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2020 Oscar Predictions (Part 6)

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  • babypook
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    #1203146062

    Parasite, isn’t going to win Best Picture.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    Nikhil
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    #1203146112

    That Mendes pick for BD is a bold one. Personally Mendes isn’t the same director he once was. I’d love if he proves me wrong.

    I think the one shot thing is going to be too much to pass up. If the movie is good I don’t see how he doesn’t become the de facto pick in this category. This is especially true given how cinematography and director have gone to the same film 67% of the time this decade. If you just look at 2012-present, they line up 85%+ of the time.

    I think the wise thing to do is predict the same film for both awards. I have a hunch the majority of voters (especially the new members) likely don’t see a distinction between directing and cinematography, or they treat them similarly (how the film is shot/looks).

    1917 seems like the runaway winner in cinematography from this far out, so I think directing just comes with it.

    My personal Top 5 of 2019 so far:
    1) Parasite 2) The Farewell 3) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 4) Joker 5) Jojo Rabbit

    babypook
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    #1203146125

    If someone other than Roger Deakins wins here I won’t be happy. I would have thought I’d be used to the idea by now.

    Great points Nikhil. I’ll keep it in mind because right now I have him 4th.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    babypook
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    #1203146132

    I 100% agree with all of this. The Razzies are painfully unfunny now.

    [/quote

    I didn’t say you have to like them. lol.
    But I’m going to defend my friend. That’s what I do.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    Icecreamben
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    #1203146312

    October 2019 Predictions

    Best Picture:

    1. JoJo Rabbit

    2. Marriage Story

    3. Parasite

    4. The Irishman

    5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    6. 1917

    7. Little Women

    8. The Farewell

    9. Joker

    10. Bombshell

    Best Actress Lead:

    1. Scarlett Johansson- Marriage Story

    2. Renee Zellweger- Judy

    3. Saoirse Ronan- Little Women

    4. Charlize Theron- Bombshell

    5. Awkwafina- The Farewell

    Best Actor Lead:

    1. Adam Driver- Marriage Story

    2. Joaquin Phoenix- Joker

    3. Leonardo Dicaprio- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    4. Robert De Niro- The Irishman

    5. Roman Griffin Davis- JoJo Rabbit

    Best Supporting Actress:

    Laura Dern- Marriage Story

    Zhao Shuzhen- The Farewell

    Florence Pugh- Little Women

    Scarlett Johansson- JoJo Rabbit

    Thomasin McKenzie- JoJo Rabbit

    Best Supporting Actor:

    Willem Dafoe- The Lighthouse

    Al Pacino- The Irishman

    Brad Pitt- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Tom Hanks- A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

    Sam Rockwell- JoJo Rabbit

    John Berchmans
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    #1203146391

    My post The Lighthouse/Parasite/Jojo Rabbit premiere predictions before all of the precursors start up. My predicted winner is ranked at the top of each category in bold.

     

    Best Picture

     

    Jojo Rabbit

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Marriage Story

    The Irishman

    1917

    Parasite

    Joker

    Ford v Ferrari

    Little Women

    Bombshell

     

    Best Director

     

    Bong-Joon Ho-Parasite

    Quentin Tarantino-Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Martin Scorsese-The Irishman

    Sam Mendes-1917

    Taika Waititi-Jojo Rabbit

     

    Best Actor

     

    Joaquin Phoenix-Joker

    Adam Driver-Marriage Story

    Leonardo DiCaprio-Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Robert De Niro-The Irishman

    Jonathan Pryce-The Two Popes

     

    Best Actress

     

    Scarlett Johansson-Marriage Story

    Renee Zellweger-Judy

    Saoirse Ronan-Little Women

    Charlize Theron-Bombshell

    Lupita Nyong’o-Us

     

    Best Supporting Actor

     

    Al Pacino-The Irishman

    Brad Pitt-Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Willem Dafoe-The Lighthouse

    Christian Bale-Ford v Ferrari

    Jamie Foxx-Just Mercy

     

    Best Supporting Actress

     

    Laura Dern-Marriage Story

    Margot Robbie-Bombshell

    Jennifer Lopez-Hustlers

    Meryl Streep-Little Women

    Florence Pugh-Little Women

     

    Best Original Screenplay

     

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Marriage Story

    Parasite

    1917

    Bombshell

     

    Best Adapted Screenplay

     

    Jojo Rabbit

    The Irishman

    Little Women

    A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

    Toy Story 4

     

    Best Film Editing

     

    Ford v Ferrari

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    The Irishman

    Parasite

    Jojo Rabbit

     

    Best Cinematography

     

    1917

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    The Irishman

    The Lighthouse

    Joker

     

    Best Production Design

     

    Jojo Rabbit

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    1917

    The Irishman

    Ad Astra

     

    Best Costume Design

     

    Jojo Rabbit

    The Irishman

    Little Women

    Downton Abbey

    Aladdin

     

    Best Makeup and Hairstyling

     

    Bombshell

    Judy

    Swedish film

    Joker

    Downton Abbey

     

    Best Sound Mixing

     

    Ford v Ferrari

    1917

    Joker

    Ad Astra

    The Irishman

     

    Best Sound Editing

     

    Ford v Ferrari

    Joker

    1917

    Ad Astra

    Star Wars The Rise of Skywalker

     

    Best Original Score

     

    Joker

    1917

    Marriage Story

    Little Women

    Star Wars The Rise of Skywalker

     

    Best Original Song

     

    Into The Unknown-Frozen 2

    Spirit-The Lion King

    The Ballad of the Lonesome Cowboy-Toy Story 4

    Unknown new song-Cats

    Stand Up-Harriet

     

    Best Visual Effects

     

    The Lion King

    The Irishman

    Avengers Endgame

    Ad Astra

    Star Wars The Rise of Skywalker

     

    Best Animated Feature

     

    Toy Story 4

    Frozen 2

    How to Train Your Dragon 3 The Hidden World

    Weathering With You

    I Lost My Body

     

    For Your Consideration.

    Best Picture: Parasite, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Ford v Ferrari
    Best Director: Bong-Joon Ho, Taika Waititi, Todd Phillips
    Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix, Robert Pattinson, Roman Griffin Davis, Christian Bale
    Best Actress: Lupita Nyong'o
    Best Supporting Actor: Willem Dafoe, Song Kang-Ho, Sam Rockwell
    Best Supporting Actress: Thomasin McKensie, Cho Yeo-Jeong
    Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit, Joker
    Best Original Screenplay: Parasite, Ford v Ferrari

    NevadaR
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    #1203146400

    Meanwhile The Two Popes is on a winning spree at smaller festivals and I feel like we’re sleeping on it.

    Qoslca
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    Oct 19th, 2018
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    #1203146417

    Personally, Best Director seems like one of the hardest categories to predict this year. There are so many options, and it’s very hard to predict which way the Academy will lean.

    For one, I feel like a female director will be nominated this year. You have two major awards players, Little Women and ABDITN, both directed by women, and especially since the backlash last year against the lack of directing nomination for Can You Ever Forgive Me?, I feel like one of them will make the cut (presumably Gerwig).

    That leaves four slots left. Due to long-time Academy preference, we can assume that one of those will go to Scorsese, leaving three slots.

    When you look at the history of the Best Director category, we can reasonably assume that a foreign director will be nominated (in the footsteps of Paweł Pawlikowski, Michael Haneke, Julian Schnabel, etc.). The two most obvious choices this year are Bong-Jon Hoo and Pedro Alomovar – with that slot leaning towards Bong.

    Now, we have two slots left. This is when it gets harder. Will Tarantino be nominated for OUATIH? At times, he’s been recognized by the Academy, but he’s not as universally ‘loved’ as Scorsese. Plus, OUATIH has seemed to pick up most acclaim for its acting, screenplay, and mis-en-scene, rather than for its directing. Will Taika Waititi be nominated for Jojo Rabbit? A high possibility, although he’s a lock for Best Adapted Screenplay and a contender in Supporting Actor, so the Academy might think that recognition is enough. Sam Mendes is seeming stronger day by day as acclaim builds for 1917. Noah Baumbach is swinging for the fences with his critically-acclaimed Marriage Story, although he’ll be a lock – and possible winner – for Original Screenplay. Then there’s the strong outside players, such as Todd Phillips for Joker or James Mangold for Ford v. Ferrari.

    What are your thoughts? I’d love to know your musings on the subject and what your predictions are. Cheers!

    My username is an acronym of “Quiet On Set! Lights, Camera, Action.”

    Pulp
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    #1203146447

    Plus, OUATIH has seemed to pick up most acclaim for its acting, screenplay, and mis-en-scene, rather than for its directing

    Tarantino’s directing has been praised more than his screenplay.

    babypook
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    #1203146495

    I’m not holding my breath for a nomination for a woman.
    It’s early but my picks are

    Scorsese, Bong Joon-ho, Tarantino, Mendes, and Baumbach., not necessarily in that order.

    Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
    Philip K Dick Blade Runner

    Thatcher, Former Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Jan 3rd, 2018
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    #1203146511

    Darlings, in this feminist world, Gerwig is happening. I can smell it. Thatcher knows what she’s talking about. Believe her.

    I was your Prime Minister once.

    EsOS
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    Dec 9th, 2018
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    #1203146738

    Ok so I’m 3 minutes into the Laundromat and wtf is Gary Oldman doing

    FYC: Octavia Spencer (Luce) - Best Supporting Actress

    Anonymous
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    #1203146782
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
    JGibson
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    Jul 8th, 2012
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    #1203146788

    Ok so I’m 3 minutes into the Laundromat and wtf is Gary Oldman doing

    I still don’t get why they’re yelling so much, turned me off on it

    FYC: Best International Film - The Invisible Life (Brazil)

    EsOS
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    #1203146887

    Ok so I’m 3 minutes into the Laundromat and wtf is Gary Oldman doing

    UPDATE: I’m almost done. IT’S AWFUL.
    What. A. Bad. Film. There is not a single good thing about this absolute mess.

    FYC: Octavia Spencer (Luce) - Best Supporting Actress

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