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2020 Oscar Predictions (Part 5)

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    Cordelia
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    #1203135122

    Oh, and knowing the HFPA, I don’t doubt that Joker win Best Picture Drama in the Golden Globes. I think that will be multiple BAFTA nominations for it as well, as the reception outside of America was really great.

    Does HFPA go for the combination of mainstream blockbusters AND dark? They usually go for big ensemble crowdpleasers, not bleak character pieces. They never pick the film with the most controversial subject matter generally.

    I guess this will be an interesting test of precedent. I agree it is likely to be nominated*, but a win would be pretty shocking.

    *because Parasite is foreign language, but also because if Little Women flops it gains that slot.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    Babygirl
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    #1203135128

    I don’t see Joker winning Drama Picture at the Globes at all.

    Also most of the critiques for the film are for it’s Screenplay so I doubt it will get in.

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    Babygirl
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    #1203135139

    I am not convinced either, I feel like Black Panther nomination last year has people hyping up superhero movies more than ever before when in reality there are plenty of Academy voters, young and old, who don’t care for these type of stories. Plus the film is very nihilistic and has overall just ok reviews.

    Black Panther got in because it had a strong narrative (cultural impact), Joker doesn’t have that.

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    Human Bartender
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    #1203135240

    Joker has the same BoRap had, which is box office success.

    I don’t think Bohemian Rhapsody got there cause of its box office. It was because of the overwhelming love for Queen and Freddie Mercury. The box office helped, but it wasn’t why that film got all those (undeserved) nominations and wins.

    Let’s Go Bucks

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    Babygirl
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    #1203135287

    I don’t think Bohemian Rhapsody got there cause of its box office. It was because of the overwhelming love for Queen and Freddie Mercury. The box office helped, but it wasn’t why that film got all those (undeserved) nominations and wins.

    Exactly. I said this before but I got ignored lol.

    #1203135293

    I knew Bombshell was gonna be praised! Margot and Charlize are coming for the Oscar nods!

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    Cordelia
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    #1203135310

    The thing about using the box office argument for Joker is that there was a certain other superhero film this year that broke box office records, but that isn’t getting into the race and 90% of people have accepted that. Box office alone doesn’t net Oscars buzz. It won’t be box office love that will drive Joker’s run. Admiration for Joaquin Phoenix’s performance is going to be the main driving force for Joker’s Oscars run.

    • This reply was modified 11 months, 3 weeks ago by Cordelia.
    • This reply was modified 11 months, 3 weeks ago by Cordelia.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    fvg627
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    #1203135535

    Glad to see the reception for bombshell. I expect to see it in picture now, and it would be nice to see these three excellent actresses crash the relatively open actress races.

    • This reply was modified 11 months, 3 weeks ago by fvg627.
    • This reply was modified 11 months, 3 weeks ago by fvg627.
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    John Berchmans
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    #1203135607

    People seem to be forgetting that box office isn’t the only thing Joker has going for it. It won the Golden Lion at Venice, an extremely prestigeous film prize that has led to Best Picture nominations two years in a row. It’s had a ton of Oscar buzz for Phoenix’s performance pretty much since the first trailer dropped, and now has strong buzz for categories like Cinematography and Score as well. Audiences absolutely love it, as evidenced by its insanely low drops. It’s sure to be a big hit at the Globes. And the academy has had a lot more pressure to nominate more “popular” films like Joker now that their ratings are plummeting and their category got rejected. The fact that it MASSIVELY OVERPERFORMED at the box office (those being the two key words, no one ever expected it to do this well) is really just the cherry on top of its path to Oscar success.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    Victor Cruz
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    #1203135736

    The Oscar Race so far.

    Best Actor
    1. Joaquim Phoenix (Joker)
    VS
    2. Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

    Best Actress
    1. Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
    VS
    2. Renee Zellweger (Judy)

    Best Supporting Actor

    1. Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time in Hollywood)
    VS
    2. Al Pacino (The Irishman)

    Best Supporting Actress
    1. Margot Robbie (Bombshell)
    VS
    2. Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203135763

    1. Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
    VS
    2. Renee Zellweger (Judy)

    You spelled Scarlett Johansson wrong.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    AWDubay
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    Aug 19th, 2011
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    #1203135768

    My thoughts on the race so far

    Picture – Irishman
    Director – Greta Gerwig
    Actor – Joaquin
    Actress – Renee
    Sup Actor – Brad Pitt
    Sup Actress – This one im stuck on , but i could see a dern win for sure or Pugh, Robie or even Maggie Smith

    Andrewsart.etsy.com

    Check out my online store 🙂

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    jonny
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    Sep 18th, 2011
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    #1203135781

    Had both Bombshell and Queen & Slim in my best picture nominees for awhile now,they have important subject matters unlike joker which i don’t have in my predictions, and i still don’t see the Irishman,marriage story or ouatih winning best picture, and i am a huge Tarantino and Scorsese fan

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    Victor Cruz
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    #1203135794

    You spelled Scarlett Johansson wrong.

    Who?

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    Luca
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    Jun 23rd, 2017
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    #1203135815

    I love love love Margot, but I still need Laura to win. It must happen.

    Oscar FYC -- Give Viola Davis her second Oscar!

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