2023 Oscars: Best Actress (Part 24)

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 757 View Predictions]

#1205253994

It’s so interesting how we complain about the industry’s “playing a real person” bias because it usually leads to super basic, straight down the middle biopics crowding out the categories, and yet this year that bias is very possibly going to lead to them nominating what will be one of the most controversial movies to receive an ATL line nomination in recent memory, and at the expense of much more down the middle oscar-y choices! And she doesn’t even do that good a Monroe impression!

[estrelas Joined: Jul 25th, 2018 Topics: 1 Posts: 6819 View Predictions]

#1205254002

Cate Blanchett, TÁR
Danielle Deadwyler, Till
Ana de Armas, Blonde
Michelle Williams, The Fabelmans
Michelle Yeoh, Everything Everywhere All At Once

Alt: Viola Davis, The Woman King

[ricardo505 Joined: Jun 14th, 2015 Topics: 1 Posts: 659 View Predictions]

#1205254035

Vicki Leekx wrote:

Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl

I may be wrong, but I don’t think she campaigned in lead.

estrelas wrote:

Lakeith Stanfield for Judas and the Black Messiah.

I wonder if Williams may be nominated in supporting instead of lead. If it happens, it will be a very curious race.

[nkb325 Joined: Feb 6th, 2012 Topics: 2 Posts: 757 View Predictions]

#1205254047

ricardo505 wrote:

I may be wrong, but I don’t think she campaigned in lead.

I wonder if Williams may be nominated in supporting instead of lead. If it happens, it will be a very curious race.

She campaigned in supporting but Globes and BAFTA rejected the category placement and forced her into Lead (where she was nominated at both while also scoring nominations in supporting for Ex Machina).

Stanfield is the closest comparison, but he also got zero precursor attention so the only way oscar voters would have even known he was being campaigned in lead is if they paid close attention to FYC ads, which they very well may have not. Everyone will know that Williams is being campaigned in lead, and I doubt they’d bother moving her when there doesn’t seem to be that much passion to get her nominated anyway.

[Carlo Joined: Oct 6th, 2011 Topics: 3 Posts: 417 View Predictions]

#1205254124

Fingers crossed for Michelle Williams still somehow getting in.

Blanchett – Deadwyler – Riseborouhg – Yeoh – Williams

is my dream lineup!

[Lil Tony Joined: Sep 17th, 2018 Topics: 3 Posts: 3394 View Predictions]

#1205254135

Danielle Deadwyler deserves the Oscar and everything else.

They need to know what happened to my son.

Gaga is slaying in Folie à Deux

[Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 36 Posts: 1499 View Predictions]

#1205254144

Blanchett
Davis
de Armas
Deadwyler
Yeoh

If this happens; will this be the most diverse lineup in the history of Oscar?

Cate: 7 noms / 2 wins
Viola: 4 noms / 1 win
de Armas: 0 nom
Deadwyler: 0 nom
Yeoh: 0 nom

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

[Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 36 Posts: 1499 View Predictions]

#1205254162

If Blanchett gets the nom (dah!) and wins, she will make history with 8 noms and 3 wins. The elite list of legends looks like this:

Most noms
Meryl Streep – 21 noms / 3 wins
Katharine Hepburn – 12 noms / 4 wins
Jack Nicholson – 12 noms / 3 wins
Bette Davis – 10 noms / 2 wins
Laurence Olivier – 10 noms / 1 win
Spencer Tracy – 9 noms / 2 wins
Denzel Washington – 9 noms / 2 wins
Paul Newman – 9 noms / 1 win
Al Pacino – 9 noms / 1 win
Jack Lemmon – 8 noms / 2 wins
Marlon Brando – 8 noms / 2 wins
Geraldine Page – 8 noms / 1 win
Judi Dench – 8 noms / 1 win
Peter O´Toole – 8 noms
Glenn Close – 8 noms

Most wins
4 wins Hepburn
3 wins Nicholson, Streep, Bergman, Brennan, Day-Lewis, McDormand

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 3 Posts: 69 View Predictions]

#1205254173

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[winslets Joined: Jul 8th, 2021 Topics: 16 Posts: 177 View Predictions]

#1205254422

Mama Michelle Yeoh will make history and we’ll be here for it

[loudtoilet Joined: Feb 19th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 1773 View Predictions]

#1205254500

Yeoh’s main problem is Quan. he’s going to win so he is stealing a bit of her thunder and AMPAS may spread the wealth. As others pointed out, 2 acting wins from the same movie are rare. Also, EEAAO is the frontrunner and stands a good chance in Director and Original. So since supporting actor is locked, there may be less urgency to award another actor/actress. I get that she has the best narrative but many voters don’t vote for narrative. Also, it’s the year with so many veterans whose time has finally come, and 2 are locked to win (Quan and Bassett). That may not extend to other 2 categories though both Fraser and Farrell stand a good chance against newcomer Butler.

[FreemanGriffin Joined: Feb 19th, 2012 Topics: 70 Posts: 5268 View Predictions]

#1205254507

Yeoh’s main problem is that the academy all but once have voted for white actresses – there will likely be 3 p.o.c. nominees this year and this is the year for a second one to win and that will be Yeoh. I am predicting Yeoh. Here’s hoping she wins SAG and people come to their senses about giving Blanchett a third Oscar when there is a great alternative to give a first Oscar to in Yeoh. Team Yeoh 100%!!!!!

[Archie Leach Joined: Dec 7th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 118 View Predictions]

#1205254519

According to my source(s), Andrea Riseborough is getting a Best Actress nomination this coming Tuesday. pic.twitter.com/EZhqFrjspX

— Film Poser™️ Gabriela🎄🧣 (@gaby_burgos27) January 19, 2023

Who is this person??????

[K Olivia Joined: Nov 28th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 541 View Predictions]

#1205254525

SAG = Yeoh
BAFTA = Blanchett
Oscar = Blanchett

[juniperberry Joined: Sep 24th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 198 View Predictions]

#1205254527

Archie Leach wrote:

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https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js Who is this person??????