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December 21, 2019 at 12:57 pm #1203246447
The Painted Bird is harrowing with a hefty running time but I think it has a real shot at an International Film nomination. Being in black-and-white could set it apart in voters’ minds from the other two WWII-themed films on the shortlist, Beanpole and Those Who Remained, and those brave enough to stomach it will be very passionate about it.
It took me three years to finish the Kosinski novel. I passed on the chance to see this But, feel that I will soon enough.
Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?
Philip K Dick Blade RunnerDecember 21, 2019 at 2:02 pm #1203246502
I don’t predict any of these happening, but wouldn’t be shocked as others might be if they did: George MacKay for Best Actor (1917 – this, in particular, I would like to see), Felicity Jones for Best Actress (The Aeronauts), possibly Endgame for Best Picture.December 21, 2019 at 2:46 pm #1203246542
We’re probably underestimating everything that comes out later in the year…
A Hidden Life – possible surprise Directing nom?
Just Mercy – Jamie Foxx… maybe even Michael B Jordan if it becomes a surprise box office smash?
Little Women – Received great reviews, but bc screeners were late to SAG and no Globes love, we are now underestimating.
Clemency – maybe enough members will have seen it to surprise in Actress and Screenplay? I mean… it did come out in Sundance last January.
Portrait of a Lady on Fire – potential Directing nom?
Honey Boy – There’s a campaign for it so you never know. Actors might rally behind Shia for a nom in one of 2 categories he’s eligible in.
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood – I think it’s being underestimated in that it could score a Picture nom. It pulls at the heartstrings like Green Book did last year. I can see voters going for it and Hanks.
The Farewell – It could surprise noms: Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actress, Supporting Actress.December 21, 2019 at 5:04 pm #1203246609
Ford v. Ferrari in general.
Us in Actress and Score.
Egerton in Actor.
Knock Down the House in Documentary.December 21, 2019 at 6:42 pm #1203246663
Song Kang-Ho, Parasite
Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy
Taron Egerton, Rocketman
Lupita Nyong’o, Us
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite is My NameDecember 21, 2019 at 7:19 pm #1203246682
I could see Weathering With You get a animation nod.
I think if the Academy really likes Bombshell then Lithgow could get into Supporting Acting. Seems like the type of role the Academy loves.
I see a lot of people saying Lupita, but I feel like most people are predicting her for a nomination, especially after a SAG nomination and all the critics wins. I will be surprised if she gets left out.December 22, 2019 at 6:07 am #1203246847
Lupita Nyong’o (Us), Alfre Woodard (Clemency) and Taron Edgerton (Rocketman). Definitely these three. I would also say Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy), Awkwafina and Zhao Shuzhen (The Farewell)December 22, 2019 at 6:18 am #1203246849
Nicole KidmanDecember 22, 2019 at 7:43 am #1203246864
Fernanda Montenegro in supp actressDecember 22, 2019 at 8:04 am #1203246869
Taron & Eddie in Best Actor
Hustlers and Booksmart in ScreenplayDecember 22, 2019 at 8:32 am #1203246892
I don’t predict any of these happening, but wouldn’t be shocked as others might be if they did: George MacKay for Best Actor (1917 – this, in particular, I would like to see), Felicity Jones for Best Actress (The Aeronauts), possibly Endgame for Best Picture.
lol nope. none of these are happening. Especially Felicity Jones in that flop and Endgame. MacKay could have gotten a BAFTA nom but looks like Pryce and Taron are more likely.December 22, 2019 at 9:14 am #1203246963
Don’t underestimate Lupita and Taron! They have hit every nom except Lupita at the Globes.December 22, 2019 at 11:17 am #1203247088
Nope. Cinematography is.
And perhaps Costumes? I get that there aren’t actually that many costumes in it but a lot of it has to do with the textural attention to the rather gorgeous dresses and literally representing them artistically, and it’s not past this branch to go for French period films.
If Pain and Glory can get Director, Actor, Screenplay, and Score in addition to International, an actual Picture nomination isn’t inconceivable. I feel like people are watching it more than a lot of attempted contenders and has some passionate supporters.
In the Music branch, Britell seems to have been fully accepted as a member of the club. And Daniel Pemberton seems to have shown up in enough places to not just be a coincidence and could make Motherless Brooklyn a two-time Oscar nominee.
The documentary Midnight Family is really playing well under the radar in a way that reminds me of Hale County last year. Could replace something like Apollo 11, One Child Nation or The Cave.
Song Kang-ho does seem reminiscent of de Tavira last year but people seem to be taking his chances more seriously than hers. And people were DEFINITELY underestimating Lupita and Taron before the season started, but I don’t think they really are anymore. They’re at least firm top 7 contenders. One person who seems to be inspiring nearly unanimous warmth and affection seems to be Eddie Murphy compared to how his chances are perceived. Netflix would be wise to prioritize him over Pryce.
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