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2020 Oscar Predictions for Best Actress (Part 8)

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    babypook
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    #1203165196

    I mean, it’s literally the only major release this week to be profitable. Every other release this week (Dark Fate, Motherless Brooklyn, Arctic Dogs, and The Irishman would have bombed if Netflix didn’t pay for it) is a flop.

    I’m just being cautious. lol. It’s only been a few days.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Bee
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    #1203165277

    People are very reactionary to things in the moment. Though Harriet’s box office is good, I still see Erivo as being that GG+SAG snubee. Yes, she’s playing Harriet Tubman but David Oyelowo was playing MLK in a stronger picture and still missed out in quite a competitive field. Best Actress is a bit weaker than that this year buttttt Cynthia Erivo is not the passion type of nominee especially for something like Harriet Tubman that’s not going to be winning with the way film’s reviews are. She would be filler, which would invite a passion nom to come through. She won’t win any critics, she’ll make regionals here and there but won’t win any of them. She’d also be in danger of being a sole nominee for that.

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    babypook
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    #1203165289

    If the critics start praising her to the skies and the box office doesn’t take a bigger than usual dive I’ll reconsider.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    Nikhil
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    #1203165293

    I feel like this category is easy.
    Zellweger
    Theron
    Johannson
    Erivo
    Ronan
    Alt: Awkwafina

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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    ayanami
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    #1203165306

    I feel far more confident in Awkwafina’s inclusion. A lot more than originally. Iv e always had her in my predix and now she’s going to stay there. Win it for your great work, and win it for Oberon and Kikuchi.

    Zhang Ziyi too. Hollywood still has a lot of work to do in order to fix its diversity issue. I hope Awkwafina gets nominated. She and the film absolutely deserve recognition.

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    wattsgold
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    Oct 6th, 2018
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    #1203165336

    Honestly, I’ll be surprised if Saoirse makes it. I think is either Theron or her.

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    John Berchmans
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    Jan 22nd, 2018
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    #1203165528

    Why are people underestimating Ronan. her raves have been just as strong as Theron based on the early reactions for both films. And she’s become a huge favorite with the academy, usually earning nominations if she’s in a successful film that gets nominated for Picture (Atonement, Brooklyn, Lady Bird) which Little Women will be. I think she’s just as much of a lock as Theron, Johansson, and Zellweger, and only the 5th slot is truly up for grabs (though probably Awkwafina’s thanks to the Globes).

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    Vicki Leekx
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    #1203165624

    Slay me, Queen Helen

    FYC:

    Antonio Banderas and Asier Etxeandia, Dolor y Gloria (Best Actor/Supporting Actor)
    Emily Beecham, Little Joe (Best Actress)
    Ian McKellen and Helen Mirren, The Good Liar (Best Actor/Actress)

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    babypook
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    #1203165640

    I don’t think Helen needs to worry about Catherine the Great hurting her chances.
    But as a word of caution to those who say this is a plus I suggest you rethink that.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    JackO
    Joined:
    Jun 2nd, 2011
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    #1203165653

    People are very reactionary to things in the moment. Though Harriet’s box office is good, I still see Erivo as being that GG+SAG snubee. Yes, she’s playing Harriet Tubman but David Oyelowo was playing MLK in a stronger picture and still missed out in quite a competitive field. Best Actress is a bit weaker than that this year buttttt Cynthia Erivo is not the passion type of nominee especially for something like Harriet Tubman that’s not going to be winning with the way film’s reviews are. She would be filler, which would invite a passion nom to come through. She won’t win any critics, she’ll make regionals here and there but won’t win any of them. She’d also be in danger of being a sole nominee for that.

    Agreed. She was always going to hit some precursors and this strengthens that case. But I dont see her crossing the finish line at the end.

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    babypook
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    #1203165760

    Why are people underestimating Ronan. her raves have been just as strong as Theron based on the early reactions for both films. And she’s become a huge favorite with the academy, usually earning nominations if she’s in a successful film that gets nominated for Picture (Atonement, Brooklyn, Lady Bird) which Little Women will be. I think she’s just as much of a lock as Theron, Johansson, and Zellweger, and only the 5th slot is truly up for grabs (though probably Awkwafina’s thanks to the Globes).

    Not sure. Personal bias? They know something we don’t?
    puzzling.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

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    wattsgold
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    #1203165814

    Why are people underestimating Ronan. her raves have been just as strong as Theron based on the early reactions for both films. And she’s become a huge favorite with the academy, usually earning nominations if she’s in a successful film that gets nominated for Picture (Atonement, Brooklyn, Lady Bird) which Little Women will be. I think she’s just as much of a lock as Theron, Johansson, and Zellweger, and only the 5th slot is truly up for grabs (though probably Awkwafina’s thanks to the Globes).

    For Best Actress
    2015: 1 nominee in BP contender

    2016: 2 nominees in BP contenders

    2017: 1 nominee in BP contender

    2018: 4 nominees in BP contenders

    2019: 3 nominees in BP contenders

    Granted, Ronan has done it twice in this period, but with so many different roles I think the most likely for the nomination and BP potential race are CT and SJ. Then there’s RZ, considered the biggest lock without the push from her movie. The other 2 cannot be guaranteed just yet, but the Globes will help clarify the matter.
    If anything being nominated along with your movie may lead you to the win, as evidenced in the last four years.

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    #1203165839
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    #1203165895

    Darlings, Cheap Beyoncé may be sadly happening at the Globes over Awkwardfina and Thatcher will not be okay with that.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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    Salsa Club
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    #1203165902

    List of actresses not happening at the Oscars:

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