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2020 Oscar Predictions (Part 6)

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  • OneAndOnlyMe.
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    Mar 21st, 2017
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    #1203017864

    No,55m for this movie is too low.Word of mouth will be brilliant at VFF and TIFF and it’s not also very long movie.It’s gonna be massive considering it’s budget.Joaquin is really winning it finally.

    I agree the film will have good buzz from festivals and Phoenix will be a player but after reading the script, its not a crowd-pleaser. The R-Rating won’t help. Most predictions are around 40M and 250M worldwide. It could, due to the fact its a Joker film, hit those high numbers but I don’t think it will do that well.

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    kellis
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    Jul 30th, 2017
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    #1203017895

    I think Joker could very well make back its budget on the first weekend, but anything past that $55 million is stretching it.

    Also, I had no idea what Stewart’s Seberg film was about until a few minutes ago. I’ll definitely have to put her in my predictions if she gets raves at Venice because if that isn’t bait, I don’t know what is. But I just don’t know who to replace (I refuse to let go of Natalegend lol and Streep isn’t leaving).

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    JackO
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    #1203018027

    Box Office Pro is predicting a 77M opening and they are usually wrong. I would guess something closer to 45-55M.

    It’s true they are fanboyish but they aren’t usually that far off. There is still a lot of time between now and opening day so o expect lots of tweaks. They are pretty much predicting the perfect storm scenario for it right now. We will see.

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    OneAndOnlyMe.
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    #1203018046

    I think Joker could very well make back its budget on the first weekend, but anything past that $55 million is stretching it. Also, I had no idea what Stewart’s Seberg film was about until a few minutes ago. I’ll definitely have to put her in my predictions if she gets raves at Venice because if that isn’t bait, I don’t know what is. But I just don’t know who to replace (I refuse to let go of Natalegend lol and Streep isn’t leaving).

    Pretend Streep is going Supporting and don’t put her back in until Netflix officially announces her placement.

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    Foolio
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    Jan 24th, 2017
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    #1203018160

    Assuming the Prediction Center is getting all the acting categories correct, and also assuming The Last Thing He Wanted is coming out in 2019:

    Picture

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Marriage Story
    A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    Little Women
    The Laundromat
    The Irishman
    Joker
    Ford v. Ferrari
    The Farewell
    Dolor Y Gloria

    (Fair and Balanced
    The Report
    Harriet
    Queen & Slim
    Dry Run
    1917
    The Goldfinch
    The Last Thing He Wanted
    Booksmart
    Luce)

    Director

    Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story
    Greta Gerwig, Little Women
    Marielle Heller, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    Pedro Almodovar, Dolor Y Gloria

    (Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
    Lulu Wang, The Farewell
    Steven Soderbergh, The Laundromat
    James Mangold, Ford v. Ferrari
    Dee Rees, The Last Thing He Wanted)

    Actress

    Renee Zellweger, Judy
    Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
    Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
    Meryl Streep, The Laundromat
    Awkwafina, The Farewell

    (Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
    Alfre Woodard, Clemency
    Charlize Theron, Fair and Balanced
    Natalie Portman, Lucy in the Sky
    Kristen Stewart, Seberg)

    Actor

    Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
    Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Adam Driver, Marriage Story
    Antonio Banderas, Dolor y Gloria
    Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

    (Christian Bale, Ford v. Ferrari
    Robert De Niro, The Irishman
    Taron Egerton, Rocketman
    Daniel Kaluuya, Queen & Slim
    Michael B. Jordan, Just Mercy)

    Supporting Actress

    Laura Dern, Marriage Story
    Annette Bening, The Report
    Florence Pugh, Little Women
    Octavia Spencer, Luce
    Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    (Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
    Margot Robbie, Fair and Balanced
    Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell
    Emma Thompson, Late Night
    Nicole Kidman, Fair and Balanced)

    Supporting Actor

    Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Al Pacino, The Irishman
    Joe Pesci, The Irishman
    John Lithgow, Fair and Balanced
    Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse

    (Sam Rockwell, JoJo Rabbit
    Robert Pattinson, The Lighthouse
    Ray Liotta, Marriage Story
    Richard Madden, Rocketman
    Malcolm McDowell, Fair and Balanced)

    Adapted Screenplay

    The Irishman
    A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    Little Women
    JoJo Rabbit
    The Goldfinch

    (Queen & Slim
    Ford v. Ferrari
    Joker
    The Dry Run
    The Good Liar)

    Original Screenplay

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Marriage Story
    The Laundromat
    Booksmart
    The Farewell

    (Us
    The Last Black Man in San Francisco
    Dolor y Gloria
    Honey Boy
    Late Night)

    International feature film

    Dolor y Gloria (Spain)
    Parasite (Korea)
    Portrait of a Lady on Fire (France)
    Monos (Columbia)
    Atlantics (Senegal)

    (Sonja (Norway)
    Bacurau (Brazil)
    Young Ahmed (Belgium)
    The Truth (France)
    Photograph (India))

    Editing

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    The Irishman
    Ford v. Ferrari
    Little Women
    Joker

    (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    1917
    Marriage Story
    The Laundromat
    Rocketman)

    Visual effects

    The Lion King
    Avengers: Endgame
    Star Wars: the Rise of Skywalker
    Spider-Man: Far from Home
    The Irishman

    (Ad Astra
    Captain Marvel
    Gemini Man
    Terminator 6
    X-Men: Dark Phoenix)

    Makeup and hairstyling

    Cats
    Joker
    Gemini Man
    A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    The Irishman

    (Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
    Judy
    The Goldfinch
    Rocketman
    Wonder Woman 2)

    Costume design

    Cats
    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Rocketman
    Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
    Joker

    (The King
    Little Women
    The Irishman
    Harriet
    A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)

    Score

    1917
    Star Wars: the Rise of Skywalker
    Little Women
    The Last Thing He Wanted
    A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

    (The Goldfinch
    Harriet
    Clemency
    Us
    Ad Astra)

    Song

    TBA (Idina Menzel / Kristen Bell, performers), Frozen 2
    Spirit (Beyonce Knowles), The Lion King
    The Ballad of the Lonesome Cowboy (Chris Stapleton), Toy Story 4
    Glasgow (No Place Like Home) (Jessie Buckley), Wild Rose
    TBA (Jennifer Hudson), Cats

    (Angels (Lana Del Rey, Ariana Grande, Miley Cyrus), Charlie’s Angels
    Love Me Again (Elton John & Taron Egerton), Rocketman
    Speechless (Naomi Scott), Aladdin
    Broken and Beautiful (Kelly Clarkson), UglyDolls
    Don’t Give Up on Me (Andy Grammer), Five Feet Apart)

    Sound mixing & editing

    1917
    Rocketman
    The Lion King
    Star Wars: the Rise of Skywalker
    Ad Astra

    (Gemini Man
    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Cats
    Us
    Joker)

    Documentary feature

    Toni Morrison: The Pieces I Am
    Diego Maradona
    Ask Dr. Ruth
    Untouchable
    Varda, by Agnes

    (Apollo 11
    Edge of Democracy
    Que Sea Ley
    Sid & Judy
    Marshall from Detroit)

    Animated feature

    Toy Story 4
    Frozen 2
    Missing Link
    How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
    Klaus

    (Okko’s Inn
    Wonder Park
    Abominable
    Spies in Disguise
    The Addams Family)

    Cinematography

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    The Irishman
    Joker
    1917
    The Goldfinch

    (Harriet
    Ad Astra
    Gemini Man
    Ford vs Ferrari
    The Laundromat)

    Production design

    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    The Irishman
    1917
    Cats
    Little Women

    (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
    Rocketman
    The Lighthouse
    Ad Astra
    Ford vs Ferrari)

    ReplyCopy URL
    Gabarnes43
    Participant
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    Jan 6th, 2018
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    #1203018216

    Full Early Predictions:

    Best Picture:

    1. Little Women
    2. The Laundromat
    3. A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
    4. 1917
    5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    6. The Irishman
    7. Marriage Story
    8. Downton Abbey
    9. The Farewell

    Jojo Rabbit, Fair and Balanced, The Goldfinch, Ford v Ferrari, Joker

    Best Director:

    1. Greta Getwig- Little Women
    2. Martin Scorsese- The Irishman
    3. Quentin Tarantino- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    4. Marielle Heller- A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
    5. Steven Soderbergh- The Laundromat

    Best Actress:

    1. Saoirse Ronan- Little Women
    2. Renee Zellweger- Judy
    3. Meryl Streep- The Laundromat
    4. Awkwafina- The Farewell
    5. Charlize Theron- Fair and Balanced

    Best Actor:

    1. Tom Hanks- A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
    2. Antonio Banderas- Pain and Glory
    3. Leonardo DiCaprio- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    4. Christian Bale- Ford v Ferrari
    5. Adam Driver- Marriage Story

    Best Supporting Actress:

    1. Maggie Smith- Downton Abbey
    2. Laura Dern- Marriage Story
    3. Octavia Spencer- Luce
    4. Meryl Streep- Little Women
    5. Margot Robbie- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Best Supporting Actor:

    1. Brad Pitt- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    2. Gary Oldman- The Laundromat
    3. Willem Dafoe- The Lighthouse
    4. John Lithgow- Fair and Balanced
    5. Al Pacino- The Irishman

    Best Adapted Screenplay:

    1. Little Women
    2. The Irishman
    3. Downton Abbey
    4. The Laundromat
    5. Jojo Rabbit

    Best Original Screenplay:

    1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    2. Booksmart
    3. Marriage Story
    4. The Farewell
    5. Late Night

    Best Animated Feature Film:

    1. The Lion King
    2. Toy Story 4
    3. How to Train Your Dragon 3
    4. Frozen 2
    5. Missing Link

    Best Original Score:

    1. 1917
    2. Little Women
    3. Star Wars
    4. The Lion King
    5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood

    Best Original Song:

    1. The Ballad Of a Lonesome Cowboy- Toy Story 4
    2. Spirit- The Lion King
    3. Never Too Late- The Lion King
    4. Untitled- Frozen 2
    5. Love Me Again- Rocketman

    Best Production Design:

    1. Downton Abbey
    2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    3. Little Women
    4. Cats
    5. The Irishman

    Best Costume Design:

    1. Rocketman
    2. Downton Abbey
    3. Cats
    4. Little Women
    5. The Joker

    FYC Emmys 2019 ‘Killing Eve’ ‘Sandra Oh’ ‘Fiona Shaw’ ‘Bob Odenkirk ‘Jonathan Banks’ ‘Fleabag’ ‘Phoebe Waller Bridge ‘Olivia Colman’ ‘Ted Danson’ ‘Alan Arkin’ ‘Kristin Scott Thomas’

    FYC OSCARS 2020- ‘Little Women’ ‘Saoirse Ronan’ ‘Maggie Smith’ ‘Downton Abbey’ ‘Emma Thompson ‘Late Night’

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    Mickmack
    Participant
    Joined:
    Jan 25th, 2018
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    #1203018221

    Full Early Predictions: Best Picture:

    1. Little Women
    2. The Laundromat
    3. A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
    4. 1917
    5. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    6. The Irishman
    7. Marriage Story
    8. Downton Abbey
    9. The Farewell

    Jojo Rabbit, Fair and Balanced, The Goldfinch, Ford v Ferrari, Joker Best Director:

    1. Greta Getwig- Little Women
    2. Martin Scorsese- The Irishman
    3. Quentin Tarantino- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    4. Marielle Heller- A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
    5. Steven Soderbergh- The Laundromat

    Best Actress:

    1. Saoirse Ronan- Little Women
    2. Renee Zellweger- Judy
    3. Meryl Streep- The Laundromat
    4. Awkwafina- The Farewell
    5. Charlize Theron- Fair and Balanced

    Best Actor:

    1. Tom Hanks- A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood
    2. Antonio Banderas- Pain and Glory
    3. Leonardo DiCaprio- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    4. Christian Bale- Ford v Ferrari
    5. Adam Driver- Marriage Story

    Best Supporting Actress:

    1. Maggie Smith- Downton Abbey
    2. Laura Dern- Marriage Story
    3. Octavia Spencer- Luce
    4. Meryl Streep- Little Women
    5. Margot Robbie- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

    Best Supporting Actor:

    1. Brad Pitt- Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    2. Gary Oldman- The Laundromat
    3. Willem Dafoe- The Lighthouse
    4. John Lithgow- Fair and Balanced
    5. Al Pacino- The Irishman

    Best Adapted Screenplay:

    1. Little Women
    2. The Irishman
    3. Downton Abbey
    4. The Laundromat
    5. Jojo Rabbit

    Best Original Screenplay:

    1. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    2. Booksmart
    3. Marriage Story
    4. The Farewell
    5. Late Night

    Best Animated Feature Film:

    1. The Lion King
    2. Toy Story 4
    3. How to Train Your Dragon 3
    4. Frozen 2
    5. Missing Link

    Best Original Score:

    1. 1917
    2. Little Women
    3. Star Wars
    4. The Lion King
    5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood

    Best Original Song:

    1. The Ballad Of a Lonesome Cowboy- Toy Story 4
    2. Spirit- The Lion King
    3. Never Too Late- The Lion King
    4. Untitled- Frozen 2
    5. Love Me Again- Rocketman

    Best Production Design:

    1. Downton Abbey
    2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    3. Little Women
    4. Cats
    5. The Irishman

    Best Costume Design:

    1. Rocketman
    2. Downton Abbey
    3. Cats
    4. Little Women
    5. The Joker

    Little Women and Gerwig aint winning.  Sorry to tell you.

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    Gabarnes43
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    Jan 6th, 2018
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    #1203018225

    Little Women and Gerwig aint winning. Sorry to tell you.

    I think Gerwig has a good Chance as I don’t see OUATIH or The Irishman winning any major awards

    FYC Emmys 2019 ‘Killing Eve’ ‘Sandra Oh’ ‘Fiona Shaw’ ‘Bob Odenkirk ‘Jonathan Banks’ ‘Fleabag’ ‘Phoebe Waller Bridge ‘Olivia Colman’ ‘Ted Danson’ ‘Alan Arkin’ ‘Kristin Scott Thomas’

    FYC OSCARS 2020- ‘Little Women’ ‘Saoirse Ronan’ ‘Maggie Smith’ ‘Downton Abbey’ ‘Emma Thompson ‘Late Night’

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    Mickmack
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    Jan 25th, 2018
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    #1203018234

    I think Gerwig has a good Chance as I don’t see OUATIH or The Irishman winning any major awards

    Having Streep doesnt guarantee anything, Ronan and chalamet had failed movies last year and lets not act as if Gerwig is a great director because she made Lady Bird. The 2nd movie is the real test. And Little Women is a way overdone movie. Im sure people are tired of the story now.

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    Gabarnes43
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    #1203018236

    If Meryl goes Supporting for The Laundromat, I can see her winning. That category is so empty

    FYC Emmys 2019 ‘Killing Eve’ ‘Sandra Oh’ ‘Fiona Shaw’ ‘Bob Odenkirk ‘Jonathan Banks’ ‘Fleabag’ ‘Phoebe Waller Bridge ‘Olivia Colman’ ‘Ted Danson’ ‘Alan Arkin’ ‘Kristin Scott Thomas’

    FYC OSCARS 2020- ‘Little Women’ ‘Saoirse Ronan’ ‘Maggie Smith’ ‘Downton Abbey’ ‘Emma Thompson ‘Late Night’

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    Thatcher, Prime Minister of GoldDerby
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    Jan 3rd, 2018
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    #1203020604

    Darlings, Margot Robbie is Oscar-worthy in Once and Always Trash in Hollywood. She’s a hell of an actress and she did so much with so little. She reminded me of Uma Thurman in Pulp Fiction. She was iconic and the only good thing in that disgusting rubbish.

    LENA HEADEY hasn't got an Emmy for Game of Thrones????? Emmys you need to win her right now!!

    Lena Headey ("Game of Thrones") for Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series.

    If Lena Headey doesn't win the Emmy, I'm leaving GoldDerby forever.

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    Mickmack
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    Jan 25th, 2018
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    #1203020621

    Darlings, Margot Robbie is Oscar-worthy in Once and Always Trash in Hollywood. She’s a hell of an actress and she did so much with so little. She reminded me of Uma Thurman in Pulp Fiction. She was iconic and the only good thing in that disgusting rubbish.

    You need to rewatch Robbie’s performance. Its a nothing performance. Shameful if she gets nominated.

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    Eddy Q
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    Oct 13th, 2012
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    #1203020741

    You need to rewatch Robbie’s performance. Its a nothing performance. Shameful if she gets nominated.

    On repeat viewings people usually notice details they previously missed, they don’t unsee things. If something makes an impression on first viewing it would be very backward for that estimation to sink to nothing after the second viewing, and would hardly be enlightened if it did. So you may have to agree to disagree with Thatcher here.

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    Matthew anzalone
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    #1203020767

    Dolemite is my name trailer dropped:https://youtu.be/Ws1YIKsuTjQ

    He is coming for that comedy globe.

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    Foolio
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    Jan 24th, 2017
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    #1203020802

    Dolemite is my name trailer dropped:https://youtu.be/Ws1YIKsuTjQ

    He is coming for that comedy globe.

    Looks genuinely funny but seems to lack the aura of prestige that would get Murphy a Globe. He’s probably getting nominated but I don’t see him winning over DiCaprio, Driver (if Marriage Story is considered comedy) or even Egerton.

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