August 14, 2022 at 2:40 pm #1205045261
Pre fall festival predix:
01. Brendan Fraser – The Whale
02. Bill Nighy – Living
03. Song Kang-ho – Broker
04. Gael Garcia Bernal – Cassandro
05. Geza Rohrig – The Way of The Wind
06. Christian Bale – The Pale Blue Eye
07. Brendan Gleeson – Banshees of Inisherin
08. Michael Fassbender – The Killer
09. Austin Butler – Elvis
10. Park Hae-il – Decision to Leave
Best Picture: The Way of The Wind
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: TAR
Best Actor: The Whale
Best Supporting Actress: The Whale
Best Supporting Actor: Poor ThingsAugust 14, 2022 at 2:41 pm #1205045263
This category is so weak that A24 might as well push Ke Huy Quan as Lead (Not that they would)August 14, 2022 at 3:51 pm #1205045355
So does Michelle Williams
It’d be nice if the Supporting winners didn’t already feel locked in August.August 14, 2022 at 3:57 pm #1205045365
If only Gary Oldman’s subpar work in “Monk” was replaced by Mads Mikkelsen from “Another Round”, we would have had a perfect line-up. It’s also curious how Chadwick Boseman’s win was supposed to be a foregone conclusion and yet in retrospect everybody agrees on Hopkins. No wonder – it’s a tour de force.
Mads or Tahar Rahim and it would have been the perfect line-up. Even so it’s one of the best set of nominees this category had in a long time.August 14, 2022 at 4:05 pm #1205045369
If someone at A24 is foolish enough to do that, they deserve to get sent to the everything bagel. Quan has a giftwrapped narrative for the Supporting category.
Especially when they already have Fraser, and to a lesser extent, Pope and Mescal competing in Lead.August 15, 2022 at 1:55 am #1205046071
The Chadwick erasure on here is…telling.
Telling of what? There’s two POC in there. Chadwick deserved his nom but he wasn’t among my favorite performances from that category. Still a legendary year with three POC nominated, two of which made history (Yeun as the first Asian American and Ahmed as the first Muslim).August 15, 2022 at 2:34 am #1205046086
Is Mescal really in this?
Probably not but I think he’s still a contender for right now. The jury at BAFTA will ate up his and Corio’s performances and don’t think he can counted out entirely for the Globe yet.
Is Mescal really in this? I feel A24 is dropping the ball with Aftersun given how open this category is.
Do they even have a US release date scheduled yet? Mubi are handling its international distribution (theatrical mid November) so one would imagine A24 would want a similar time frame.
And only taking it to NYFF seems like a misstep, wasn’t it one of the most liked audiences films at Cannes this year? TIFF and/or Telluride would’ve been great additional platforms for it.August 15, 2022 at 6:19 am #1205046180
I figure Aftersun will also appear at Telluride.
Best Picture: "Aftersun" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Charlotte Wellls; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Frankie Corio; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Paul Mescal; Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Charlotte Wells
Best Adapted Screenplay: David KajganichAugust 15, 2022 at 7:25 am #1205046231
What caused the sudden surge for Bill Nighy in the odds? He was like 23rd a week ago and is now top 5.August 15, 2022 at 7:43 am #1205046237
What caused the sudden surge for Bill Nighy in the odds? He was like 23rd a week ago and is now top 5.
Don’t know for sure— he’s currently 6th in GD combined odds— and I don’t think he’s all THAT influential, but I was struck that in his updated Variety Awards Circuit predictions column, Clayton Davis listed him at 3 behind only Jackson and Fraser.August 15, 2022 at 10:06 pm #1205046979
The film currently has a great rotten tomatoes score, so enough critics have seen it. They reckon Nighy is top notch in it, I suppose that’s why the sudden surge.Not now
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