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Not underestimating Apple TV+ in this category because of the potential two of their films (luck in august) (spellbound in November)
Current predictions
1. Strange World
2. Spellbound
3. Turning Red (after Lightyear’s mixed responses and the competition this year, Turning Red probably going to get in over it.)
4. My Father’s Dragon (Cartoon Saloon is pretty strong in this category)
5. PinocchioThe House
The House is being targeted towards Emmys and also possibly BAFTA. Oscars ineligible.
Not underestimating Apple TV+ in this category because of the potential two of their films (luck in august) (spellbound in November)
Current predictions
1. Strange World
2. Spellbound
3. Turning Red (after Lightyear’s mixed responses and the competition this year, Turning Red probably going to get in over it.)
4. My Father’s Dragon (Cartoon Saloon is pretty strong in this category)
5. PinocchioUnderwhelming Disney/Pixar sequels have missed in the past (Monsters U, Finding Dory, Frozen II) so it’s not impossible that Lightyear does as well.
Underwhelming Disney/Pixar sequels have missed in the past (Monsters U, Finding Dory, Frozen II) so it’s not impossible that Lightyear does as well.
And yet again, Incredibles II and Ralph Breaks the Internet were nominated. Also, Toy Story 4 was considered inferior to its predecessors yet still won the Oscar.
If Lightyear does actually miss, I can see that spot filled by an out-there movie, like this one:
Lightyear is this year’s Frozen 2/Monster University, underwhelming sequel that has no passion for an Animated Feature nod.
Toy Story 4, Ralph Breaks the Internet and Incredibles 2 had better reviews and were nominated with TS winning, also Finding Dory had better reception and missed.
The reception of Lightyear is closer to Monster University and Frozen 2 and we know how it ended.
"EGOT" and "Triple Crown of Acting" winner: VIOLA DAVIS!!!!
if Strange World is even remotely good then it’s winning due of recency bias just like Encanto.
Counter example: Moana didn’t win, and it was a November release.
But Disney was obviously in the tank for Zootopia in 2016.
This feels like a weak year for Disney and Pixar, thinking Netflix could snag this category with Pinocchio or Wendell & Wild
SOS for AOTY
Succession for Outstanding Drama Series
Steven Yeun and Ali Wong for Lead Actor and Lead Actress
Just going off the trailer, Puss in Boots feels like it could another Spider-Verse, acclaimed surprise breakout hit from a major studio when we assumed it was just another IP expansion film.
“Disney Award” Yeah, Shrek, Spirited Away, Wallace & Gromit, Happy Feet, Rango, SpiderVerse. All classic Disney movies. What an astute observation.
Um…considering Pixar has 11 WINS and Disney Animation Studios has 4 wins and with Dreamworks being the only other studio with multiple wins (2😂) I think it’s safe to say that it can be called the “Disney Award”….He didn’t say that the ONLY winners have been Disney films. Like my God it’s not that hard 🤦🏻♂️
Just going off the trailer, Puss in Boots feels like it could another Spider-Verse, acclaimed surprise breakout hit from a major studio when we assumed it was just another IP expansion film.
I really doubt it but I guess you never know.
The House is being targeted towards Emmys and also possibly BAFTA. Oscars ineligible.
Oh that stinks 🙁 I kinda love that style of animation since it creeps me out but is incredible all at once
Lightyear is missing. Subpar box office and critical reception, a Pixar film with a better reception, and a later Disney film are all factors for why I see this happening. Even the argument that Lightyear will get support for queer rep doesn’t hold up – so does Strange World.
The other reason is this year is packed. Strange World and Turning Red are the stronger Disney voting pushes, Pinocchio has Del Toro and could be a winner contender, Wendell and Wild has Jordan Peele and Henry Selleck, and Dreamworks lately has been doing the sort of 2D elements in 3D animation that the animation industry loves rewarding (see the success of Spider-verse).
With that established, my predictions are
- The Bad Guys OR Puss In Boots: The Last Wish
- Pinocchio
- Strange World
- Turning Red
- Wendell and Wild
My Favourite Albums
Oil Of Every Pearl's Un-Insides - SOPHIE
Hounds of Love - Kate Bush
Since I Left You - The Avalanches
Twin Fantasy - Car Seat Headrest
Vespertine - Bjork
Lightyear could still make it in on the strength of general goodwill to Toy Story, but it’s not going to be win competitive at this rate. It’ll be interesting to see if they actually pivot resources for a campaign to Turning Red because it’s clear they were ready to go all out for Lightyear.
Don’t underestimate Lightyear due to its poor reviews; after all, BOSS BABY got nominated.
The Bad Guys OR Puss In Boots: The Last Wish Pinocchio Strange World Turning Red Wendell and Wild
Replace that Dreamworks slot with My Father’s Dragon because Cartoon Saloon doesn’t miss.
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