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January 8, 2021 at 9:16 pm #1203970974
Do you think any of these actresses had a chance to be nominated in the fifth slot ala Marina de Tavira‘s style?
Charlene Swankie, Nomadland
Molly Parker, Pieces of A Woman
Sophia Loren, The Life Ahead
Candice Bergen, Let Them All Talk
Talia Ryder, Never Rarely Sometimes Always
Fiona Shaw, Ammonite
Toni Collette, I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Priyanka Chopra Jones, The White Tiger
Dominique Fishback, Judas and The Black Messiah
Helena Zengel, News of the World
Olivia Cooke, The Sound of Metal
– you can also add more performances you think had a chance at the nominations morning…
January 8, 2021 at 10:09 pm #1203971054Fishback is not a surprise for me, currently predicting her and i think she will come crack everyone’s top 5
Of the list I can think of Zengel and Chopra-Jones
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Loren would for sure be nominated here, but it seems that she’ll stay leadJanuary 8, 2021 at 11:16 pm #1203971097Ciara Bravo from Cherry but you cant even predict her.
ReplyCopy URLJanuary 8, 2021 at 11:49 pm #1203971136Olivia Cooke
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Riz Ahmed- Best Actor for Sound Of Metal
Daniel Kaluuya - Best Supporting Actor for Judas and the Black Messiah
Amanda Seyfried - Best Supporting Actress for MankJanuary 9, 2021 at 1:05 am #1203971204If they absolutely L O V E Nomadland I can see Swankie (and David Straithairn) coattailing. Haven’t seen the movie yet but those two have gotten some critics’ love and appear to be the most likely passion pick.
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Lead Actor: Mads Mikkelsen (Another Round)
Supporting Actress: Maria Bakalova (Borat Subsequent Moviefilm)
Supporting Actor: Paul Raci (Sound of Metal)
January 9, 2021 at 1:09 am #1203971214This type of surprises usually come from very strong BP contenders. Out of those, I would say Charlene Swankie would be the most plausible. And tbh, she would be extremely deserving.
ReplyCopy URLJanuary 9, 2021 at 1:26 am #1203971225The most obvious De Tavira this year will be Olivia Williams, since her movie is getting nominated across the board.
My wildcard in this category is Lesley Manville, but if her movie is more embraced than expected, Abril Zamora (another unknown foreign language performance)
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Andrea Riseborough, Karim Saleh, Possessor/Luxor (Actress, Actor)
Rosamund Pike, Peter Dinklage, I Care a Lot (Actress, Supporting Actor)
Jim Broadbent, Helen Mirren, The Duke (Actor, Supporting Actress)
Sophia Loren, Abril Zamora, The Life Ahead (Actress, Supporting Actress)
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman (Actress)January 9, 2021 at 1:32 am #1203971229The most obvious De Tavira this year will be Olivia Williams, since her movie is getting nominated across the board.
Almost everyone that I know that watched the movie said Williams is not happening in a million years. I do think Charlene Swankie could be the De Tavira of year, but I’m being slightly biased cause I loved her performance.
ReplyCopy URLJanuary 9, 2021 at 4:00 am #1203971347The most obvious De Tavira this year will be Olivia Williams, since her movie is getting nominated across the board.
I loved <i>The Father </i>and Williams’ performance but there is no way she’s happening.
I think the De Tavira of this year will be either Olivia Cooke or Dominique Fishback. Currently leaning towards the former as I am predicting her film to be a bigger player.
ReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
January 9, 2021 at 4:11 am #1203971365Lowkey want it to be Toni Collette (21 years after the 6th Sense, she gets another surprise nomination for a genre film).
ReplyCopy URLJanuary 9, 2021 at 8:20 pm #1203973337Not sure Sophia Loren is in the surprised category somehow
ReplyCopy URLJanuary 10, 2021 at 3:15 am #1203973649Of this list, I would love for Talia Ryder who helped anchor NRSA with Flanigan, but didn’t get any of the major critics credit for it, so it might be hard for her to break through unless they discover the film from its critics wins and are obsessed with it. I still maintain it’s not so grueling or controversial that it can’t find enough votes for nominations, but only in the categories that critics pushed it for.
Fishback only happens if Judas really catches on, and as a late release maybe she can benefit from that momentum but I’m getting Carmen Ejogo in Selma vibes at best.
I don’t think NOTW is an acting contender, or a contender beyond techs personally, but if Zengel starts getting main precursor nominations and it turns out to be a bigger hit than I suspect, I don’t think she would be a MdT-style surprise on nominations morning.
Chopra has an outside shot at a Globes nomination, lol.
Olivia Cooke isn’t inconceivable if Sound of Metal really slays with voters, which I think it can. It seems to have a rooting underdog factor and generally playing pretty well with audiences. But with that performance? You could certainly nominate worse, but it’s quite limited (by design, not her fault).
ReplyCopy URLJanuary 10, 2021 at 4:50 am #1203973761Molly Parker, Pieces of A Woman
I would love for Molly Parker to get in but imo she has no chance. If she magically got in then Kirby would probably be easily winning Best Actress.
ReplyCopy URLFYC OSCARS : PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN IN ALL CATEGORIES (ESP. ACTRESS – Carey Mulligan AND ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY — EMERALD FENNELL), VANESSA KIRBY FOR "PIECES OF A WOMAN", ESSIE DAVIS FOR "BABYTEETH"
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