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2021 Oscar Predictions (Part 6)

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    BetteDavis
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    #1203594941

    General audiences adore him. The only film of his in recent memory that they were mixed on with as Interstellar. People were confused by Inception, but it was still wildly popular among movie goers regardless. And he does pretty well with critics. Only two of his films ever scored below 80% on Rotten Tomatoes.

    Metacritic is really more of an accurate look at how the critics feel about a film.  His films are usually in the 70’s there.  General crowds seem consistently confused with his films.  I like Nolan, but his films are in a weird place where they’re too artsy for the general crowd and not artsy enough for the artsy crowd.  I remember audiences being confused and kind of mixed around Inception as well.  His films make money and he has a passionate fanbase, but he gets snubbed more than he gets nominated by the Academy.  I just don’t think the Academy will necessarily go for Tenet.  It’s not a sign of the film’s quality, but I don’t see Tenet being anything other than a tech contender and possibly a lower BP nominee.

    My profile on Letterboxd https://letterboxd.com/Icecreamb

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    #1203595005

    I think Tenet whenever it’s released, can get into Best Original Screenplay and Best Picture along with the tech categories. Best Director for Nolan is debatable, but we’ll see. I feel that like Inception it has enough appeal outside of sci-fi  to at least be a contender. I don’t really see Dune being much more than a tech contender though.

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    diego
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    #1203595553

    First look at The Trial of the Chicago Seven via Vanity Fair. The release day is set for October 16.

    From this, it seems like Sacha Baron Cohen might be the lead, and I think Jeremy Strong might be a supporting actor contender, the article says he “begged to be sprayed with real tear gas”.

     

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    BetteDavis
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    #1203595680

    https://twitter.com/voxxlux/status/1285599881827155969?s=19

    Here are some pictures on twitter of The French Dispatch set.

    My profile on Letterboxd https://letterboxd.com/Icecreamb

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    diego
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    #1203595855

    Since July is coming to an end, I thought it would be interesting to see where our predictions generally stand. I compiled a list of all the predictions that were posted here this month and this is where we are at:

    JULY COMPILED PREDICTIONS

    Best Picture
    • Dune (6)
    • The French Dispatch (10)
    • Hillbilly Elegy (7)
    • Mank (11)
    • News of the World (9)
    • Nomadland (7)
    • On the Rocks (7)
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7 (11)
    Next in line: Ammonite, Da 5 Bloods, Tenet, West Side Story (All with 5)

    Best Director
    • Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch (8)
    • David Fincher, Mank (11)
    • Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7 (5)
    • Denis Villeneuve, Dune (5)
    • Chloé Zhao, Nomadland (6)
    Next in line: Sofía Coppola, On the Rocks (4)

    Best Actor
    • Tom Hanks, News of the World (5)
    • Anthony Hopkins, The Father (11)
    • Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods (6)
    • Bill Murray, On the Rocks (8)
    • Gary Oldman, Mank (11)
    Next in line: Matt Damon, Stillwater, (4)

    Best Actress
    • Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy (7)
    • Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (10)
    • Jennifer Hudson, Respect (7)
    • Frances McDormand, Nomadland (8)
    • Kate Winslet, Ammonite (8)
    Next in line: Jennifer Lawrence, Red, White and Water (5)

    Best Supporting Actor*
    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, The Trial of the Chicago 7 (7)
    • Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7 (7)
    • Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (4)
    • Tom Burke, Mank (7)
    • Brian Tyree Henry, Red, White and Water (4)
    • David Strathairn, Nomadland (4)
    Next in line: Charles Dance and Tom Pelphrey, Mank (3) 

    Best Supporting Actress 
    • Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy (11)
    • Olivia Colman, The Father (9)
    • Ariana DeBose, West Side Story (4)
    • Saoirse Ronan, Ammonite (10)
    • Amanda Seyfried, Mank (9)
    Next in line: Toni Collette, I’m Thinking of Ending Things (2) 

    Best Adapted Screenplay*
    • The Father (6)
    • Hillbilly Elegy (6)
    • I’m Thinking of Ending Things (4)
    • Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (4)
    • News of the World (7)
    • Nomadland (5)
    Next in line: Dune, (3)

    Best Original Screenplay
    • The French Dispatch (6)
    • Mank (9)
    • On the Rocks (5)
    • Soul (5)
    • The Trial of the Chicago 7 (7)
    Next in line, Minari, 4
    ______

    NOTE 1: Since they were ties in both Supporting Actor and Adapted Screenplay, I decided to just add another nominee instead of cutting one.

    NOTE 2: Delroy Lindo and Amy Adams both had enough predictions to enter the supporting categories but I placed them both in lead which is where they had more.

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    Dan Backslide
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    #1203596398

    That article on Trial of the Chicago Seven really excites me. Here’s hoping it’s as good as it sounds.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203596565

    Metacritic is really more of an accurate look at how the critics feel about a film.

    We’ve been over this before: it’s not. Metacritic cherry picks the mainstream media journalist critics and ignores a lot of the great ones on YouTube like Chris Stuckman, Jeremy Jahns, and Dan Murrell, and also smaller outlet critics. Rotten Tomatoes has much wider range of reviews and thus is a more accurate barometer for what the majority of critics actually like.

    Fuck the Grammys

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203596567

    I think Tenet whenever it’s released, can get into Best Original Screenplay and Best Picture along with the tech categories. Best Director for Nolan is debatable, but we’ll see. I feel that like Inception it has enough appeal outside of sci-fi to at least be a contender. I don’t really see Dune being much more than a tech contender though.

    That’s how I feel too. Although considering how weak this year will be, Dune and Tenet may just make it into all of the top categories by default (assuming they both release in 2020 or early 2021).

    Fuck the Grammys

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203596574

    And as a side note, no one should really trust the “top critics” that metacritic chooses considering how laughably bad their Jojo Rabbit and Joker reviews were, compared to the majority of critics on Rotten Tomatoes. In the video game world, The Last of Us Part 2 is another great example of just how terrible metacritic’s critics are.

    Fuck the Grammys

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    FairWeatherAffair
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    May 11th, 2018
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    #1203596646

    Most professional American film critics are bad, definitely, but not for the reasons you think they are.

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203596882

    Most professional American film critics are bad, definitely, but not for the reasons you think they are.

    You can find plenty of great American film critics if you know where to look. But you won’t find most of them on Metacritic.

    Fuck the Grammys

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    diego
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    #1203596888

    The Prom is back shooting, it will probably ready to release before the eligibility period ends.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    Feb 23rd, 2017
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    #1203596975

    I just hope Warner Bros. sticks with the December release date for Dune and doesn’t pull another Tenet. December seems fair enough.

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    Gabriel Guarin
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    Feb 23rd, 2017
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    #1203597038

    I mean people could just wear a masks and go to movies, why are they making a big deal out of it.

    My sentiments exactly. Businesses need to move forward at some point.

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    Stank83
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    Mar 8th, 2020
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    #1203597119

    The Prom is back shooting, it will probably ready to release before the eligibility period ends.

    Don’t think so.
    Netflix’s plate for late 2020/early 2021 is already full.

    Mank
    The Trial of Chicago 7
    Hillbilly Elegy
    Da 5 Bloods
    I’m Thinking of Ending Things
    The Devil All The Time
    White Tiger

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