved Colman and Colette last year while ignoring the subtle and internal Close and Aparicio

    JLaw also won many critic awards for SLP and AH, both of which were over the top

    Hell NYFCC even gave the award to Tiffany Haddish who basically spent the movie cursing and talking about sex

    Also Mo’nique. Can’t get louder than this

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203147479

    I’ll be happy for Dern because she’s a great actress but a win for Lopez would be much more exciting. Especially seeing all those meltdowns here that Lopez has an Academy Award but someone like Emily Blunt hasn’t even been nominated. Oh my god, Lopez is gonna be nominated before Blunt. Who would have ever thought! 😂

    I would laugh so fucking hard if Lopez actually won! Even if she’s just nominated, it will still be hilarious!

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    DrewN92
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    #1203147544

    Obviously could be wrong here but I feel like the hype over Lopez is already depleting. I know a decent number of people who don’t follow the Oscars like we do who went to see Hustlers due to all of the buzz and most of them were disappointed and felt her performance didn’t live up to the hype. At least with most of my friends I have spoken to, they seem to think Lopez gave a good performance but not Oscar-worthy. I’d personally support a nomination for her but I would be surprised if she rides this to a win.

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    Nikhil
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    #1203147682

    Obviously could be wrong here but I feel like the hype over Lopez is already depleting. I know a decent number of people who don’t follow the Oscars like we do who went to see Hustlers due to all of the buzz and most of them were disappointed and felt her performance didn’t live up to the hype. At least with most of my friends I have spoken to, they seem to think Lopez gave a good performance but not Oscar-worthy. I’d personally support a nomination for her but I would be surprised if she rides this to a win.

    Lopez will not win. I think she will be snubbed here and there and in the end her win will be the nomination (if she gets one). The actual award is between Dern and Robbie (Bombshell).

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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