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2020 Oscar Predictions (Part 6)

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    Jays
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    #1203016721

    I honestly have a gut feeling Margot is getting in BSA, the category looks so weak with Bening fizzling out that it’ll be easy for her to coattail. With all the buzz for OUATIH and voters likely watching for Pitt’s performance, it’s hard for me to imagine her not making it as she was a key character in the marketing for the film. The fact that she was pretty close to being nominated last year for a film with next to no buzz makes me think she’s locked for a nom if OUATIH does well enough.

    Exactly. Not to mention, the industry is seemingly loving the film. I don’t get why it’s so hard for people to believe she could coattail her way to a nomination in a not so competitive category. She’ll also have Fair and Balanced, which she’s reportedly the MVP of, that’ll add to her case.

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    Mickmack
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    #1203016957

    Exactly. Not to mention, the industry is seemingly loving the film. I don’t get why it’s so hard for people to believe she could coattail her way to a nomination in a not so competitive category. She’ll also have Fair and Balanced, which she’s reportedly the MVP of, that’ll add to her case.

    If Robbie gets nominated for OUATIH it’ll be the biggest joke the academy has ever pulled, and they have pulled some funny things in the past.

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    TheDreamingHead
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    #1203017073

    Some points I want to make from the prediction center results:

    1. With the overwhelming votes for both Leo and Brad winning, I just … can’t fathom the idea that two most famous Hollywood actors are winning Oscars in the same night. Sorry folks, but that’s sadly just not how Oscar works. One of them has to lose (or both).

    2. Margot is definitely getting in, and is a lock for nomination. But predicting her to win is a bit of a stretch!

    3. Willem Dafoe may turn out to be stronger than we expect.

    4. Stop predicting Meryl and Nicole in every ‘effing thing!

    5. Antonio Banderas is also a strong contender and heavily underrated. I think he has a stronger chance to get nominated than Robert De Niro and Tom Hanks!

    6. Even though best supporting actress seems weak and virtually unseen up to this moment (Bening and Margot are the only visible ones), placing Anna Paquin and Meryl Streep above Florence Pugh (the real MVP of Little woman), Octavia Spencer, Maggie Smith and Scarlett Johansson is ridiculous!

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    Jays
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    #1203017181

    If Robbie gets nominated for OUATIH it’ll be the biggest joke the academy has ever pulled, and they have pulled some funny things in the past.

    Just because that’s how you feel about it, doesn’t mean it’s going to stop it from happening.

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    Jays
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    #1203017187

    4. Stop predicting Meryl and Nicole in every ‘effing thing!

    I agree about Kidman, but Meryl is nominated for pretty much everything. She won’t happen for Little Women, but she’s definitely happening for The Laundromat.

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    Nikhil
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    #1203017310

    I saw The Farewell last night and was incredibly impressed. I thought the movie was profoundly beautiful, thought-provoking, and hilarious. I was predicting it in Picture, Director, Actress, Supporting Actress, and Screenplay before seeing it. However, my three friends who I saw it with (none of whom are cinephiles or spend hours a week on forums like this lol) all had a pretty muted response to it. They said they “liked it fine” but seemed less enthused or passionate about it. Without giving anything away, the movie does not go for a big emotional gut punch scene in the way of other melodramas like Lion does in an attempt to leave the audience in shambles. Instead, The Farewell is grounded in realism and I worry for that reason that the film will struggle to generate enough passion to collect number 1 votes with Academy members.

    I hope I’m wrong, and for now I will still keep it low on all my predicted categories. But if the rest of the year comes in heavy I’m afraid this small and wonderful movie will fall off.

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    #1203017316

    Darlings, Margot Robbie is getting in. She was delicious in Once and Always Trash in Hollywood. The only good thing. Her cinema scene should earn her a dildo for her vagina.

    As a famous singer said, "ain't nobody gonna Thatcher, Thatcher, Thatcher!"

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    DrewN92
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    #1203017578

    In which world did Kidman deliver two powerhouse performances in Destroyer and Boy Erased? Her performances were pretty forgettable, just like the movies themselves, and something tells me that with The Goldfinch and The Untitled Jay Roach Project it won’t be any different …

    In a “weak” / fractured supporting actress race like last year, I think Kidman was more deserving for Boy Erased than most of the nominees in the category. I wasn’t the biggest fan of the movie but I think she was great.

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    Hammad Asif
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    #1203017852

    Word is out for The Joker,it’s a stunning Scorese-Esque movie.
    Mr Phenoix stans as me should start celebrating his Oscar already.
    Film is projected to open $80-90 million in it’s opening weekend against a $55 million budget.

    Kubrick-Tarkovsky-Scorsese-Bergman-Bresson-Kurosawa

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    #1203017857

    Word is out for The Joker,it’s a stunning Scorese-Esque movie. Mr Phenoix stans as me should start celebrating his Oscar already. Film is projected to open $80-90 million in it’s opening weekend against a $55 million budget.

    Box Office Pro is predicting a 77M opening and they are usually wrong. I would guess something closer to 45-55M.

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    Hammad Asif
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    #1203017859

    Box Office Pro is predicting a 77M opening and they are usually wrong. I would guess something closer to 45-55M.

    No,55m for this movie is too low.Word of mouth will be brilliant at VFF and TIFF and it’s not also very long movie.It’s gonna be massive considering it’s budget.Joaquin is really winning it finally.

    Kubrick-Tarkovsky-Scorsese-Bergman-Bresson-Kurosawa

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    #1203017864

    No,55m for this movie is too low.Word of mouth will be brilliant at VFF and TIFF and it’s not also very long movie.It’s gonna be massive considering it’s budget.Joaquin is really winning it finally.

    I agree the film will have good buzz from festivals and Phoenix will be a player but after reading the script, its not a crowd-pleaser. The R-Rating won’t help. Most predictions are around 40M and 250M worldwide. It could, due to the fact its a Joker film, hit those high numbers but I don’t think it will do that well.

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    kellis
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    #1203017895

    I think Joker could very well make back its budget on the first weekend, but anything past that $55 million is stretching it.

    Also, I had no idea what Stewart’s Seberg film was about until a few minutes ago. I’ll definitely have to put her in my predictions if she gets raves at Venice because if that isn’t bait, I don’t know what is. But I just don’t know who to replace (I refuse to let go of Natalegend lol and Streep isn’t leaving).

    “No user starts this shady” - someone culturally relevant.

    Also got banned because...reasons? So, I guess ciao.

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    JackO
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    #1203018027

    Box Office Pro is predicting a 77M opening and they are usually wrong. I would guess something closer to 45-55M.

    It’s true they are fanboyish but they aren’t usually that far off. There is still a lot of time between now and opening day so o expect lots of tweaks. They are pretty much predicting the perfect storm scenario for it right now. We will see.

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    The One And Only of Gold Derby.
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    #1203018046

    I think Joker could very well make back its budget on the first weekend, but anything past that $55 million is stretching it. Also, I had no idea what Stewart’s Seberg film was about until a few minutes ago. I’ll definitely have to put her in my predictions if she gets raves at Venice because if that isn’t bait, I don’t know what is. But I just don’t know who to replace (I refuse to let go of Natalegend lol and Streep isn’t leaving).

    Pretend Streep is going Supporting and don’t put her back in until Netflix officially announces her placement.

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