2023 Oscars: Best Actor (Part 1)

[Snow Joined: Jan 22nd, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 52 View Predictions]

#1204963813

Guys, sorry for the question, I’m a little off on the movie thread, but where does the confidence in Brendan Fraser in The Whale comes from? Asking this because its been a while since I saw his name on any kind of awards prediction. Has there been any screenings for the movie?

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[kamila Joined: Dec 6th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 970 View Predictions]

#1204963836

Snow wrote:

Guys, sorry for the question, I’m a little off on the movie thread, but where does the confidence in Brendan Fraser in The Whale comes from? Asking this because its been a while since I saw his name on any kind of awards prediction. Has there been any screenings for the movie?

Transformational role + Aronofsky comeback + Lots of goodwill for Fraser who will be having a big comeback between this and Killers of the Flower Moon 

People are gambling on a Mickey Rourke-like run.

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[Snow Joined: Jan 22nd, 2017 Topics: 0 Posts: 52 View Predictions]

#1204963895

kamila wrote:

Transformational role + Aronofsky comeback + Lots of goodwill for Fraser who will be having a big comeback between this and Killers of the Flower Moon People are gambling on a Mickey Rourke-like run.

Oh, okay. Thanks! I didn’t know he also was on KOTFM.

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[kbc Joined: Sep 16th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1585 View Predictions]

#1204964013

Snow wrote:

Guys, sorry for the question, I’m a little off on the movie thread, but where does the confidence in Brendan Fraser in The Whale comes from? Asking this because its been a while since I saw his name on any kind of awards prediction. Has there been any screenings for the movie?

I’ve been skeptical of The Whale‘s chances for a while, considering it’s prone to either be very polarizing Aronofsky or a clunky stage-bound (that’s the project’s origin) production. A24’s fresh purchase of a strong Best Actor contender in Aftersun (Paul Mescal, shaping up to be a 2022 “It Guy”) at Cannes has only thrown some more fuel on that fire for me.

FYC
Best Picture: "Showing Up" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Kelly Reichardt; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Michelle Williams; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Hong Chau, Heather Lawless, Amanda Plummer; Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Judd Hirsch, Andre Benjamin, John Magaro; Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Kelly Reichardt, Jonathan Raymond
Best Adapted Screenplay: David Kajganich

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[LAINELAVIGNE Joined: Apr 27th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 99 View Predictions]

#1204964030

Right now I have Austin Butler as the frontrunner.

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[Go Yeoh! Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 904 View Predictions]

#1204964113

Until and unless the category gets completed packed with veterans and past profiled actors, I don’t see how Austin Butler is going to get snubbed. It helps him that he is soon going the be the 1st frontrunner of the season

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[MysticMagix Joined: Feb 23rd, 2017 Topics: 4 Posts: 947 View Predictions]

#1204964404

Cant wait to see austin win

A little bit of Magic never hurt anybody.

~ MYSTIC

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[kbc Joined: Sep 16th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1585 View Predictions]

#1204964413

Go Yeoh! wrote:

Until and unless the category gets completed packed with veterans and past profiled actors, I don’t see how Austin Butler is going to get snubbed. It helps him that he is soon going the be the 1st frontrunner of the season

Warner Bros. is likely feeling pretty good right now about Butler. We’ll see how the box office responds for this one.

FYC
Best Picture: "Showing Up" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Kelly Reichardt; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Michelle Williams; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Hong Chau, Heather Lawless, Amanda Plummer; Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Judd Hirsch, Andre Benjamin, John Magaro; Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Kelly Reichardt, Jonathan Raymond
Best Adapted Screenplay: David Kajganich

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[babypook Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 11 Posts: 1996 View Predictions]

#1204964422

I’d feel more confident about Austin winning this already if he was Supporting. Yeah, doesn’t make a lot of sense but, there it is.

The Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses white

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 1450 View Predictions]

#1204964447

MysticMagix wrote:

Cant wait to see austin win

I’m not AT ALL saying it is impossible but he’s young for a Best Actor winner.  An age bias in this category does seem to exist. The 5 youngest Best Actor Oscar winners in history are:

Adrian Brody 29 (The Pianist, 2002)

Richard Dreyfuss 30 (The Goodbye Girl, 1977)

Marlon Brando 30 (On The Waterfront, 1954)

Maximilian Schell 31 (Judgment at Nuremberg, 1961)

Nicholas Cage 32 (Leaving Las Vegas,  1995)

 

 

 

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[The Way of The Wind Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 35 Posts: 1144 View Predictions]

#1204964500

How old is Austin?

And am I the only one smiling about the neg reviews about Hanks in Elvis?
#sorrynotsorry

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: The Way of The Wind
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: TAR
Best Actor: The Whale
Best Supporting Actress: The Whale
Best Supporting Actor: Poor Things

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 1450 View Predictions]

#1204964510

He’s 30.  (Bd: August 17, 1991)

*corrected*

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[kbc Joined: Sep 16th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1585 View Predictions]

#1204964654

Rachel615 wrote:

He’s 30. By a couple of months, he’d be the second youngest Best Actor winner ever.

No. He’d be fifth youngest – on Oscar day he’d be 31 and older than Brody, Dreyfuss, Brando and Schell when they won.

FYC
Best Picture: "Showing Up" (A24); “Bones & All” (MGM/UA)
Best Director: Kelly Reichardt; Luca Guadagnino
Best Actress: Michelle Williams; Taylor Russell
Best Actor: Timothee Chalamet
Best Supporting Actress: Hong Chau, Heather Lawless, Amanda Plummer; Chloe Sevigny
Best Supporting Actor: Judd Hirsch, Andre Benjamin, John Magaro; Mark Rylance, Andre Holland, Michael Stuhlbarg
Best Original Screenplay: Kelly Reichardt, Jonathan Raymond
Best Adapted Screenplay: David Kajganich

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 1450 View Predictions]

#1204964689

kbc wrote:

No. He’d be fifth youngest – on Oscar day he’d be 31 and older than Brody, Dreyfuss, Brando and Schell when they won.

I’ve corrected my post. My original point still stands; he’d be the youngest male lead actor Oscar winner in what— about 20 years, and the second youngest in about 45 years?

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[Babylonian Joined: Aug 16th, 2021 Topics: 6 Posts: 3094 View Predictions]

#1204964698

I don’t think Austin will win. He has a lot going against him here.

FYC:

Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category

Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song

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