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2021 New York Film Critics Circle (Predictions & Live Updates)

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  • Rynd_Rawikara
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    Aug 28th, 2021
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    #1204619386

    New York Film Critics Circle (NYFCC) Awards is one of the most prestigious critics awards in US (the other two being LAFCA and NSFC). It is also the oldest critics group bodies (a decade younger than Oscar).

    Winners will be announced on Friday, December 3rd. They usually reveal winners on Twitter. I’m not on Twitter and live in another part of the world, so I can’t possibly post Live Updates here, but I’m sure y’all can.

    My predictions:

    Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix
    Best Actress: Penelope Cruz
    Best Animated Film: Flee
    Best Cinematography: The Power of the Dog or Tragedy of Macbeth
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Film: The Power of the Dog
    Best First Film: The Lost Daughter
    Best Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car or Titane
    Best Non-Fiction Film: –no idea–
    Best Screenplay: Licorice Pizza 
    Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Supporting Actress: Jessie Buckley

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    ejaru1810
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    Sep 10th, 2021
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    #1204619406

    Picture: Licorice Pizza
    Director: Jane Campion
    Actor: Clifton Collins Jr
    Actress: Olivia Colman
    Supporting Actor: Al Pacino
    Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunts
    Screenplay: Licorice Pizza
    First Film: The Lost Daughter

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    Chloe Sevigny stan <3
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    #1204619555

    Winner Predictions

    Picture: The Power of the Dog

    Director: Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

    Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza

    Lead Actress: Kristen Stewart – Spencer

    Lead Actor: Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog

    Supporting Actress: Ruth Negga – Passing

    First Film: Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter

    Animated Film: Flee

    Cinematography: Spencer

    Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car

    Non-Fiction Film: Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

     

    Oscar FYC!!:

    Best Picture: Bones and All
    Best Actress: Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)
    Best Actor: Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
    Best Supporting Actress: Dolly De Leon (Triangle of Sadness)
    Best Supporting Actor: Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)

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    wolfali
    Joined:
    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204620232

    Picture: Licorice Pizza (Spoiler: The Power of the Dog)
    Director: Jane Campion (Spoiler: Maggie Gyllenhaal)
    Actor: Joaquin Phoenix (Spoiler: Simon Rex)
    Actress: Olivia Colman (Spoiler: Alana Haim)
    S. Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee (Spoiler: Ciaran Hinds)
    S. Actress: Ruth Negga (Spoiler: Kirsten Dunst)
    Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza (Spoiler: Fran Kranz for Mass)
    Cinematography: Spencer (Spoiler: C’mon C’mon)
    Animated Film: Flee
    Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car (Spoiler: Parallel Mothers)
    First Film: Emma Seligman for Shiva Baby (Spoiler: Rebecca Hall for Passing)

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    pacinofan
    Joined:
    Nov 28th, 2011
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    #1204620295

    Picture: The Power of the Dog

    Director: Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

    Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza

    Lead Actress: Olivia Colman- The Lost Daughter

    Lead Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch- The Power of the Dog

    Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog

    Supporting Actress: Alana Haim- Licorice Pizza

    First Film: Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter

    Animated Film: Flee

    Cinematography: The Tragedy of Macbeth

    Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car

    Non-Fiction Film: Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

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    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
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    #1204621199

    My NBR predictions were horrendously wrong but oh well here goes nothing.

    (I want to predict Cumberbatch so bad but I’m more sure on Smit-McPhee and Dunst and I’m not sure they give 3/4 acting awards to the same film.)

    Best Film – Licorice Pizza
    Best Director – Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
    Best Actor – Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon C’mon
    Best Actress – Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza
    Best Supporting Actor – Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
    Best Supporting Actress – Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
    Best Screenplay – Licorice Pizza
    Best Cinematography – Spencer
    Best Animated Film – Flee
    Best Non-Fiction Film – Summer of Soul
    Best Foreign-Language Film – The Worst Person in the World
    Best First Film – Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)

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    Cosmia
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    Oct 19th, 2021
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    #1204621201

    What award ceremony is this?

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    B.A.P.S
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    Aug 13th, 2021
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    #1204621249

    Best Actor: Denzel Washington
    Best Actress: Penelope Cruz                                                                                      Best Supporting Actor: Ciaran Hinds
    Best Supporting Actress: Aunjanue Ellis
    Best Animated Film: Flee
    Best Cinematography: The Tragedy of Macbeth
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Film: Belfast
    Best First Film: Passing
    Best Foreign Language Film: Titane
    Best Screenplay: Licorice Pizza

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    wolfali
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    Sep 4th, 2018
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    #1204621251

    I will be shocked if the winner is not one of Colman, Cruz or Haim. Their turns are right up these peoples’ alley just like Sidney Flanigan, Saoirse Ronan (2017), Regina Hall, Marion Cotillard, Lupita Nyong’o and Sally Hawkins’ were.

    FYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    estrelas
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    Jul 25th, 2018
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    #1204621305

    I will be shocked if the winner is not one of Colman, Cruz or Haim. Their turns are right up these peoples’ alley just like Sidney Flanigan, Saoirse Ronan (2017), Regina Hall, Marion Cotillard, Lupita Nyong’o and Sally Hawkins’ were.

    I wouldn’t sleep on Renate Reinsve. She won Cannes, topped TIFF critics list and TWPITW Academy screening was moderated by one of the most influential NYFCC members. Apparently, the movie was extremely well liked among the critics members.

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    kaziz
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    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204621307

    Supporting Actress: Alana Haim- Licorice Pizza

    She’s lead.

    FYC:
    Everything Everywhere All At Once
    The Banshees of Inisherin
    Women Talking
    All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
    Joyland
    RRR
    Aftersun

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    kaziz
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    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204621320

    Passing NEEDS to win something: Negga is most likely but I wouldn’t count out Thompson, it’s consistent with their history too (understated, unshowy lead of acclaimed film). As long as it wins something good, Adapted & Negga have a shot. Technically, LAFCA can resuscitate it too so it doesn’t HAVE to win, but I’d LOVE IT TO.

    FYC:
    Everything Everywhere All At Once
    The Banshees of Inisherin
    Women Talking
    All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
    Joyland
    RRR
    Aftersun

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    Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR
    Joined:
    Sep 22nd, 2011
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    #1204621371

    Best Actor: Simon Rex
    Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
    Best Animated Film: Flee
    Best Cinematography: Nightmare Alley
    Best Director: Jane Campion
    Best Film: The Power of the Dog
    Best First Film: Passing
    Best Foreign Language Film: The Worst Person in The World
    Best Non-Fiction Film:…………
    Best Screenplay: Belfast
    Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
    Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett

    2023 Oscar
    Best Picture: Holy Spider
    Best Director: Decision to Leave
    Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
    Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
    Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
    Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

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    pedrohf2001
    Joined:
    Jan 27th, 2021
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    #1204621382

    NYFCC Winners overlap With the Oscars

    NYFCC Historical Analysis – Last 12 Years
    NYFCC Winners Overlap with Oscar Nominees and Winners

    Best Picture : 10 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 2 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

    Best Director : 8 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 4 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

    Best Actor : 7 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 2 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

    Best Actress : 7 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 1 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

    Supporting Actor : 8 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 4 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

    Supporting Actress : 10 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 5 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

    Original Screenplay : 6 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got Oscar nomination. 1 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

    Adapted Screenplay : 4 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got Oscar nomination. 0 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar

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    kaziz
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    Nov 10th, 2011
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    #1204621407

    P.S. they spread the wealth usuaallllly. Best Film and Director winners aren’t TOO likely to have any acting winners, but particularly ensembles.

    FYC:
    Everything Everywhere All At Once
    The Banshees of Inisherin
    Women Talking
    All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
    Joyland
    RRR
    Aftersun

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