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2020 Oscar Predictions (Part 7)

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    Cordelia
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    #1203183933

    Sweetie, add Eddie Redmayne somewhere.

    This isn’t the Razzies. The Aeronauts is not entering the Oscars race (not even for the stunning cinematography).

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Parasite

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    JackO
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    #1203183940

    I kinda fell asleep to The Two Popes. The awful sound mixing on the DVD didnt help. Oh well I’ll try again.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203183950

    I kinda fell asleep to The Two Popes. The awful sound mixing on the DVD didnt help. Oh well I’ll try again.

    Is it really that boring? Now I’m a little worried.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    Babygirl
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    #1203183975

    Two Popes is so getting in Best Picture. Underestimate at your peril.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203184004

    Two Popes is so getting in Best Picture. Underestimate at your peril.

    I just don’t feel confident about Netflix getting 3 films into Best Picture. Not just because of bias, but also: when was the last time a studio other than Fox did it? That’s a really hard feat to pull off.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    Babygirl
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    #1203184012

    I just don’t feel confident about Netflix getting 3 films into Best Picture. Not just because of bias, but also: when was the last time a studio other than Fox did it? That’s a really hard feat to pull off.

    There’s a few members on AW that went to events for Two Popes with Oscar voters present and they said the audience loved it and plus it’s a type of movie AMPAS love. I don’t get why people are underestimating Two Popes‘ appeal with crowds, yes it didn’t win TIFF but the lack of screenings it had there hurt it chances but it’s still winning a ton of other festival audience awards. I don’t see how 3 Netflix films getting in BP will be a huge barrier when the field will have 8 nominees in total lol.

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    #1203184014
    This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.
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    MMartin
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    #1203184055

    8 nominees

    Because this is a highly competitive year and 8 nominees is not a lot in a highly competive year, lets say The Irishman, Marriage Story, and Two Popes all make it in, that leaves the last 5 spots divided between:

    A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, 1917, Joker, The Farewell, Ford v Ferrari, Little Women, Bombshell, Pain & Glory, and more longshot nomination possibilities with Rocketman, Queen & Slim, Endgame, and Richard Jewell.

    Frankly to me at this point, the first 7 films I listed all feel more likely to me than The Two Popes because of Netflix. But who knows, The Two Popes does look like the very standard safe biopic (Darkest Hour, Hidden Figures, The Theory of Everything, Ray) that the Academy loves to nominate. But all of those movies had successful box office runs, which The Two Popes will not have. And it will also be suffering do to Netflix running bigger campaigns for Marriage Story and The Irishman. All of A24’s Best Picture energy is going to be on The Farewell on the other hand. While Warner Bros. is going to be pushing Joker like wild.

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    JackO
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    #1203184062

    Is it really that boring? Now I’m a little worried.

    Eh, I wouldnt call it boring but it definitely is no comedy.

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    Babygirl
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    #1203184083

    https://twitter.com/kylebuchanan/status/1196173549733441536?s=20

    I hope The Farewell gets in BP, it really deserves it. Love that Zhao Shuzhen is campaigning too!

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    Cordelia
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    #1203184212

    I just don’t feel confident about Netflix getting 3 films into Best Picture. Not just because of bias, but also: when was the last time a studio other than Fox did it? That’s a really hard feat to pull off.

    Here’s a question as an answer – when was the last time a studio had a lineup this good for the Oscars? When was the last time one studio have as many quality contenders for performance awards (Marriage Story, The Irishman, The Two Popes, Dolemite Is My Name)?

    It’s not unprecedented per se – there are some really lopsided years in the 60s – but I think Netflix has the films that hit different demographics to potentially pull it off.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Parasite

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    thesmark88
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    #1203184240

    Interestingly enough, it looked at one point that Sony of all people might have 3 Best Picture nominees this year: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, Little Women and A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood. The last two have had their buzz cool off a bit, but they’re also a possibility.

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    LLLhawks
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    #1203184770

    When are MS, Irishman and 2 Popes heading to Netflix?

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    Hammad Asif
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    #1203185191

    Having watched Ford vs Ferrari now twice in theatres.

    I think it’s safe to say it’s better than Once Upon A Time In Hollywood as a movie.

    James Mangold who’s direction is BEST part about Ford vs Ferrari deserves to be a BD nominee ahead of Quentin Tarantino for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood.

    Kubrick-Tarkovsky-Scorsese-Bergman-Bresson-Kurosawa

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    Qoslca
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    #1203185254

    Having watched Ford vs Ferrari now twice in theatres. I think it’s safe to say it’s better than Once Upon A Time In Hollywood as a movie. James Mangold who’s direction is BEST part about Ford vs Ferrari deserves to be a BD nominee ahead of Quentin Tarantino for Once Upon A Time In Hollywood.

    I’m seeing FvF tomorrow. I can’t wait! Funny that you should mention that Re the directing. Like you said, I’m actually not predicting Tarantino and have instead replaced him with Mangold. Bold prediction, I know, but I feel very confident in it.

    My username is an acronym of “Quiet On Set! Lights, Camera, Action.”

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