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2021 Oscar Predictions (Part 12)

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    David
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    #1203732088

    Not really a big fan of the 6 acting nominees, but let’s hope this year their nominees are way more diverse than last year.

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    wolfali
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    #1203732130

    Well I think I’ve found a contender to challenge Anthony Hopkins in Best Actor…

    …Just saying Olivia Cooke looks unrecognisable here.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    SN
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    #1203732135

    I believe the last time 3 of 4 acting winners came from films from the same distributor was the 2004-5 season when Warner Bros. had Million Dollar Baby (Hilary Swank and Morgan Freeman) and The Aviator (Cate Blanchett). Granted, Netflix isn’t Warner Bros., but in a year when everyone is watching movies on their sofa I don’t find it too far-fetched that Netflix can repeat the feat, especially if two winners are from the same film (in this case, Davis and Boseman).

    The Aviator was from Miramax, not WB. I guess the last that happened was 1998 when Shakespeare in Love won Actress/Supporting Actress and Life is Beautiful won Actor.

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    Milk Money
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    #1203732141

    literally no one votes this way. I dont see why netflix cant win the acting races when they are one of the only viable platforms for people to actually watch movies. We are literally in the most unprecedented times ever. Time to throw out all past precedent and +stats+.

    You can think otherwise if you want, but Netflix is still a factor when deciding top races. Especially amongst older voters, still holding out for theatrical films to survive.

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    diego
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    #1203732162

    Well I think I’ve found a contender to challenge Anthony Hopkins in Best Actor… …Just saying Olivia Cooke looks unrecognisable here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VFOrGkAvjAE

    This reminded me of Elisabeth Moss in Her Smell for some reason. Let’s hope Riz Ahmed doesn’t suffer the same fate she did.

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    Dan Backslide
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    #1203732165

    This reminded me of Elisabeth Moss in Her Smell for some reason. Let’s hope Riz Ahmed doesn’t suffer the same fate she did.

    I hope this is a sign of him getting big projects again, cause there was a brief moment where he kept popping up and then he just vanished. And Ahmed is too good of an actor to just come and go so quickly.

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    wolfali
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    #1203732179

    Well all I can see is it’s probably locked for Sound here and Ahmed and Cooke are locked at the Spirit Awards for sure.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    JackO
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    #1203732190

    You can think otherwise if you want, but Netflix is still a factor when deciding top races. Especially amongst older voters, still holding out for theatrical films to survive.

    Tenet.

    Marvel just pushed a bunch of films to 2021 and later.

    Thats the reality.

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    wolfali
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    #1203732195

    This may sound weird but I think we’re really underestimating the amount of indie films voters may have rented over the lockdown. I mean take Shirley for example or Never Rarely Sometimes Always.

    FYC: Better Call Saul and The Good Fight in all categories including Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.

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    marty
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    #1203732236

    Are you kidding me??? Mendes didn’t absolutely deserve the win or the runner-up position, it was just a gimmicky run of the mill war action movie of the moment that aged already pretty badly compared to actual masterworks of that same year (which hold up and get better after repeated viewings) like Parasite, Once Upon A Time In Hollywood, The Irishman, Marriage Story, The Lighthouse, Uncut Gems, Portrait of A Lady On Fire, etc… A cheap stunt, not an incredible technical achievement at all, a bad rip-off of other films who nailed the technical aspect much better like Rope, Russian Ark, Gravity, Birdman, The Revenant, La La Land, Roma, etc… It was like seeing a bad copy of films like Saving Private Ryan, The Revenant, and Dunkirk. No one among the industry was passionate to even give Mendes a Directing win, it totally benefited from being a late breaker in the shortened awards season, that’s why it won the Globes and swept the Guilds, if it was a normal awards season, it would have never won PGA and DGA, and garnered all that attention at the time. Bong rightly won Directing, as it should have since the beginning, and if it was out of the equation, Scorsese or Tarantino should have taken the gold.

    I’m sorry but I find this dismissal of how good 1917 was ridiculous. In what way was it a “bad rip off” of movies like La La Land and Gravity?! If you have a difference of opinion then that’s one thing, but to begrudge the fact that 1917 WAS the frontrunner for that awards season and was received by critics and audiences alike as an achievement is just ignoring facts.

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    diego
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    #1203732250

    This may sound weird but I think we’re really underestimating the amount of indie films voters may have rented over the lockdown. I mean take Shirley for example or Never Rarely Sometimes Always.

    I don’t know. I mean, yes, voters could totally have rented a couple of indie films during the lockdown but we thought the same of the Emmy nominations and those ended up being lazier than ever.

    Shirley and Never Rarely Sometimes Always also came out ages ago and voting is still a long time from now.  I don’t see Oscar voters remembering them when they are doing their nomination lists honestly, especially with all the major Oscar contenders coming out within a week from each other.

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    Milk Money
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    #1203732332

    Tenet.

    Marvel just pushed a bunch of films to 2021 and later.

    Thats the reality.

    Marvel movies aren’t gonna factor into this Oscar race. Tenet probably won’t either.

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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203732350

    Not really a big fan of the 6 acting nominees, but let’s hope this year their nominees are way more diverse than last year.

    I actually support the idea of having more than 5 nominees in each category at both the Oscars and BAFTAs. I may be in the minority on that though.

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