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Elvis singing Unchained Melody at the piano will be Austin Butler’s oscar scene. You will understand why he deserves that trophy. He got this.
Babes, I see Colin Farrell winning the Oscar. Banshees is a top 3 contender for Best Picture, which is strongly correlated with Lead Actor. Both Elvis and The Whale may or may not be nominated, and if both are out, Farrell wins by default. I think The Whale is shakier than Elvis, which I think will be nominated for BP.
The more I think about the race the more I think Austin Butler could win. If he’s nominated of course. His movie is probably getting a nomination, he has the flashy biopic performance like Malek and Redmayne, both who were in their 30’s, and won on their first nominations. Colin Farrell has a good shot as well. Both have to win some televised awards though. Televised awards are more important than critics awards.
I’m just not seeing a Brendan Fraser win right now. His movie seems weak, the Oscars do not care about giving acting awards based on sentimentality as they’ve shown before. If Brendan Fraser wins it’s because they really like his performance. He’s not going to be able to win solely based on people feeling sorry for him.
Where I’m at right now
GG Drama: Butler
GG Comedy: Farrell
CC: Butler or Farrell
SAG: Butler
BAFTA: Farrell
Oscar: Butler or Farrell, but currently leaning towards ButlerThe more I think about the race the more I think Austin Butler could win. If he’s nominated of course. His movie is probably getting a nomination, he has the flashy biopic performance like Malek and Redmayne, both who were in their 30’s, and won on their first nominations.
They sure like to award popular biopic performances. That definitely is in Austin Butler’s favor.
Over the last 20 years, there’s only been 7 times that a biopic performance didn’t win, and it was clear when they weren’t winning.
Jonathan Pryce as Pope Francis lost to Joaquin Phoenix (swept).
Andrew Garfield as Desmond Doss lost to Casey Affleck (swept).
Brad Pitt as Billy Beane lost to Jean Dujardin (swept).
Gary Oldman as Herman Mankiewicz lost and Morgan Freeman as Nelson Mandela lost but both actors had already won recently.
The other two years there were no biopic performances to choose from.Everything else has been a biopic.
If Austin Butler is nominated and neither Farrell nor Fraser is the clear industry sweeper, then I’d probably start predicting Austin Butler to win.
Where I’m at right now GG Drama: Butler GG Comedy: Farrell CC: Butler or Farrell SAG: Butler BAFTA: Farrell Oscar: Butler or Farrell, but currently leaning towards Butler
How many times….Whoever wins the BAFTA wins the Oscar. If Butler is the Oscar winner he will also take BAFTA. Told this with Smith too when people were saying he might not get nominated or that he doesn’t need it. Butler needs to be top 3 there if he’s the eventual winner in this category. But BAFTA being ahead of SAG this season is not in his favor. Farrell will be the critics favorite/frontrunner and he will also be having a Globe. He might just be a better position but we’ll see.
How many times….Whoever wins the BAFTA wins the Oscar. If Butler is the Oscar winner he will also take BAFTA. Told this with Smith too when people were saying he might not get nominated or that he doesn’t need it. Butler needs to be top 3 there if he’s the eventual winner in this category. But BAFTA being ahead of SAG this season is not in his favor. Farrell will be the critics favorite/frontrunner and he will also be having a Globe. He might just be a better position but we’ll see.
Ehhh…BAFTA being ahead of SAG is the main reason why I’m leaning towards Butler. SAG tends to get it right 99% of the time and the fact that it’s a few days before final Oscar voting is why Butler might win. A televised win at SAG a few days before final voting…? That would seal the deal for him.
Ehhh…BAFTA being ahead of SAG is the main reason why I’m leaning towards Butler. SAG tends to get it right 99% of the time and the fact that it’s a few days before final Oscar voting is why Butler might win. A televised win at SAG a few days before final voting…? That would seal the deal for him.
Actually, it’s BAFTA that gets it right most of times. Every year I get contradicted and every year I’m right. Butler shouldn’t lose BAFTA if he’s the eventual Oscar winner. So, if you’re predicting him to take the Oscar, predict him to take BAFTA as well. Same goes for Fraser or Farrell.
Actually, it’s BAFTA that gets it right most of times. Every year I get contradicted and every year I’m right. Butler shouldn’t lose BAFTA if he’s the eventual Oscar winner. So, if you’re predicting him to take the Oscar, predict him to take BAFTA as well. Same goes for Fraser or Farrell.
The reason I’m predicting Farrell for BAFTA is because they seem to love McDonagh. Not counting out Butler for BAFTA but for now I have Farrell
LOL people who doubt Butler’s nomination. He’s in. His movie will be a Picture nominee. It’s AMPAS catnip and WB has nothing else so they’ll give it all to the campaign.
December:
1. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
2. Austin Butler (Elvis)
3. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
4. Bill Nighy (Living)
5. Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)Butler is winning
A little bit of Magic never hurt anybody.
~ MYSTIC
Final prediction before the precursors:
1. Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
2. Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
3. Austin Butler (Elvis)
4. Tom Cruise (Top Gun: Maverick)
5. Paul Mescal (Aftersun) *the big shocker of the night 🙂
Reviews for The Whale just keep getting worse and worse. I think Butler and Farrell are the new front runners to be honest.
Idk, the transformative bait it’s maybe too much to ignore, Chastain won for less last year.
Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!
The topic ‘2023 Oscars: Best Actor (Part 4)’ is closed to new replies.
