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2021 Oscars – which films are you predicting to flop?

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    Cordelia
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    #1203582174

    Let’s be cheeky.

    In the tradition of The Big Short’s titular bet, let’s spend this thread predicting which Oscars films, or particular categorical contenders, just plain aren’t happening.

    I don’t want softball bets either – Sonic The Hedgehog isn’t getting a Best Picture nomination, we all know that, don’t pretend it’s a risky bet.

    I want to see people make blunt cuts. I want looking back on this thread after the dust settles to be a mix of laughing at way off the mark predictions and shock at how right some people were.

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    ReginaIsKing
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    #1203582180

    Tammy Faye for one lmao. That is beyond going to be nominated for some Razzies.

    The West Side Story remake looks tragic and is also a tragic idea (well the first film was tragic in the first place so I guess it fits) and having Ansel Elgort leading it is probably going to kill it now with the sexual misconduct/assaults.

    I’m not predicting Tenet or Dune to do well outside of the technical categories, but I think Dune will sweep those anyways.

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    Kyla Dem
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    #1203582182

    I want Mank to flop.

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    Cordelia
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    #1203582184

    I kinda agree with West Side Story.

    I think sadly, I’m predicting Da 5 Bloods as a no-show. Even Delroy Lindo. It’s too early in the year, too idiosyncratic in some stylistic choices, and Netflix has a lot of other fish to fry.

     

     

    For Your Consideration:

    Best Picture: Wolfwalkers

    Best Animated Feature: Wolfwalkers

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    Hoster1
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    #1203582227

    Tenet

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    Vicki Leekx
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    #1203582236

    Hillbilly Elegy, The Woman in the Window, Red White and Water

    FYC:

    Antonio Banderas and Asier Etxeandia, Dolor y Gloria (Best Actor/Supporting Actor)
    Emily Beecham, Little Joe (Best Actress)
    Ian McKellen and Helen Mirren, The Good Liar (Best Actor/Actress)

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    M: The Original
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    #1203582329

    Hillbilly Elegy, The Woman in the Window, Red White and Water

    Hillbilly only needs to be a lone nod for Close.

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    BetteDavis
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    #1203582455

    I think Tenet and Dune will be good, but I don’t think they’ll be a player outside of technicals.

    Da 5 Bloods is DOA.  Flopped super hard. Lindo only stands a chance at a nom if he goes supporting and I don’t think he’ll win there either necessarily.

    Tammy Faye and West Side Story look floptastic.

    My profile on Letterboxd https://letterboxd.com/Icecreamb

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    OneAndOnly
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    #1203582477
    • Ammonite
    • Da 5 Bloods
    • I’m Thinking of Ending Things
    • Next Goal Wins
    • Stillwater
    • The Woman in the Window

    (Awards-Wise, not Critically)

    Have a great day if you see this!

    FYC: Succession
    FYC: Watchmen

    Male/Straight/BLM

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    vinny
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    #1203582493

    The Last Duel

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    BetteDavis
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    #1203582540

    The Last Duel

    Just saw the picture of Matt Damon in costume and this looks cursed.

    My profile on Letterboxd https://letterboxd.com/Icecreamb

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203582598

    The Last Duel

    I second this. Also Tammy Faye, Red, White, and Water,  Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom, and any other performance vehicle outside of The Father and maybe Respect.

    I’m also not sold on On The Rocks yet. Maybe it will get a nom for Bill Murray, but the Academy hasn’t gone all-in on a Sofia Coppola movie since Lost in Translation, and the fact that this on is a comedy makes it even more of a risky bet in my mind. Not to mention it could be an Apple TV+ exclusive, and the only non-Netflix streaming exclusive to break out at the Oscars so far is Manchester by the Sea.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    John Berchmans
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    #1203582600

    Also for risky bets, I’m predicting a nom for Emily Blunt in lead actor for A Quiet Place Part 2, a win for Jennifer Hudson in that same category (if Glenn goes Supporting), a nom for Robert Pattinson in Supporting Actor for Tenet, and multiple wins for West Side Story, including Production Design, Costume Design, and Adapted Screenplay.

    Stream After Hours and In Your Eyes (Remix)

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    Human Bartender
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    #1203582621

    I want Mank to flop.

    Glad to know you’re completely rooting against a film before you’ve even watched a second of it.

    I personally don’t think Dune will be a major player. I can imagine it being like Blade Runner 2049 in that it’ll do well in the tech categories, but I just don’t think it’ll be a big enough film to overcome the genre bias.

    The fact that they’re already talking about making sequels doesn’t sound good for them either, as the Oscars typically don’t care for franchise films. Yes we’ve seen stuff like Lord of the Rings and Black Panther, but Lord of the Rings was based on one of the most beloved trilogies of novels ever (Dune’s popular, but not that popular) and Black Panther was groundbreaking, and very culturally significant and timely.

    Let’s Go Bucks

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    diego
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    #1203582631

    Pretty much all of the ones I think will flop have already be mentioned.

    First off, The Eyes of Tammy Faye, The Lasy Duel, and The Woman In the Window are getting nowhere near the Oscars.

    I could see Hillbilly Elegy getting in with only 3/4 nominations. Glenn, Amy, Screenplay, and/or Hair/Makeup.

    And West Side Story is only a player in the technicals, I know it swept back in the day but I don’t see the Academy falling for what seems to be a carbon copy of the original. I also can’t see how the role of Anita would get anyone a nomination today.

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