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I could see Adapted potentially being very split. I’m curious about how Living does in Adapted at BAFTA. Kazuo Ishiguro is campaigning a lot and he could peel off votes too.
After months of hemming and hawing I put Living at the top.
Nobel Laureate
Exquisite sp
Great perfs
Tradition
Emotional
My own, personal bias.ReplyCopy URLThe Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses whiteReally doubt Babylon will win 2 of the 3 categories it got nominated for, especially categories that are heavily influenced by BP nominees. I think Elvis or All Quiet will take Production Design and something else wins Score.
Babylon deserves to win Score and it’ll be a shame if something else takes its place just because Babylon is not well-recieved as a film overall.
ReplyCopy URL2023:
"TAR", "Banshees","Batman"What I know for sure is that EEAAO is not winning 6 Oscars like this site is predicting. Even Editing, people? When it couldn’t get Sound?
I loved EEAAO but I doubt it’s winning more than 3 or at most 4. In particular, I think between directing and screenplay it will take home only one, because otherwise that would mean probably both Fabelmans and Banshees go empty-handed and I just don’t see that scenario.
Editing is also most likely not happening; that one is almost always tied to sound and Top Gun is winning that.
ReplyCopy URLDarling, EEAAO, if it wins Best Picture, will likely win a max of 4 Oscars unless if something is dramatically changing in terms of Oscars performances.
As Babylon is not a BP nominee, I think it will probably not win either Score (where Justin Hurwitz already lost at CC) or Production Design unless if it’s a sweeper everywhere. It will likely go to a BP nominee.
I do not believe Living will win Adapted Screenplay unless if it wins a minimum of BAFTA. I do believe that a Best Picture winner will win both Screenplay awards, as usual. I would pick Women Talking tentatively because Polley already won Critics Choice and it sneaked into BP, but it’s weak with only 2 nominations.
I would watch out for AQOTWF or TGM as they made BP, but they don’t usually award war/military films in the screenplay category. I don’t think they care about awarding famous people necessarily, they care about voting for their favorite films.
ReplyCopy URLI’m thinking about the likelihoods of EEAAO in each category.
Director / Screenplay: Certainly possible. Although AMPAS could go for Fabelmans or Banshees if they want to spread the wealth.
Actress: Not the frontrunner but far from impossible, especially if Yeoh wins SAG.
Supporting Actor: Winning
Supporting Actress: Bassett’s the frontrunner and Condon’s the wildcard.
Editing: Would be unprecedented with that sound snub but the quality speaks for itself.
Costume Design: Could pull an Ex Machina in this category.
Score / song: The nomination is the win although if Babylon doesn’t win score, there’s a slim chance for it if EEAAO sweeps.
ReplyCopy URLEEAAO Possible Wins ranked in Likelihood:
- Supporting Actor
- Director
- Picture
- Original Screenplay
- Actress
- Original Score
- Original Song
- Supporting Actress
- Film Editing
- Costume Design
It’s winning package just needs to be a 2/3 of Director, Supporting Actor, and Screenplay
ReplyCopy URLLetterboxd: Brayfers
FYC (Film):
- Michelle Yeoh, Ke Huy Quan, and Stephanie Hsu - Everything Everywhere All At Once
- Colin Farrell, Kerry Condon, and Barry Keoghan - The Banshees of Inisherin
- Angela Bassett - Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
- Danielle Deadwyler - TillFYC (TV):
- Severance
- Euphoria
- Abbott Elementary
- House of the Dragon
- The White Lotus
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