2021 Oscars: Best Picture Predictions

[Paul Sheehan Joined: May 14th, 2011 Topics: 340 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203368647

We need your help to keep this list current.

https://www.goldderby.com/feature/2021-oscar-best-picture-predictions-1203337083/

Let us know what contenders we are missing.

Thanks in advance

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[Foolio Joined: Jan 24th, 2017 Topics: 4 Posts: 6678 View Predictions]

#1203368749

I have Nightmare Alley in my 2022 predictions.

Frontrunners

Mank
Da 5 Bloods
News of the World
Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Next in line

On the Rocks
Ammonite
West Side Story

On the brink

Tenet
Macbeth
Stillwater
Hillbilly Elegy
King Richard
Dune
Red, White and Water

Strong possibilities

Next Goal Wins
In the Heights
Annette
The True American (if released this year)
The French Dispatch
Those Who Wish Me Dead
The Last Duel
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Blonde
Last Night in Soho
Never, Rarely, Sometimes, Always

Possibilities

Ironbark
Good Morning, Midnight
Wild Mountain Thyme
The United States vs Billie Holiday
The Eternals
Respect
Eternal Beauty

Longer shots

Candyman
Rebecca
BIOS
The White Tiger
There Is No Evil
Without Remorse
Good Joe Bell
No Time to Die
Sylvie’s Love
I’m Thinking of Ending Things
Minari
Herself
Prisoner 760
Deep Water
French Exit
The Boys in the Band
Promising Young Woman

Theoretical possibilities

The Eyes of Tammy Faye
Let Them All Talk
All Day and a Night
Louis Wain
Cherry
Worth
Reminiscence
The 40-Year-Old Version
The Prom
C’mon C’mon
The Glorias: a Life on the Road
The Good House
Everybody’s Talking About Jamie
Soul
Four Good Days
Irresistible
Happiest Season
Passing
Green Knight
The Old Guard
The Woman in the Window
Untitled Shaka King Project
Mainstream
Ava
Land
The Witches
One Night in Miami
Breaking News in Yuba County
Stardust
Radioactive

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[gorman Joined: Dec 24th, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 399 View Predictions]

#1203368807

My list is pretty similar to Foolio’s, except less organised/ thorough. The only one’s of the bunch I’d argue have a better chance than you’re saying right now are Minari, C’mon C’mon and Soul. I also have French Dispatch up closer to front runners for now, largely just because of the prestige associated with the cast/ Anderson.

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[Paul Sheehan Joined: May 14th, 2011 Topics: 340 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203369357

Thanks – this is very helpful.

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[markwahlbird Joined: Feb 15th, 2019 Topics: 17 Posts: 130 View Predictions]

#1203370793

Here’s my early set of predictions so far:

BEST PICTURE:
Ammonite
Da 5 Bloods
The French Dispatch
Macbeth
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Tenet
The Trial of the Chicago 7
West Side Story

RUNNERS-UP:
In the Heights
Nomadland
On the Rocks
Red, White, and Water
Stillwater

NEXT IN LINE:
Annette
Bad Blood
Benedetta
Bernstein
Blonde
C’mon C’mon
Dune
The Father
Hillbilly Elegy
I’m Thinking of Ending Things
The Last Duel
Nightmare Alley
Passing
Prisoner 760
The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Worth

LONG SHOTS:
All Day and a Night
Blithe Spirit
Breaking News in Yuba County
Concrete Cowboys
Four Good Days
French Exit
The Glorias
The Green Knight
Greyhound
Harry Haft
The Humans
Irresistible
Jesus Was My Homeboy
Kajillionaire
King Richard
Land
Last Night in Soho
The Last Planet
Let Them All Talk
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Mob Girl
My Salinger Year
Never Rarely Sometimes Always
Next Goal Wins
Operation Mincemeat
The Outside Story
The Personal History of David Copperfield
Rebecca
Respect
Sergio
Soul
Supernova
This Is Jane
Untitled Nora Fingscheidt project
Wild Mountain Thyme
Without Remorse

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[Paul Sheehan Joined: May 14th, 2011 Topics: 340 Posts: 175 View Predictions]

#1203373303

Thanks

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[loudtoilet]

#1203373317

I’m here to stan Dune but I would love to see both Dune and Tenet as Top 5 (means they get in for Director, Scripts and Editing and Dune has a shot at Supporting Actress – Ferguson and Actor – Stellan or Bardem). Dune should be good for SAG Ensemble nom at least. I think it’s totally doable even though it’s gonna be tough for WB to get 2 sci fi in. But stranger things happened.

• This reply was modified 12 months ago by loudtoilet.
• This reply was modified 12 months ago by loudtoilet.

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[fefface Joined: Jan 14th, 2020 Topics: 2 Posts: 839 View Predictions]

#1203373331

loudtoilet wrote:

I’m here to stan Dune but I would love to see both Dune and Tenet as Top 5 (means they get in for Director, Scripts and Editing and Dune has a shot at Supporting Actress – Ferguson and Actor – Stellan or Bardem). Dune should be good for SAG Ensemble nom at least. I think it’s totally doable even though it’s gonna be tough for WB to get 2 sci fi in. But stranger things happened.

Tenet will be scuppered by its release date and will likely be marketed as a sinner blockbuster rather than an awards contender. It might sneak in a few places but WB will likely focus on getting Dune in if it’s well received. I think they’re more concerned about BO than awards for Tenet.

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[loudtoilet Joined: Feb 19th, 2020 Topics: 2 Posts: 387 View Predictions]

#1203373373

Agreed. all studios are now going crazy over COVID-19 so boxoffice is a priority to movies coming out in the first half of the year.

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[John Berchmans Joined: Jan 22nd, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 4429 View Predictions]

#1203373552

loudtoilet wrote:

I’m here to stan Dune but I would love to see both Dune and Tenet as Top 5 (means they get in for Director, Scripts and Editing and Dune has a shot at Supporting Actress – Ferguson and Actor – Stellan or Bardem). Dune should be good for SAG Ensemble nom at least. I think it’s totally doable even though it’s gonna be tough for WB to get 2 sci fi in. But stranger things happened.

I still don’t think betting tgat big on Dune is a smart idea. Tenet will likely get Picture, Director, Screenplay, and Editing noms though, and possibly a non for Pattinson since he’s overdue for recognition. Nolan films don’t usually get acting noms though (Ledger aside), so I wouldn’t bet on that.

John's Best of 2020

Best Picture: Soul
Best Director: George Clooney-The Midnight Sky
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Actress: Viola Davis-Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Best Supporting Actor: Delroy Lindo-Da Five Bloods
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried-Mank
Best Original Screenplay: Soul
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Midnight Sky

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