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2020 Oscar Predictions (Part 5)

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  • Honey
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    Best Actress

    Cynthia Erivo– Harriet
    Renee Zellweger– Judy
    Saoirse Ronan– Little Women
    Awkwafina– The Farewell
    Felicity Jones – The Aeronauts

    Best Actor

    Adam Driver– Untitled Noah Baumbach
    Leonardo DiCaprio– Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Joaquin Phoenix – Joker
    Matthew Rhys – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    Eddie Redmayne – The Aeronauts

    Best Supporting Actor

    Brad Pitt– Once Upon A Time in Hollywood
    Sam Rockwell – Jojo Rabbit
    Taika Waititi – Jojo Rabbit
    Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    John Lithgow– Fair & Balanced

    Best Supporting Actress

    Margot Robbie– Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Meryl Streep – The Laundromat
    Thomasin Mckenzie – Jojo Rabbit
    Scarlett Johannson– Jojo Rabbit
    Laura Dern– Untitled Noah Baumbach

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    Lil Tony
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    #1202972613

    I can’t see any more mentions of Dame Maggie Smith in supporting actress for Dowton Abbey. Is it that she no longer has a chance?

    I really want her nominated because she needs one more nomination at least before she passes out. She was snubbed for The Lady in the Van and especially, The best exotic Marigold Hotel.

    FYC
    Best Actor :.
    Taron Egerton = Rocketman
    Joaquin Phoenix = Joker
    Eddie Murphy = Dolemite is my Name

    Best actress :
    Charlize Theron = Bombshell
    Alfre Woodard = Clemency

    Supporting Actor
    Brad Pitt = Once upon a time in Hollywood

    Supporting Actress =
    Margot Robbie = Any of her two performances.
    Dame Maggie Smith = Downton Abbey
    Octavia Spencer = Luce

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    #1202972632

    I can’t see any more mentions of Dame Maggie Smith in supporting actress for Dowton Abbey. Is it that she no longer has a chance? I really want her nominated because she needs one more nomination at least before she passes out. She was snubbed for The Lady in the Van and especially, The best exotic Marigold Hotel.

    She has a chance, but will need a REALLY strong performance. The supporting race is already heating up, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see her nominated if she pulls it off.

    That is the truth.

    No exceptions.

    A Rival To Thatcher’s Reign.

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    markwahlbird
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    #1202972652

    Current acting predictions, with a couple alts eact

    Best Actress:

    -Awkwafina, The Farewell
    -Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
    -Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
    -Charlize Theron, Fair and Balanced
    -Renée Zellweger, Judy

    ALTS: Natalie Portman, Lucy in the Sky / Alfre Woodard, Clemency

    Best Actor:

    -Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
    -Robert De Niro, The Irishman
    -Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    -Ian McKellen, The Good Liar
    -Jonathan Pryce, The Pope [y’all are sleeping on this as a frontrunner – Pryce is a beloved character actor, playing an important modern religious figure, in a movie written by the same guy who wrote 3 out of the 5 Best Actor winning movies]

    ALTS: Adam Driver, The Report / Daniel Kaluuya, Queen & Slim

    Best Supporting Actress:

    -Annette Bening, The Report
    -Florence Pugh, Little Women
    -Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    -Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell (no guts, no glory prediction)
    -Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey

    ALTS: Laura Dern, Little Women / Octavia Spencer, Luce

    Best Supporting Actor:

    -Willem Dafoe, The Last Thing He Wanted
    -Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    -John Lithgow, Fair and Balanced
    -Al Pacino, The Irishman
    -Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    ALTS: Christian Bale, Ford v. Ferrari / Joe Pesci, The Irishman

    (And two more alts that I think could also be very close: Anthony Hopkins, The Pope / Taika Waititi, JoJo Rabbit)

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    Owl-Always-watching
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    #1202972773

    Tom Hanks is supporting in a beautiful day in neighborhood?

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    JGibson
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    -Jonathan Pryce, The Pope [y’all are sleeping on this as a frontrunner – Pryce is a beloved character actor, playing an important modern religious figure, in a movie written by the same guy who wrote 3 out of the 5 Best Actor winning movies]

    Good Lord, thats the tea!! It would be a nice time for mr Pryce to be recognized and I’m excited bout this cause it’s directed by the excellent Fernando Meirelles.

    Hope Netflix doesn’t fail this one

    FYC: Invisible Life (Brazil) for Best International Film and Best Supporting Actress (Fernanda Montenegro)

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    Tom Hanks is supporting in a beautiful day in neighborhood?

    Yes.

    Good Lord, thats the tea!! It would be a nice time for mr Pryce to be recognized and I’m excited bout this cause it’s directed by the excellent Fernando Meirelles. Hope Netflix doesn’t fail this one

    The main reason I’m not predicting him is Netflix. I think they put priority in the Noah Baumbach Project, The Irishman, The Laundromat, and The Last Thing He Wanted.

    That is the truth.

    No exceptions.

    A Rival To Thatcher’s Reign.

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    Brayden Fitzsimmons
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    #1202974865

    The Farewell is already exceeding expectations at the box office, For the first time this awards season I’m actually starting to buy Awkwafina as a top contender and think that she could legit happen for the win.

    I thought that The Farewell would be too small, too niche, too foreign and too indie, but it looks like it might not be the case at all.

    It’s already made $351,330 from 4 theatres this past weekend. For comparison, other best actress contender, Jessie’s Buckley’s Wild Rose only made $52,938 when it was playing in 4 theatres.

    Also think it helps that she’s having a banner year with Weird City, Paradise Hills, Jumanji 2 and The Farewell. In addition to that, come Tuesday she could also be Emmy nominee for SNL, with a possible win in September that she could ride all the long to Oscar (a la Regina King).

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    Salsa Club
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    The Farewell is already exceeding expectations at the box office, For the first time this awards season I’m actually starting to buy Awkwafina as a top contender and think that she could legit happen for the win. I thought that The Farewell would be too small, too niche, too foreign and too indie, but it looks like it might not be the case at all. It’s already made $351,330 from 4 theatres this past weekend. For comparison, other best actress contender, Jessie’s Buckley’s Wild Rose only made $52,938 when it was playing in 4 theatres. Also think it helps that she’s having a banner year with Weird City, Paradise Hills, Jumanji 2 and The Farewell. In addition to that, come Tuesday she could also be Emmy nominee for SNL, with a possible win in September that she could ride all the long to Oscar (a la Regina King).

    I want an Awkwafina win just as bad as the next girl, but I don’t think it’s going to happen.. the film is 90% Mandarin and the overall box office will probably match that of A24’s summer offering last year, Eighth Grade. Awkwafina will get as far as a Globe nom, if she’s lucky, and her film will be fortunate enough to score a screenplay Oscar nom, but that’s not looking too likely when you have other early releases like Booksmart and Us to compete with, in addition to the players the festival circuit has to offer in the fall 🙁

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    Miles
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    #1202975148

    Awkwafina? Oscar winning actress? I don’t think so

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    I would say it’s too early to call Awkwafina a frontrunner for Best Actress. It did well in 4 theatres but it needs to do well in wide release to be in real contention. The screenplay has a good shot either way and I have faith it will be nominated. Awkwafina needs to have a frontrunner (Ronan/Theron/etc..) somewhat fail because they have a more awards friendly release date compared to a very early July date, but she definitely is going to be up there with a pretty much locked Globe nomination.

    That is the truth.

    No exceptions.

    A Rival To Thatcher’s Reign.

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    Tyler
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    I think Awkwafina is definitely looking good for a nod but is not win-competitive for such a small film with an (from what I’ve heard) understated performance. The Eighth Grade comparison makes sense, but I think the WGA win showed that film put up a good fight and was pretty close to a screenplay nomination. Also, she’ll be campaigning herself by doing press for Angry Birds and Jumanji through the second half of the year

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    Original Screenplay:

    • Once Upon a Time In Hollywood
    • Noah Baumbach Film
    • Harriet
    • The Farewell
    • Pain and Glory

    That is the truth.

    No exceptions.

    A Rival To Thatcher’s Reign.

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    Tyler
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    #1202975946

    It’d be funny if Gerwig and Baumbach, who are partners and have a child together, are both nominated in opposite screenplay categories

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    Manuelcolon
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    Is anyone predicting Margot to win? Considering reviews and screentime i feel like she’ll get nominated based on hype for the movie, not her performance as a whole.

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