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2020 Oscar Predictions for Best Actress (Part 8)

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  • Icecreamben
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    #1203171068

    Yeah, Netflix will win 3 acting Oscars. I’ll believe it when I see it. Dern is the most likely because her competition is crap.

    Netflix won Foreign Film, director, and cinematography.  They’ll have no issue getting 3 acting wins.  The bigger question is, will they be able to get a BP win?  The Academy seems to have no issue awarding elements of the film, but they do seem to have an issue awarding the film itself.

    Victor Cruz
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    #1203171080

    Netflix won Foreign Film, director, and cinematography. They’ll have no issue getting 3 acting wins. The bigger question is, will they be able to get a BP win? The Academy seems to have no issue awarding elements of the film, but they do seem to have an issue awarding the film itself.

    Acting is different. 1 studio that is unconventional with its theatrical approach is not taking over 3/4 of the acting categories. I’m very sure of that. Also, you mention very clearly that the last time it happened was in the 70s. it basically doesn’t happen.

    Seven
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    #1203171089

    3/4 wins sounds like a huge reach (it’s not happening lbr) but Netflix has been pretty successful at securing acting wins at the Emmys so I don’t see what’s stopping it from getting at least one at the Oscars

    Roma was their first big horse in the Oscar race and that was a successful bid

    DrewN92
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    #1203171119

    Her speech is incredible, but if any of the three miss, it will be Dern. However, she basically recieved entrance applause and applause after her monologue. She is a scene stealer. She’s at least better than J-Lo. Still can’t understand what J-Lo does exactly that people seem to find award worthy.

    Miss in terms of a win, I am assuming? My gut has been telling me that while she has a great scene and she is so loved by the industry, someone with a meatier role with more screentime such as Robbie in Bombshell could very like sweep.

    Icecreamben
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    #1203171125

    Yeah, no I see it landing a win for Driver and Johansson.  Dern is likely, but her role is small.  I really do think this could win 3/4 along with a screenplay win.  This is a true acting based film with long baity monologues.  I do see this dominating in the acting categories.

    With Dern, I could see her missing the win, yeah, but she is great and she does steal every scene she’s in. I doubt it will be Robbie that beats her.

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Icecreamben.
    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Icecreamben.
    Victor Cruz
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    #1203171132

    3/4 wins sounds like a huge reach (it’s not happening lbr) but Netflix has been pretty successful at securing acting wins at the Emmys so I don’t see what’s stopping it from getting at least one at the Oscars

    Roma was their first big horse in the Oscar race and that was a successful bid

    1 yes not 3.

    Victor Cruz
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    #1203171140

    Miss in terms of a win, I am assuming? My gut has been telling me that while she has a great scene and she is so loved by the industry, someone with a meatier role with more screentime such as Robbie in Bombshell could very like sweep.

    Only problem is that Robbie isn’t campaigning and Dern is everywhere. Same thing with Johansson, Zellweger and Theron are everywhere campaigning.

    Icecreamben
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    #1203171142

    1 yes not 3.

    Have you seen Marriage Story?  They’ve got three Oscar worthy performances that are pure Oscar bait.

    One is playing an actor, the other a director. Long baity monologues, lots of screaming, witty lines that recieved applause from the audience, and tons of ugly crying. It’s Academy porn.

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Icecreamben.
    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Icecreamben.
    babypook
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    #1203171155

    It would take a lot for me to cancel Dern as the winner.
    She’s well liked and respected for her impressive resume, Hollywood royalty, and the perf to justify her win.
    Robbie is overall amazing, but I suspect it isn’t quite her time. And Driver I suspect won’t win for the same reasons as Robbie.

    I’m choosing to keep Scarlett in M S. At the very least it’ll raise her profile, and do nicely as a base for any future projects.

    jmho

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    Victor Cruz
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    #1203171185

    Have you seen Marriage Story? They’ve got three Oscar worthy performances that are pure Oscar bait.

    One is playing an actor, the other a director. Long baity monologues, lots of screaming, witty lines that recieved applause from the audience, and tons of ugly crying. It’s Academy porn.

    I Said the performances are great. THAT doesn’t mean they’ll win Oscars for it. Do you know how the Oscars work? The performance is just one of many things.

    Icecreamben
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    #1203171194

    I Said the performances are great. THAT doesn’t mean they’ll win Oscars for it. Do you know how the Oscars work? The performance is just one of many things.

    Yeah I agree, except it’s not like they’re up against anyone with an overdue narrative or anything.

    babypook
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    #1203171200

    I Said the performances are great. THAT doesn’t mean they’ll win Oscars for it. Do you know how the Oscars work? The performance is just one of many things.

    SAG Ensemble winner. Right?

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    Icecreamben
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    #1203171204

    SAG Ensemble winner. Right?

    Maybe.  I could see SAG awarding the individual performances separately for Marriage Story and giving maybe JoJo Rabbit the SAG ensemble win.

    babypook
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    #1203171225

    Maybe. I could see SAG awarding the individual performances separately for Marriage Story and giving maybe JoJo Rabbit the SAG ensemble win.

    That’s possible as well, although I’m not as confidant about JoJo.
    It should be exciting because both would be deserving. MS remains my favorite (eligible) ensemble.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    Baby Clyde
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    #1203171549

    I don’t think Johannson wins for this. She’s great. She’ll get her first nom but there’s nothing there to beat the likes of Zellweger and lovers of the films have Dern and Driver to support.

    If Renee gets taken down it will have to be someone with either an undeniable performance or a better narrative. So far we haven’t seen either of those things emerge.

    The nomination is her win. Hopefully it will lead to many more as she’s a fantastic actress.

    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Baby Clyde.
    • This reply was modified 1 week, 5 days ago by  Baby Clyde.
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