2021 New York Film Critics Circle (Predictions & Live Updates)

[Rynd_Rawikara]

#1204619386

New York Film Critics Circle (NYFCC) Awards is one of the most prestigious critics awards in US (the other two being LAFCA and NSFC). It is also the oldest critics group bodies (a decade younger than Oscar).

Winners will be announced on Friday, December 3rd. They usually reveal winners on Twitter. I’m not on Twitter and live in another part of the world, so I can’t possibly post Live Updates here, but I’m sure y’all can.

My predictions:

Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix
Best Actress: Penelope Cruz
Best Animated Film: Flee
Best Cinematography: The Power of the Dog or Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Director: Jane Campion
Best Film: The Power of the Dog
Best First Film: The Lost Daughter
Best Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car or Titane
Best Non-Fiction Film: –no idea–
Best Screenplay: Licorice Pizza 
Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Best Supporting Actress: Jessie Buckley

• This topic was modified 1 month, 2 weeks ago by Rynd_Rawikara.

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[ejaru1810 Joined: Sep 10th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 530 View Predictions]

#1204619406

Picture: Licorice Pizza
Director: Jane Campion
Actor: Clifton Collins Jr
Actress: Olivia Colman
Supporting Actor: Al Pacino
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunts
Screenplay: Licorice Pizza
First Film: The Lost Daughter

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[Chloe Sevigny stan <3 Joined: Jul 13th, 2019 Topics: 3 Posts: 789 View Predictions]

#1204619555

Winner Predictions

Picture: The Power of the Dog

Director: Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza

Lead Actress: Kristen Stewart – Spencer

Lead Actor: Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth

Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog

Supporting Actress: Ruth Negga – Passing

First Film: Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter

Animated Film: Flee

Cinematography: Spencer

Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car

Non-Fiction Film: Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

 

FYC!!:

Best Picture: The Power of the Dog
Lead Actress: Renate Reinsve (The Worst Person in the World)
Lead Actor: Simon Rex (Red Rocket)
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst (The Power of the Dog)
Supporting Actor: Vincent Lindon (Titane)

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 200 Posts: 29312 View Predictions]

#1204620232

Picture: Licorice Pizza (Spoiler: The Power of the Dog)
Director: Jane Campion (Spoiler: Maggie Gyllenhaal)
Actor: Joaquin Phoenix (Spoiler: Simon Rex)
Actress: Olivia Colman (Spoiler: Alana Haim)
S. Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee (Spoiler: Ciaran Hinds)
S. Actress: Ruth Negga (Spoiler: Kirsten Dunst)
Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson for Licorice Pizza (Spoiler: Fran Kranz for Mass)
Cinematography: Spencer (Spoiler: C’mon C’mon)
Animated Film: Flee
Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car (Spoiler: Parallel Mothers)
First Film: Emma Seligman for Shiva Baby (Spoiler: Rebecca Hall for Passing)

FYC:

"The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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[pacinofan Joined: Nov 28th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 865 View Predictions]

#1204620295

Picture: The Power of the Dog

Director: Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog

Screenplay: Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza

Lead Actress: Olivia Colman- The Lost Daughter

Lead Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch- The Power of the Dog

Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog

Supporting Actress: Alana Haim- Licorice Pizza

First Film: Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter

Animated Film: Flee

Cinematography: The Tragedy of Macbeth

Foreign Language Film: Drive My Car

Non-Fiction Film: Summer of Soul (…Or, When the Revolution Could Not Be Televised)

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[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 376 View Predictions]

#1204621199

My NBR predictions were horrendously wrong but oh well here goes nothing.

(I want to predict Cumberbatch so bad but I’m more sure on Smit-McPhee and Dunst and I’m not sure they give 3/4 acting awards to the same film.)

Best Film – Licorice Pizza
Best Director – Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Best Actor – Joaquin Phoenix, C’mon C’mon
Best Actress – Alana Haim, Licorice Pizza
Best Supporting Actor – Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog
Best Supporting Actress – Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
Best Screenplay – Licorice Pizza
Best Cinematography – Spencer
Best Animated Film – Flee
Best Non-Fiction Film – Summer of Soul
Best Foreign-Language Film – The Worst Person in the World
Best First Film – Maggie Gyllenhaal, The Lost Daughter

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[Cosmia Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 2 Posts: 886 View Predictions]

#1204621201

What award ceremony is this?

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[Certified Lover Babe Joined: Aug 13th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 17 View Predictions]

#1204621249

Best Actor: Denzel Washington
Best Actress: Penelope Cruz                                                                                      Best Supporting Actor: Ciaran Hinds
Best Supporting Actress: Aunjanue Ellis
Best Animated Film: Flee
Best Cinematography: The Tragedy of Macbeth
Best Director: Jane Campion
Best Film: Belfast
Best First Film: Passing
Best Foreign Language Film: Titane
Best Screenplay: Licorice Pizza

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[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 200 Posts: 29312 View Predictions]

#1204621251

I will be shocked if the winner is not one of Colman, Cruz or Haim. Their turns are right up these peoples’ alley just like Sidney Flanigan, Saoirse Ronan (2017), Regina Hall, Marion Cotillard, Lupita Nyong’o and Sally Hawkins’ were.

FYC:

"The Good Fight" and "The Other Two" in all categories.

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[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 4526 View Predictions]

#1204621305

wolfali wrote:

I will be shocked if the winner is not one of Colman, Cruz or Haim. Their turns are right up these peoples’ alley just like Sidney Flanigan, Saoirse Ronan (2017), Regina Hall, Marion Cotillard, Lupita Nyong’o and Sally Hawkins’ were.

I wouldn’t sleep on Renate Reinsve. She won Cannes, topped TIFF critics list and TWPITW Academy screening was moderated by one of the most influential NYFCC members. Apparently, the movie was extremely well liked among the critics members.

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[kaziz Joined: Nov 10th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 4816 View Predictions]

#1204621307

pacinofan wrote:

Supporting Actress: Alana Haim- Licorice Pizza

She’s lead.

FYC:
Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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[kaziz Joined: Nov 10th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 4816 View Predictions]

#1204621320

Passing NEEDS to win something: Negga is most likely but I wouldn’t count out Thompson, it’s consistent with their history too (understated, unshowy lead of acclaimed film). As long as it wins something good, Adapted & Negga have a shot. Technically, LAFCA can resuscitate it too so it doesn’t HAVE to win, but I’d LOVE IT TO.

FYC:
Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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[We keep the news light! Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 33 Posts: 1024 View Predictions]

#1204621371

Best Actor: Simon Rex
Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
Best Animated Film: Flee
Best Cinematography: Nightmare Alley
Best Director: Jane Campion
Best Film: The Power of the Dog
Best First Film: Passing
Best Foreign Language Film: The Worst Person in The World
Best Non-Fiction Film:…………
Best Screenplay: Belfast
Best Supporting Actor: Kodi Smit-McPhee
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett

FYC
Best Picture: Nightmare Alley
Best Director: Jane Campion
Best Actress: Renate Reinsve
Best Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Supporting Actor: Jon Bernthal
Bes Original Screenplay: The Worst Person in The World

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[pedrohf2001 Joined: Jan 27th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 801 View Predictions]

#1204621382

NYFCC Winners overlap With the Oscars

NYFCC Historical Analysis – Last 12 Years
NYFCC Winners Overlap with Oscar Nominees and Winners

Best Picture : 10 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 2 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

Best Director : 8 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 4 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

Best Actor : 7 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 2 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

Best Actress : 7 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 1 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

Supporting Actor : 8 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 4 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

Supporting Actress : 10 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got nominated at the Oscars. 5 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

Original Screenplay : 6 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got Oscar nomination. 1 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar.

Adapted Screenplay : 4 of the 12 NYFCC Winners got Oscar nomination. 0 of the 12 NYFCC Winners won the Oscar

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[kaziz Joined: Nov 10th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 4816 View Predictions]

#1204621407

P.S. they spread the wealth usuaallllly. Best Film and Director winners aren’t TOO likely to have any acting winners, but particularly ensembles.

FYC:
Picture: Passing, The Power of the Dog, The Lost Daughter, Drive My Car
Director: Jane Campion, Rebecca Hall
Actor: Benedict Cumberbatch, Hidetoshi Nishijima
Actress: Tessa Thompson, Olivia Colman, Kristen Stewart
Supporting Actress: Kirsten Dunst, Ruth Negga, Dakota Johnson, Jessie Buckley, Martha Plimpton
Supporting Actor: Troy Kotsur, Kodi Smit-McPhee, Jesse Plemons

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