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2021 Oscar Predictions (Part 6)

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    John Berchmans
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    Let’s not forget Andra Day. WOC could go 4/5 in the Best Actress category. 😉

    That won’t happen, but I do think Viola and JHud both have a good chance at a nomination.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    Dan Backslide
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    It’s crazy how big Yahya is getting. In those first several episodes of Watchmen, he was little more than window dressing, but the man’s got chops, and I’d love to see him pick up some more award buzz this year. And I didn’t even know he was playing Candyman. I guess Jordan Peele saw something in him for his small role in Us.

    Anyway, from what I saw about Trial of the Chicago Seven, it seems like Baron Cohen, Redmayne, Yahya, Strong, and Langella have the best roles. Might want to look out for Keaton and Rylance as well, I think Sorkin singles them out alongside those others. I feel like we can definitely see two supporting men get in for this one.

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    Stank83
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    I think if the movie is received pretty well, MAYBE only Baron Cohen and Redmayne get in Supporting, the rest won’t make the cut.

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    Dan Backslide
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    I think if the movie is received pretty well, MAYBE only Baron Cohen and Redmayne get in Supporting, the rest won’t make the cut.

    I think at least one of them is going lead. It looks like they could have several contenders, and they’ll likely want to spread out their chances.

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    estrelas
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    https://deadline.com/2020/08/netflix-acquiring-the-woman-in-the-window-amy-adams-disney-fox-2000-elizabeth-gabler-project-joe-wright-1203002581/

    Netflix is trying to buy The Woman In the Window. But it’s not clear if Netflix has plans to release it this year.

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    David
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    I think Daniel Kaluuya is a real strong contender for supporting actor this year and maybe even end up pulling out the win. In his film ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’, he will be playing Fred Hampton who was the leader of the  Illinois chapter of the Black Panther Party, and deputy chairman of the national BPP. Based on the synopsis though, I think Lakeith Stanfield will be the lead because the film will take a look at the rise and demise of Fred Hampton (Daniel Kaluuya) through the eyes of William O’neal (Lakeith Stanfield). This film will be directed by Shaka King and produced by Ryan Coogler. Keep this on your radars people!

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    Stank83
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    I think Daniel Kaluuya is a real strong contender for supporting actor this year and maybe even end up pulling out the win. In his film ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’, he will be playing Fred Hampton who was the leader of the Illinois chapter of the Black Panther Party, and deputy chairman of the national BPP. Based on the synopsis though, I think Lakeith Stanfield will be the lead because the film will take a look at the rise and demise of Fred Hampton (Daniel Kaluuya) through the eyes of William O’neal (Lakeith Stanfield). This film will be directed by Shaka King and produced by Ryan Coogler. Keep this on your radars people!

    My short answer is I don’t think so.

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    RayKeller
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    I just saw the list of films that would have been at the cancelled TELLURIDE FILM FESTIVAL. They’ve been able to pick most of the best picture winners for years. Anyone see any gems in this list:

    AFTER LOVE (dir. Aleem Khan, UK, 89 min)

    ALL IN: THE FIGHT FOR DEMOCRACY (dir. Liz Garbus, Lisa Cortés, USA, 102 min)
    How to watch: In select theaters Sept. 9, available to stream on Amazon Prime Video Sept. 18

    THE ALPINIST (dir. Peter Mortimer, Nick Rosen, USA, 92 min)
    How to watch: Follow @redbulldocs for screening updates

    AMMONITE (dir. Francis Lee, UK, 117 min)
    How to watch: Toronto International Film Festival (Sept. 10-19)

    ANDREY TARKOVSKY. A CINEMA PRAYER (dir. Andrey A. Tarkovsky, Italy-Russian Federation-Sweden, 97 min)

    APPLES (dir. Christos Nikou, Greece-Poland-Slovenia, 90 min)
    How to watch: Venice Film Festival (Sept. 2-12)

    THE AUTOMAT (dir. Lisa Hurwitz, USA, 79 min)
    How to watch: follow at Facebook.com/THEAUTOMATthemovie for screening updates

    THE BEE GEES: HOW CAN YOU MEND A BROKEN HEART (dir. Frank Marshall, USA, 111 min)

    CHARLATAN (dir. Agnieszka Holland, Czech Republic-Ireland-Poland-Slovakia, 118 min)
    How to watch: screening at the now in-progress Transilvania International Film Festival

    CONCRETE COWBOY (dir. Ricky Staub, USA, 111 min)
    How to watch: Toronto International Film Festival (Sept. 10-19)

    DEAR MR. BRODY (dir. Keith Maitland, USA, 97 min)

    THE DUKE (dir. Roger Michell, UK, 96 min)
    How to watch: Venice Film Festival (Sept. 2-12), theatrical release Spring 2021

    THE FATHER (dir. Florian Zeller, UK-France, 97 min)
    How to watch: Toronto International Film Festival (Sept. 10-19)

    FIREBALL: VISITORS FROM DARKER WORLDS (dir. Werner Herzog, Clive Oppenheimer, UK-USA, 97 min)
    How to watch: Toronto International Film Festival (Sept. 10-19), Stream on Apple+ (date TBD)

    IBRAHIM (dir. Samir Guesmi, France, 84 min)
    How to watch: French release Dec. 9

    MAINSTREAM (dir. Gia Coppola, USA, 94 min)
    How to watch: Venice Film Festival (Sept. 2-12)

    MANDIBULES (dir. Quentin Dupieux, France, 77 min)
    How to watch: Venice Film Festival (Sept. 2-12), French release Dec. 2

    MLK/FBI (dir. Sam Pollard, USA, 104 min)
    How to watch: Toronto International Film Festival (Sept. 10-19)

    THE MOST BEAUTIFUL BOY IN THE WORLD (dir. Kristina Lindström, Kristian Petri, Sweden, 93 min)

    NEVER GONNA SNOW AGAIN (dir. Małgorzata Szumowska, co-dir. Michał Englert, Poland-Germany, 113 min)
    How to watch: Venice Film Festival (Sept. 2-12)

    NOMADLAND (dir. Chloé Zhao, USA, 108 min)
    How to watch: Venice Film Festival (Sept. 2-12), Toronto International Film Festival (Sept. 10-19), Telluride From Los Angeles Drive-In Screening (Sept. 11), New York Film Festival (Sept. 25-Oct. 11), theatrical release Fall 2020

    NOTTURNO (dir. Gianfranco Rosi, Italy-France-Germany, 100 min)
    How to watch: Venice Film Festival (Sept. 2-12), Toronto International Film Festival (Sept. 10-19)

    PRAY AWAY (dir. Kristine Stolakis, USA, 101 min)

    THERE IS NO EVIL (dir. Mohammad Rasoulof, Germany-Iran, 152 min)
    How to watch: theatrical and virtual release at http://www.KinoMarquee.com by end of 2020

    TO THE MOON (dir. Tadhg O’Sullivan, Ireland, 76 min)
    How to watch: Venice Days Film Festival (Sept. 2-12)

    TORN (dir. Max Lowe, USA, 92 min)

    THE TRUFFLE HUNTERS (dir. Michael Dweck, Gregory Kershaw, Italy-USA-Greece, 84 min)

    TRUMAN & TENNESSEE: AN INTIMATE CONVERSATION (dir. Lisa Immordino Vreeland, USA, 86 min)

    THE WAY I SEE IT (dir. Dawn Porter, USA, 100 min)

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    Stank83
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    I think Mainstream could surprise.

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    fefface
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    Mulan is going to Disney Plus but won’t be free

    30 dollars on Disney Plus in the US, theatrical release elsewhere.

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    Magnus
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    https://www.indiewire.com/2020/08/dune-denis-villeneuve-editing-pandemic-1234577580/

    If Dune makes its release date, I don’t think it’s winning editing. I haven’t yet predicted it as my number 1 in that category, currently I don’t even have it getting a nomination. My editing predictions are:

    1. The Trial of the Chicago 7
    2. Mank
    3. Tenet
    4. News of the World
    5. Da 5 Bloods
    6. Dune
    7. Nomadland
    8. The French Dispatch
    9. No Time to Die
    10. West Side Story

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    John Berchmans
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    Mulan is going to Disney Plus but won’t be free 30 dollars on Disney Plus in the US, theatrical release elsewhere.

    This is very interesting. I guess Disney doesn’t expect this film to do very well at the North American box office, and they’re hoping to recoup the costs of the film with a great international box office haul and strong Disney Plus VOD sales. I think they’re probably right, to be honest. There’s not much of a market for a film about China in America right now, thanks to everything that’s happened recently. Not to mention the fact that people are sick of Disney remakes, and of course the pandemic is scaring everyone away from theaters.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    John Berchmans
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    As a side note, I think Disney will do the same with The New Mutants. I find it really hard to believe that film will make it’s release date considering every other major August release has been delayed or put on VOD. Maybe they’ll actually make money if The New Mutants is $30 on Disney Plus VOD. Or they’ll just pull an Artemis Fowl instead.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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