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2020 Oscars: Best Picture – How many nominees will there be?

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    Paul Sheehan
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    I say eight

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    Elazul
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    #1203273841

    Voting for nine.

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    nevkm
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    #1203273844

    Nine

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    Eddy Q
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    Seven seem pretty safe for nominations:

    The Irishman
    Jojo Rabbit
    Joker
    Marriage Story
    1917
    Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
    Parasite

    Little Women is vulnerable but still a solid 8th after bouncing back with WGA and PGA noms. A last remaining slot could go to one The Farewell, Ford v Ferrari, Knives Out or even wildcard Uncut Gems, though it’s hard to say which if any of these will generate enough no. 1 votes for that 9th slot. (I seem to remember hearing that a full 10 nominees is extremely unlikely according to mathematical experts.)

    Final guess: 8

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    Nikhil
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    My guess is 8 simply because it’s easy to get to 8 with

    Parasite
    OUATIH
    The Irishman
    1917
    Joker
    Marriage Story
    Jojo Rabbit
    Little Women

    Everything after these eight feels more like a guess, which makes me think with the competition sucking up most of the air in the room, those final 9-10 nominees won’t be able to garner enough support.

    I may just predict nine even though I think eight and do Ford v. Ferrari because I think that has the best shot, although it also feels a little like First Man from last year.

    Top 3 Films of the Year: Parasite, The Farewell, OUATIH

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    FreemanGriffin
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    #1203273943

    I am predicting 8: I think Parasite, Hollywood, Little Women, The Irishman, 1917, Joker, Jojo Rabbit and Marriage Story will be the nominees.

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    John Berchmans
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    There’s only 7 locks right now, but since we’ve never had less than 8 nominees since the new rule was implemented I’m guessing Little Women makes it in to give us 8, and also avoid backlash. If we were to have 9 nominees I think Knives Out would be the 9th, since it’s a lock for Original Screenplay and films sometimes make it into Picture with only 1 other above-the-line nom or a win below-the-line (The Blind Side, Extremely Loud, Selma, The Post). Ford v Ferrari is 10th on my list, but I don’t think it makes it in unless Bale surprises. Films rarely get into Picture with no above-the-line support, and Black Panther just reset that cycle last year.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    LLLhawks
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    #1203273963

    Seven.

    Parasite
    Irishman
    Hollywood
    Jojo
    Joker
    1917
    Marriage story

    I just love movies. And awards.

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    Pollo crudo
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    #1203273967

    8.

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    JackO
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    I say eight

    I agree with this. I’m not buying Ford, Knives Out, Bombshell, and Two Popes as BP nominees. LW gets last spot after the locked 7.

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    Riley Chow
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    It is looking like eight, but I will continue to keep nine in my predictions (Ford v Ferrari).  It does seem rather easy to draw the line this year at five (Joker) or six (Jojo Rabbit) though, so I am hopeful.

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    Rett89
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    Nine. But I’m preparing myself for a breakdown if Ford v Ferrari or The Farewell misses.

    Best Actress: Carey Mulligan
    Best Actor: Riz Ahmed
    Best Supporting Actor: LaKeith Stanfield
    Best Supporting Actress: Maria Bakalova

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    oscarin7
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    #1203276270

    I think it will be nine.

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    Edwin Drood
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    #1203276320

    8

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