2023 Oscar Contenders (Part 4)

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 23 Posts: 5404 View Predictions]

#1204910790

Good Luck to You Leo Grande and Cha Cha Real Smooth both debut on Hulu and Apple respectively on June 17 (the week before Elvis). From what I confirm they will both still do qualifying theatrical runs.

[Go Yeoh! Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 917 View Predictions]

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wolfali wrote:

 

[Butz Joined: Oct 15th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 1287 View Predictions]

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Gabarnes43 wrote:

Could Anthony Hopkins get in for reprising his phenomenal role in The Son

The Son is not a sequel and he’s playing a different role.

Letterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges

[wolfali Joined: Sep 4th, 2018 Topics: 220 Posts: 33650 View Predictions]

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kat_ebbs wrote:

From what I confirm they will both still do qualifying theatrical runs.

Good news for Thompson! I’ll move her up in my next round of predictions.

FYC:

"The Good Fight", "The Other Two" and "Station Eleven" in all categories, Sarah Lancashire ("Julia"), William Jackson Harper ("Love Life") and Luke Kirby ("The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel")

[Stefania Joined: Feb 22nd, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 1371 View Predictions]

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For those who have already seen EEAAO, is it something 60+ white men could like or do you think that it will leave them confused?

[Manav Joined: Dec 21st, 2019 Topics: 53 Posts: 5516 View Predictions]

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alittle03 wrote:

April predictions.  

These are the most logical set of predictions I’ve seen till now of the 2023 Oscar season.

Emmy FYC
-Severance in all categories.
-Ted Lasso in all categories.
-The Dropout in all categories.

-Jennifer Coolidge, Connie Britton, Margaret Qualley, Colin Firth
-Jung Ho-Yeon, Lee Yoo-Mi, Sarah Snook, Laura Linney.
-Jean Smart, Kaley Cuoco, Juno Temple, Sarah Lancashire and Martin Short.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 23 Posts: 5404 View Predictions]

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Stefania wrote:

For those who have already seen EEAAO, is it something 60+ white men could like or do you think that it will leave them confused?

Obvious there’s low data here and you could get some drop off, but if this helps……..

Past 3 winners

Coda – 8.0 for men and 8.4 for women over 45

Nomadland – 7.3 for men and 7.6 for women over 45

Parasite – 8.1 for men and 8.2 for women over 45

“>

[Barbra Please Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 42 Posts: 1557 View Predictions]

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LA26 wrote:

I had to double check this was accurate and not a joke.

https://platform.twitter.com/embed/Tweet.html?dnt=true&embedId=twitter-widget-0&features=eyJ0ZndfZXhwZXJpbWVudHNfY29va2llX2V4cGlyYXRpb24iOnsiYnVja2V0IjoxMjA5NjAwLCJ2ZXJzaW9uIjpudWxsfSwidGZ3X3NwYWNlX2NhcmQiOnsiYnVja2V0Ijoib2ZmIiwidmVyc2lvbiI6bnVsbH19&frame=false&hideCard=false&hideThread=false&id=1513005663491829761&lang=en&origin=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.goldderby.com%2Fforum%2Fmovies%2F2023-oscar-contenders-part-4%2F&sessionId=35e00d727f424a2015c772d20b8f17c73a7e47c0&siteScreenName=GoldDerby&theme=light&widgetsVersion=940dd9ee54270%3A1649359550911&width=550px

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Welcome to the bad actors club Brie darling.

[laslo Joined: Oct 19th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 825 View Predictions]

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Barbra Please wrote:

Welcome to the bad actors club Brie darling.

She’s a local.

[Stank83 Joined: Mar 8th, 2020 Topics: 104 Posts: 2089 View Predictions]

#1204910867

Actor:

1. Hugh Jackman (The Son)

2. Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of The Flower Moon)

3. Adam Driver (White Noise)

4. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

5. Austin Butler (Elvis)

 

Actress:

1. Cate Blanchett (TAR)

2. Margot Robbie (Babylon)

3. Ana De Armas (Blonde)

4. Olivia Colman (Empire of Light)

5. Carey Mulligan (She Said)

 

Supp. Actor:

1. Robert DeNiro (Killers of The Flower Moon)

2. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)

3. Brad Pitt (Babylon)

4. Tom Hanks (Elvis)

5. Jesse Plemons (Killers of The Flower Moon)

 

Supp. Actress

1. Lily Gladstone (Killers of The Flower Moon)

2. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)

3. Zoe Kazan (She Said)

4. Laura Dern (The Son)

5. Rooney Mara (Women Talking)

[babypook Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 11 Posts: 1996 View Predictions]

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Stefania wrote:

For those who have already seen EEAAO, is it something 60+ white men could like or do you think that it will leave them confused?

Lol. Do people get “dumber” as they age? Esp white guys? Hahaha.

Demographic profiling I suppose.

The Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses white

[babypook Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 11 Posts: 1996 View Predictions]

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Happy seeing first nations actors in Scorsese’s film btw. I used to work with Tantoo way back when she was Tantoo Martin. Always a fierce advocate.

The Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses white

[Stefania Joined: Feb 22nd, 2021 Topics: 1 Posts: 1371 View Predictions]

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babypook wrote:

Lol. Do people get “dumber” as they age? Esp white guys? Hahaha. Demographic profiling I suppose.

Ahahahah, no, but there are certain demographics who love certain movies and others who dislike or don’t care for those same movies. For example, most simulations of Oscar preferential ballots on the internet had “CODA” around the sixth place and “Belfast” ninth or tenth. With an older demographics, like that of the Academy, for sure “CODA” and “Belfast” were higher than that, while “Dune” and “The Power of the Dog” were lower.

I was trying to imagine if my parents would enjoy a fast-pacing action film about multiverses.

[Setia Yasmine Khalil Joined: Jan 14th, 2022 Topics: 1 Posts: 1004 View Predictions]

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Stefania wrote:

Ahahahah, no, but there are certain demographics who love certain movies and others who dislike or don’t care for those same movies. For example, most simulations of Oscar preferential ballots on the internet had “CODA” around the sixth place and “Belfast” ninth or tenth. With an older demographics, like that of the Academy, for sure “CODA” and “Belfast” were higher than that, while “Dune” and “The Power of the Dog” were lower.

I was trying to imagine if my parents would enjoy a fast-pacing action film about multiverses.

I mean moonlight won even with those old  white men and they gave promising young woman screenplay 🤷 depends of their swings lol

[K Olivia Joined: Nov 28th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 245 View Predictions]

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Stank83 wrote:

Actor:

1. Hugh Jackman (The Son)

2. Leonardo DiCaprio (Killers of The Flower Moon)

3. Adam Driver (White Noise)

4. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

5. Austin Butler (Elvis)

Actress:

1. Cate Blanchett (TAR)

2. Margot Robbie (Babylon)

3. Ana De Armas (Blonde)

4. Olivia Colman (Empire of Light)

5. Carey Mulligan (She Said)

Supp. Actor:

1. Robert DeNiro (Killers of The Flower Moon)

2. Paul Dano (The Fabelmans)

3. Brad Pitt (Babylon)

4. Tom Hanks (Elvis)

5. Jesse Plemons (Killers of The Flower Moon)

Supp. Actress

1. Lily Gladstone (Killers of The Flower Moon)

2. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)

3. Zoe Kazan (She Said)

4. Laura Dern (The Son)

5. Rooney Mara (Women Talking)

Barely any POC in your predictions? Interesting. I feel there will be a few contenders who get in like Regina or Viola. The Academy wouldn’t risk another #OscarsSoWhite controversy.