2023 Oscars: Best Picture and Director (Part 12)

[Sean C Joined: Jun 8th, 2014 Topics: 0 Posts: 550 View Predictions]

#1205273013

Brayfers wrote:

older, traditional voters will go for TG:M and younger, contemporary voters will go for EEAAO.

I don’t really buy the idea that “older, traditional voters” will back Maverick. Maverick is not the sort of film that would ever have won Best Picture a few decades ago.

[Milk Money Joined: Oct 2nd, 2013 Topics: 0 Posts: 827 View Predictions]

#1205273031

Sean C wrote:

I don’t really buy the idea that “older, traditional voters” will back Maverick. Maverick is not the sort of film that would ever have won Best Picture a few decades ago.

Back then there was no preferential voting. They’ll likely place it above EEAAO on ballots.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8287 View Predictions]

#1205273048

Sean C wrote:

I don’t really buy the idea that “older, traditional voters” will back Maverick. Maverick is not the sort of film that would ever have won Best Picture a few decades ago.

Neither is EEAAO.

[jjjmoss Joined: Jun 2nd, 2016 Topics: 2 Posts: 2215 View Predictions]

#1205273068

if the medicare eligible voters want to go for one of their own, fabelmans would make more sense.

[Sean C Joined: Jun 8th, 2014 Topics: 0 Posts: 550 View Predictions]

#1205273070

kat_ebbs wrote:

Neither is EEAAO.

So? That’s irrelevant to the issue of whether Maverick is the default choice of older voters, as was asserted.

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 0 Posts: 240 View Predictions]

#1205273078

This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.

[Barbra Please Joined: Oct 21st, 2018 Topics: 47 Posts: 2283 View Predictions]

#1205273084

wrote:

Chile, I wish the Oscars were on the first week of February like in 2020. I cant wait this long lol.

Darling, I don’t get it why it took till March to held the ceremony.

[kat_ebbs Joined: Jun 10th, 2021 Topics: 29 Posts: 8287 View Predictions]

#1205273090

Sean C wrote:

So? That’s irrelevant to the issue of whether Maverick is the default choice of older voters, as was asserted.

I didn’t say it was the default choice, but I feel like people saying older voters won’t have an affection for TGM is disingenuous. Some people on these boards act like they’ve never interacted with anyone over the age of about 35, let alone sixty, or sought out what the opinion of members of that group are industry wise.

TGM absolutely wouldn’t have won 30 years ago, but a lot of voters from 30 years ago are dead and voters who saw the original at 18 are now 55.

[babypook Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 22 Posts: 3613 View Predictions]

#1205273537

https://variety.com/2023/awards/events/top-gun-maverick-aarp-movies-for-grownups-awards-1235505079/#recipient_hashed=c1b76648a3f7a96c346ccc6cb0d57ca09e4daec4e61aaf2327a37111ef79a731&recipient_salt=1a20766ef57e65d5e19d1cac582b6f7f50ee3a3514a69872a3d22e683d129378

The Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses white

[YeohBestActress Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 2641 View Predictions]

#1205273584

Have we talked about the stat wherein every director winner except 2 have had their film nominated in Editing and Cinematography?

Todd Field has a very good chance to win. I can see BAFTA rewarding him considering he is very much in sync with their style.

[jjjmoss Joined: Jun 2nd, 2016 Topics: 2 Posts: 2215 View Predictions]

#1205273649

field winning director, and everything winning picture/actress, sounds like a good compromise to me.

but also, you just made that up from your head. 2000s alone in cinematography:
traffic n/a
beautiful mind n/a
return of the king n/a
million dollar baby n/a
the departed n/a

[jjjmoss Joined: Jun 2nd, 2016 Topics: 2 Posts: 2215 View Predictions]

#1205273788

oh no, a nominee is talking about another nominee. time for twitter to have a meltdown again!

[YeohBestActress Joined: Sep 16th, 2019 Topics: 0 Posts: 2641 View Predictions]

#1205274857

Are we under-predicting All Quiet?

All films have things going against them but except All Quiet being an adaption of a previous Oscar winner (and that was like 50,60 years ago) – it has so much strength.

[babypook Joined: Nov 4th, 2010 Topics: 22 Posts: 3613 View Predictions]

#1205274861

YeohBestActress wrote:

Are we under-predicting All Quiet?

All films have things going against them but except All Quiet being an adaption of a previous Oscar winner (and that was like 50,60 years ago) – it has so much strength.

I have All Quiet 2nd in a few categories and 1st in makeup and for a while, Cin.
I keep changing my mind about this as my fear is for varying reasons it could miss in most categories it’s cited for.
International, yes the win.

The Sunne in Splendour.
I prefer my roses white

[mporter455 Joined: Apr 28th, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 597 View Predictions]

#1205274902

wrote:

Chile, I wish the Oscars were on the first week of February like in 2020. I cant wait this long lol.

man they had good foresight to hold them early that year lmao