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Well I did see a video from Oscar Expert where he basically said “We all know Pinocchio will win”. I guess maybe the consensus comes from its coming out later in the year, compared to a March release for Turning Red, and the fact that GDT is campaigning hard for it.
Yeah, I saw the same video.
My comment was directed at people like Oscar Expert and Film Drunk who repeat that attitude in their videos like it’s a bonafide certainty.
I respect their channels and insight, but there are no locked wins in November.
Pinocchio came out of festivals in the 90’s on metacritic and everyone sorta went “well, I guess it’s over”, without recognizing that we still have a long way to go.
Netflix will go hard for it, but Disney knows that and will probably counter with an aggressive campaign of their own.
It’s not over.
it’s not too long ago that they all had crying meltdowns over michelle williams going lead because they were 1000% sure she was the supporting winner.
Looks like Strange World might be getting Lightyear-tier reviews.
Might also bomb harder than Lightyear at the box office so who knows.
It’s kind of weird how this year turned out for animated movies.
There’s Pinocchio and Turning Red as the top two contenders.
then a bunch of other movies that kind of disappointed.
Lightyear, Wendell & Wild, My Father’s Dragon, Strange World.
There’s also Marcel the Shell, but since that movie has some live-action elements it might have an uphill battle. And it was a disappointment at the box office.
Looks like Strange World might be getting Lightyear-tier reviews. Might also bomb harder than Lightyear at the box office so who knows.
I still wouldn’t put it past the Academy to nominate those two: remember the Disney bias.
I still wouldn’t put it past the Academy to nominate those two: remember the Disney bias.
Screw AMPAS’ Short Films & Feature Animation branch if all 3 Disney offerings from 2022 make it into BAF.
Turning Red is the only 2022 Disney offering that warrants a BAF slot. I may have the stance that all 3 would amount to category filler, but I’m not in denial that people generally like Turning Red, not to mention that it has strong potential in an additional category (Best Original Song for “Nobody Like U”), which always helps.
Help me manifest this Best Original Song category at the 95th Oscars!:
(contenders as of end of November)
—
"Dragon Commander" (Inu-oh)
"Good Tonight" (The Bad Guys)
"Hold My Hand" (Top Gun: Maverick)
"Lucky Ducks" (The Bob's Burgers Movie)
"Naatu Naatu" (RRR: Rise, Roar, Revolt)This category is really rough to predict right now. Strange World is poised to flop (even if critics tried too hard to not say anything negative about it).
For nominations, of course. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio is pretty obviously winning Animated Feature. Turning Red is second on line.
Everything else I don’t know.
This category is really rough to predict right now. Strange World is poised to flop (even if critics tried too hard to not say anything negative about it).
For nominations, of course. Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio is pretty obviously winning Animated Feature. Turning Red is second on line.
Everything else I don’t know.
Simple, any three of the following five:
Apollo 10 1/2: A Space Age Childhood, The Bad Guys, Inu-oh, Marcel the Shell With Shoes On. or Minions: The Rise of Gru.Done.
Help me manifest this Best Original Song category at the 95th Oscars!:
(contenders as of end of November)
—
"Dragon Commander" (Inu-oh)
"Good Tonight" (The Bad Guys)
"Hold My Hand" (Top Gun: Maverick)
"Lucky Ducks" (The Bob's Burgers Movie)
"Naatu Naatu" (RRR: Rise, Roar, Revolt)I don’t know why Mad God isn’t being talked about more for this award, considering the director’s résumé and having Guillermo Del Toro’s blessing.
GDT’s Pinocchio & Turning Red feel like the only locks this year.
Strange World is a potential flop with lukewarm reviews while Lightyear is a complete joke at this point but both are Disney films.
Netflix’s other contenders like My Father’s Dragon or Wendell & Wild aren’t exactly breaking streaming records. The former might be too Noggin / Nick Jr. even for AMPAS. The latter may not be as beloved as Coraline or Nightmare Before Christmas but I still think the industry respect for Henry Selick & Jordan Peele could be enough to keep W&W in contention.
Marcel the Shell would be a deserving nominee but will enough voters even think that it belongs in animated film considering the live-action stuff? We’ve seen a similar snub happen before with The Lego Movie. Are Inu-Oh or Mad God on AMPAS’s radar? How many Oscars voters even have Shudder?
The Bad Guys & Puss in Boots 2 are serious dark horses in this race. Innovative animation + mainstream appeal + Universal already campaigning them = possible nominations.
so with the strange world disaster the disney’s nominees these year could be turning red and bob’s burger
on imdb:
lightyear bottom pixar film
strange world bottom 3 disney animation, with chicken little & home on the range
https://www.worldofreel.com/blog/2022/11/n4hsf8you9exlc3qlnni0xz5y1j2pi
Article on the animated feature race.
Acknowledges that the race is between Del Toro’s Pinocchio and Turning Red.
Strange World is being received very underwhelmingly by both critics and audiences, and it looks like it will be quite a bomb at the Box Office. I really don’t see it making a dent in this race and it could easily miss the nomination. The Bad Guys is looking more and more likely for a nod every day and I would keep an eye out for Puss In Boots as well.
Puss in Boots is getting great reviews and I think it’s in for a relatively weak competition.
Puss in Boots is getting great reviews and I think it’s in for a relatively weak competition.
Are you referring to audience reactions to the advance screening that happened today?
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