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2021 Oscar Predictions (Part 12)

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    The Person Formerly Known As Linguini
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    #1203735021

    Academy Award Nominated Sonic the Hedgehog, I love it. It’s what they deserve for getting rid of that nightmare sonic from trailer 1 and actually making the movie 10x better (and a box office success).

    There is no planet where I see Tom Holland as a contender for a Russo produced movie on Apple TV, over

    (a) the leads of a well-reviewed and very buzzy Sorkin drama with a star cast (SBC & Redmayne)

    (b) the lead of a TIFF favorite and POC led movie by awards darling Regina King (Ben-Adir)

    (c) a previous nominee starring in a timely and highly anticipated awards player (Kaluuya).

    I don’t even see him ahead of Phoenix, Driver, and Mikkelson, or even Chalamet for Dune (which I have repeatedly shat on).

    rubbish

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203735071

    (a) the leads of a well-reviewed and very buzzy Sorkin drama with a star cast (SBC & Redmayne) (b) the lead of a TIFF favorite and POC led movie by awards darling Regina King (Ben-Adir) (c) a previous nominee starring in a timely and highly anticipated awards player (Kaluuya).

    None of them are leads. Everyone who’s seen One Night in Miami and The Trial of the Chicago 7 agrees that the entire casts of both are Supporting. The studios may try to fraud someone into lead, but it won’t work: voters will reject it. And it’s obvious that Stanfield is the real lead of Jesus and the Black Messiah, though whichever way the studio goes I do think Stanfield or Kaluuya will be in Best Actor.

    I don’t even see him ahead of Phoenix, Driver, and Mikkelson, or even Chalamet for Dune (which I have repeatedly shat on).

    Holland is absolutely ahead of all of these. I don’t even think Driver and Phoenix have films releasing in 2020-early 2021.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    wolfali
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    #1203735102

    Louis Wain (TBA).

    Probably 2021 now considering its finished post production but isn’t listed on Amazon’s canpaign site.

    Speaking of which it makes me wonder if they’re going to push one contender hard per acting category (Riz Ahmed in actor, Rachel Brosnahan in actress, Olivia Cooke in S. Actress and then Ben-Adir and Odom Jr. in S. Actor).

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    Lucille
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    #1203735118

    Saying Apple TV as if is has no chance of being nominated is kind of harsh. Apple TV isn’t exactly lacking in the nomination department, they make strong pushes for what they believe in and proved it with 18 total nominations in strong fields in this years Emmy’s. Not to mention it was their first year. Not saying Holland will get a nomination but I would not be surprised with consideration especially after seeing praise for him from critics and the general public for his performance (not the movie) in his recent Netflix film. Also Apple TV has a good slate of films from what I have read.

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    The Person Formerly Known As Linguini
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    #1203735208

    None of them are leads. Everyone who’s seen One Night in Miami and The Trial of the Chicago 7 agrees that the entire casts of both are Supporting. The studios may try to fraud someone into lead, but it won’t work: voters will reject it. And it’s obvious that Stanfield is the real lead of Jesus and the Black Messiah, though whichever way the studio goes I do think Stanfield or Kaluuya will be in Best Actor.

    .

    .

    Holland is absolutely ahead of all of these. I don’t even think Driver and Phoenix have films releasing in 2020-early 2021.

    “it won’t work, voters will reject it” LOL the Academy doesn’t give a flying fuck about category fraud. Ffs, the current frontrunner himself won Lead Actor with 20 minutes of screen time. Mahershala Ali was in Supporting for Green Book. Dev Patel was in supporting for Lion. Olivia Colman was in Lead when Stone and Weisz were Supporting even though the 3 had equal roles and Stone was in fact the centre of the movie. They are positing SBC and Redmayne as leads- no official announcement about the same, the only talk of them being Leads is from viewers- and Stanfield and Kaluuya are up for debate but as of now both are top billed and seem to be co-leads, although eventually one will be submitted in S. Actor (and get nominated). TIFF voters ranked Ben-Adir’s performance amongst the overall top, he is clearly the standout character of the movie.

    Holland is NOT getting anywhere near a nomination, no matter how good his performance is, in such a stacked category. Phoenix and Driver have C’mon C’mon and Annette scheduled for 2020, I don’t know if those dates have been changed.

    rubbish

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    The Person Formerly Known As Linguini
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    #1203735218

    Saying Apple TV as if is has no chance of being nominated is kind of harsh. Apple TV isn’t exactly lacking in the nomination department, they make strong pushes for what they believe in and proved it with 18 total nominations in strong fields in this years Emmy’s. Not to mention it was their first year. Not saying Holland will get a nomination but I would not be surprised with consideration especially after seeing praise for him from critics and the general public for his performance (not the movie) in his recent Netflix film. Also Apple TV has a good slate of films from what I have read.

    I’m not saying Apple has no chance, I’m saying it has no chance for this movie. I loved one of their buys from Sundance- Hala- and am sure they’ll get plenty of nominations for Killers of the Flower Moon.

    rubbish

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    fefface
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    #1203735240

    Phoenix and Driver have C’mon C’mon and Annette scheduled for 2020, I don’t know if those dates have been changed.

    If C’mon C’mon was coming out this year we’d have seen it at a festival. It may go for a Sundance premiere and a speedy release to get in for 2021 eligibility but realistically it’s not coming out this year.

    Annette is all but confirmed for Cannes 2021 (Carax was never that likely to premiere elsewhere) so will likely release in fall 2021.

    I’m not sure on Apple’s chances of getting Oscar noms but they got a couple of Emmy noms (and a win for Billy Crudup) so it’s not impossible. They’re not as established as Netflix / Amazon in that regard so it’s hard to say either way.

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    The Person Formerly Known As Linguini
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    #1203735373

    I actually really respect Apple’s catalogue- especially because they’re the only streaming service starting from scratch. Of course, it helps that they have billions in cash to throw at projects, but they’ve produced some of my favorite shows from last year- For All Mankind, Dickinson, Little America, Mythic Quest. I’m also rooting for nominations for The Elephant Queen and Wolfwalkers. It remains to be seen if they’ve overcome the snobbery obstacle the Academy poses, and even if they have, I do not think Cherry will be an Awards movie even if it is enjoyable.

    rubbish

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    Human Bartender
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    #1203735441

    If C’mon C’mon was coming out this year we’d have seen it at a festival. It may go for a Sundance premiere and a speedy release to get in for 2021 eligibility but realistically it’s not coming out this year. Annette is all but confirmed for Cannes 2021 (Carax was never that likely to premiere elsewhere) so will likely release in fall 2021. I’m not sure on Apple’s chances of getting Oscar noms but they got a couple of Emmy noms (and a win for Billy Crudup) so it’s not impossible. They’re not as established as Netflix / Amazon in that regard so it’s hard to say either way.

    Shame that Annette isn’t coming out this year. With how barren the Comedy/Musical field is looking, it probably would’ve been a legitimate contender in Picture, Actor, and Actress.

    Let’s Go Bucks

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    Hoster1
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    #1203735443

    I mean Apple is inevitably getting it’s first Oscar nom this year. Wolfwalkers is practically a lock.

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    Eddy Q
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    #1203735459

    I mean Apple is inevitably getting it’s first Oscar nom this year. Wolfwalkers is practically a lock.

    It is, but I think distributor GKIDS will have more to do with that.

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    Brae
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    #1203735483

    I’m putting Holland in because I don’t buy Hanks getting a back to back nom and frankly… the 100/1 odds are hard to resist, I wanna see if he gets any traction. Academy Award Nominee Tom Holland sounds like something that’ll happen eventually, even if he never does Academy Award level acting, people love him.

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    wolfali
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    #1203735502

    C0uld this be this year’s Lady Bird? I have a feeling Wood is happening at the Globes and that this could happen in Writing here.

    https://www.goldderby.com/article/2020/kajillionaire-reviews-miranda-july/

    FYC OSCARS : VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", GLENN CLOSE FOR "HILLBILLY ELEGY", ANTHONY HOPKINS FOR "THE FATHER", CHADWICK BOSEMAN FOR "MA RAINEY'S BLACK BOTTOM", PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN (BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY).

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    estrelas
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    #1203735506

    C0uld this be this year’s Lady Bird? I have a feeling Wood is happening at the Globes and that this could happen in Writing here. https://www.goldderby.com/article/2020/kajillionaire-reviews-miranda-july/

    I wouldn’t say Lady Bird considering it had much better reviews than this one. With that said, I just slotted the movie into my Best Original Screenplay predictions.

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    Hoster1
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    #1203735535

    It is, but I think distributor GKIDS will have more to do with that.

    I thought that Apple was the sole distributor. Yeah now it’s for sure locked for the GKids slot.

    Ugh Tomm Moore should’ve won the Oscar for Song of the Sea.

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