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2021 Oscar Predictions (Part 6)

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    David
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    #1203638599

    Best Actor in a Supporting Role:

    1. Daniel Kaluuya- ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’
    2. Sacha Baron Cohen- ‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’
    3. Steven Yeun- ‘Minari’
    4. Brian Tyree Henry- ‘Red, White, and Water’
    5. David Strathairn- ‘Nomadland’
    Runner up:

    Jeremy Strong- ‘The Trial of the Chicago 7’

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    Hoster1
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    #1203638910

    August:

    Best Picture:
    The Father (SPC)
    The French Dispatch (Searchlight)
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
    Mank (Netflix)
    News of the World (Universal)
    Nomadland (Searchlight)
    One Night in Miami (Amazon)
    The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)

    Directing:
    Florian Zeller – The Father
    Wes Anderson – The French Dispatch
    David Fincher – Mank
    Paul Greengrass – News of the World
    Chloé Zhao – Nomadland

    Actor in a Leading Role:
    Tom Hanks – News of the World
    Anthony Hopkins – The Father
    Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and Black Messiah
    Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods
    Gary Oldman – Mank

    Actress in a Leading Role:
    Amy Adams – Hillbilly Elegy
    Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday
    Frances McDormand – Nomadland
    Kate Winslet – Ammonite

    Original Screenplay:
    The French Dispatch – Wes Anderson, Jason Schwartzman, Roman Coppola & Hugo Guinness
    Judas and Black Messiah – Will Berson, Shaka King, Keith Lucas & Kenneth Lucas
    Mank – Jack Fincher
    Soul – Pete Docter, Mike Jones & Kemp Powers
    The Trial of the Chicago 7 – Aaron Sorkin

    Adapted Screenplay:
    The Father – Christopher Hampton & Florian Zeller
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom – Ruben Santiago-Hudson
    News of the World – Luke Davies
    Nomadland – Chloé Zhao
    One Night in Miami – Kemp Powers

    Actor in a Supporting Role:
    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Leslie Odom Jr. – One Night in Miami
    Lakeith Stanfield – Judas and Black Messiah
    Jeremy Strong – The Trial of the Chicago 7

    Actress in a Supporting Role:
    Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
    Olivia Colman – The Father
    Ariana DeBose – West Side Story
    Amanda Seyfried – Mank
    Helena Zengel – News of the World

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    Foolio
    Joined:
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    #1203639378

    Picture

    Mank
    News of the World
    Nomadland
    Tenet
    Hillbilly Elegy
    On the Rocks
    The French Dispatch
    West Side Story
    The Father
    The Trial of the Chicago 7

    (Dune
    Stillwater
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Da 5 Bloods
    The United States vs. Billie Holiday
    Ammonite
    Red, White and Water
    Judas and the Black Messiah
    French Exit
    Those Who Wish Me Dead)

    Director

    David Fincher, Mank
    Chloe Zhao, Nomadland
    Wes Anderson, The French Dispatch
    Christopher Nolan, Tenet
    Denis Villeneuve, Dune

    (Sofia Coppola, On the Rocks
    Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods
    Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Steven Spielberg, West Side Story
    Nila Neugenbauer, Red, White and Water)

    Actress

    Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Kate Winslet, Ammonite
    Frances McDormand, Nomadland
    Andra Day, The United States vs Billie Holiday
    Jennifer Lawrence, Red, White and Water

    (Jessica Chastain, The Eyes of Tammy Faye
    Jennifer Hudson, Respect
    Michelle Pfeiffer, French Exit
    Jessie Buckley, I’m Thinking of Ending Things
    Sophia Loren, The Life Ahead)

    Actor

    Anthony Hopkins, The Father
    Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
    Gary Oldman, Mank
    Timothee Chalamet, Dune
    Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods

    (Bill Murray, On the Rocks
    Tom Hanks, News of the World
    Eddie Redmayne, The Trial of the Chicago 7
    Matt Damon, Stillwater
    John David Washington, Tenet)

    Supporting Actress

    Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
    Saoirse Ronan, Ammonite
    Amy Adams, Hillbilly Elegy
    Amanda Seyfried, Mank
    Kristin Scott Thomas, Rebecca

    (Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
    Olivia Colman, The Father
    Ruth Negga, Passing
    Lily Collins, Mank
    Toni Collette, I’m Thinking of Ending Things)

    Supporting Actor

    Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    Brian Tyree Henry, Red, White and Water
    Charles Dance, Mank
    Zachary Quinto, The Boys in the Band
    Yahya Abdul-Mateen II, The Trial of the Chicago 7

    (Tom Burke, Mank
    Reid Miller, Good Joe Bell
    Clarke Peters, Da 5 Bloods
    Richard E. Grant, Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
    Lakeith Stanfield, Judas and the Black Messiah)

    Adapted Screenplay

    Nomadland
    News of the World
    I’m Thinking of Ending Things
    Candyman
    The Good House

    (The Boys in the Band
    Promising Young Woman
    West Side Story
    French Exit
    Red, White and Water)

    Original Screenplay

    Mank
    Ammonite
    Minari
    The French Dispatch
    Never Rarely Sometimes Always

    (On the Rocks
    Da 5 Bloods
    C’mon C’mon
    Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
    The 40-Year-Old Version)

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    John Berchmans
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    Do we even know that Judas and the Black Mesiah will be eligible? It’s scheduled to release in 2021, so unless it releases in January or February it won’t be.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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    David
    Joined:
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    #1203640002

    Do we even know that Judas and the Black Mesiah will be eligible? It’s scheduled to release in 2021, so unless it releases in January or February it won’t be.

    I think that’s what they’re aiming for is a January or February release because they wouldn’t have released a trailer this early if they intended on releasing past those two months.

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    Jays
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    Dec 15th, 2017
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    #1203640106

    French Exit is closing NYFF

    https://deadline.com/2020/08/french-exit-world-premiere-closing-night-of-new-york-film-festival-1203010310/

    “tour de force collaboration”

    “career best performance”

    Pfeiffer is coming, whew.

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    Magnus
    Joined:
    Jan 20th, 2020
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    #1203640108

    French Exit is closing NYFF https://deadline.com/2020/08/french-exit-world-premiere-closing-night-of-new-york-film-festival-1203010310/ “tour de force collaboration” “career best performance” Pfeiffer is coming, whew.

     

    I sure hope so.

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    Dan Backslide
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    #1203640402

    Pfeiffer is coming, whew.

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    Stank83
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    Mar 8th, 2020
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    #1203640547

    1. Pfeiffer
    2. Davis
    3. Adams
    4. McDormand
    5. Hudson

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    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Feb 2nd, 2019
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    #1203641095

    I’m still not buying West Side Story as a contender at all. It really just seems like a Globes thing, though with Ansel Elgort being radioactive right now, inevitable controversy over the leads’ age gap, the fact it’s a remake that no one asked for and doesn’t add anything new, and a much more exciting/socially relevant musical adaptation coming from Netflix, I’m not sure it’ll even make a splash there.

    Honestly, In the Heights being pushed to next year is the best thing that could have happened to West Side Story. Though if coronavirus switches things around and they end up in the same eligibility period again, WSS is toast.

    Emmys FYC: Maya Erskine in PEN15, Paapa Essiedu in I May Destroy You, Keeley Hawes in It's a Sin, Carl Lumbly in TFATWS, Cristin Milioti in Made for Love, Elizabeth Olsen in WandaVision, Billie Piper in I Hate Suzie, Hailee Steinfeld in Dickinson, William Zabka in Cobra Kai

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    Gabe Guarin
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    #1203641210

    I’m still not buying West Side Story as a contender at all. It really just seems like a Globes thing, though with Ansel Elgort being radioactive right now, inevitable controversy over the leads’ age gap, the fact it’s a remake that no one asked for and doesn’t add anything new, and a much more exciting/socially relevant musical adaptation coming from Netflix, I’m not sure it’ll even make a splash there. Honestly, In the Heights being pushed to next year is the best thing that could have happened to West Side Story. Though if coronavirus switches things around and they end up in the same eligibility period again, WSS is toast.

    These are the exact reasons why I’m doubting West Side Story.

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    braydenfitzsimmons
    Joined:
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    #1203641240

    I’m still not buying West Side Story as a contender at all. It really just seems like a Globes thing, though with Ansel Elgort being radioactive right now, inevitable controversy over the leads’ age gap, the fact it’s a remake that no one asked for and doesn’t add anything new, and a much more exciting/socially relevant musical adaptation coming from Netflix, I’m not sure it’ll even make a splash there.

    Honestly, In the Heights being pushed to next year is the best thing that could have happened to West Side Story. Though if coronavirus switches things around and they end up in the same eligibility period again, WSS is toast.

    All of this and it’s the type of film that needs to make money to succeed. It’s a $100m budgeted big musical from Spielberg at Fox. He won’t allow it to go to steaming and if it flops commercially it’s got too many strikes against it to overcome and will also give incentive for Disney not to invest into adult driven content for Fox (“if Spielberg + loved IP can’t be a hit, nothing will” is how they are will see it)

    Emmys FYC | Alan Tudyk in “Resident Alien” | Billie Piper in “I Hate Suzie” | Ego Nwodim in “Saturday Night Live” | Kaley Cuoco in “Harley Quinn” | “Dickinson” | “P-Valley” | “Pose” | “Superstore”

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    Milk Money
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    #1203641340

    I knew Michelle was coming for blood this year. I heard from several that she gives a fantastic performance.

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    Dan Backslide
    Joined:
    Apr 24th, 2016
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    #1203641586

    I’m still not buying West Side Story as a contender at all. It really just seems like a Globes thing, though with Ansel Elgort being radioactive right now, inevitable controversy over the leads’ age gap, the fact it’s a remake that no one asked for and doesn’t add anything new, and a much more exciting/socially relevant musical adaptation coming from Netflix, I’m not sure it’ll even make a splash there. Honestly, In the Heights being pushed to next year is the best thing that could have happened to West Side Story. Though if coronavirus switches things around and they end up in the same eligibility period again, WSS is toast.

    Disagree for a few reasons. The first is you say this version adds nothing new, when the team have already made it clear that it won’t be the same as the first film, as they’re adapting parts of the stage show that weren’t done in the film proper, Tony Kushner is updating the book, and they’re actually having people of the correct race portraying the persons of color in the story.

    As for the comparison with The Prom, that show came and went on Broadway and it’ll come and go on film. It’s not gonna steal West Side Story’s thunder if they’re released around the same time. West Side Story is one of the most beloved pieces of theatre ever, The Prom doesn’t scrape the top thousand. While it would provide much more completion than The Prom, In the Heights also doesn’t have anywhere near as much popularity as WSS, and the latter’s new film is generating much more interest in theatre goers than either of these other adaptations.

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    John Berchmans
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    Jan 22nd, 2018
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    #1203641595

    I wasn’t sure about French Exit getting enough visibility to get Micheke Pfeffer a nom, but since it’s closing NYFF I guess that won’t be a problem. Besides, wins like Renee have proven that you don’t need any other Oscar noms to do well in Best Actress: just a strong performance.

    John's Best of 2020

    Best Picture: Soul
    Best Direction: The Midnight Sky
    Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman
    Best Actress: Viola Davis
    Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo
    Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried
    Best Screenplay: Soul

    John's Best of 2021

    Best Picture: Nomadland
    Best Direction: Nomadland
    Best Actor: Lakeith Stanfield
    Best Actress: Frances McDormand
    Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya
    Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung
    Best Screenplay: Judas and the Black Messiah

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