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Inside of me, I really believe that Everything Everywhere All At Once will get a lot of nominations. Well-deserved for a phenomenal film. ❤
Following up on the last several posts, I agree that we should wait to see White Noise’s reception at the NYFF before drawing any firm conclusions about the film’s Oscar prospects, but if White Noise isn’t better received there, then I think we can conclude that it definitely won’t be an Oscar player because NYC is the filmmakers’ home turf, and many if not most NYFF attendees share the taste and sensibilities of the movie’s target audience.
the fabelmans
women talking
banshees of inisherin
EEAO
tar
babylon
top gun maverick
elvis
she said
glass onion
FYC:
Everything Everywhere All At Once in every eligible category
Hold My Hand - Lady Gaga for Best Original Song
Almost locks:
EEAAO
Tar
The Fabelmans
Woman Talking
The Banshees of InisherinNext Line:
Glass Onion
Babylon
She said
TILL
Decision to Leave
Triangle of Sadness
The Woman King
Top Gun
Elvis
Bardo2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan
FYC:
The HBO darlings everywhere (The Last of Us, Succession, The White Lotus, Perry Mason, Somebody Somewhere, White House Plumbers, Love & Death);
The Apple gang (Bad Sisters, Slow Horses, Shrinking, Ted Lasso, Black Bird);
Poker Face, The Great, The Bear, Evil (especially Katja Herbers) and The Good Fight.Please! These gays, they're trying to murder me!
A lot more people have fairly recently begun to predict Danielle Deadwyler as a Best Actress nominee but I think most are still underestimating Till’s chances to make the Best Picture field. We’ll know more after it premieres at the NYFF but my guess is that once that happens, a lot of people may be sorry they didn’t pick it now, while it is still at 100/1 odds.
A lot more people have fairly recently begun to predict Danielle Deadwyler as a Best Actress nominee but I think most are still underestimating Till’s chances to make the Best Picture field. We’ll know more after it premieres at the NYFF but my guess is that once that happens, a lot of people may be sorry they didn’t pick it now, while it is still at 100/1 odds.
I had Till in my BP line up but had to drop to make room for Tár, The Woman King, The Banshees of Insherin and Living (my bold choice of the moment).
And knowing the Academy’s history of nominating for BP biopics about man, but not doing the same when the biopic is about a woman, I will keep Elvis (I picked when it was at 100/1)
Picture
1. Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
2. The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
3. Women Talking (United Artists Releasing)
4. The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
5. Top Gun : Maverick (Paramount Pictures)
6. TÁR (Focus Features)
7. She Said (Universal Pictures)
8. Glass Onion : A Knives Out Story (Netflix)
9. Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
10. Decision to Leave (Neon)Director
1. Steven Spielberg, The Fabelmans
2. Sarah Polley, Women Talking
3. The Daniels, Everything Everywhere All at Once
4. Todd Field, TÁR
5. Park Chan-wook, Decision to Leave6. Damien Chazelle, Babylon
7. Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin
8. Ruben Ostlund, Triangle of Sadness
9. James Cameron, Avatar : The Way of Water
10. Maria Schrader, She SaidFYC: Better Call Saul, The English and The Good Fight in all categories including Emily Blunt, Bob Odenkirk, Christine Baranski and Rhea Seehorn.
Picture
1) Woman Talking
2) The Fabelmans
3) Everything Everywhere All at Once
4) Babylon
5) TÁR
6) The Woman King
7) The Banshees of Inisherin
8) Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mistery
9) Decision to Leave
10) She SaidSpoilers: Avatar, Elvis, Top Gun
Director
1) Sarah Polley
2) Todd Fields
3) Steven Spielberg
4) Daniels
5) Damien Chazelle"EGOT" and "Triple Crown of Acting" winner: VIOLA DAVIS!!!!
Best Picture
1. Everything Everywhere All at Once
2. The Fabelmans
3. Women Talking
4. Babylon
5. Top Gun: Maverick
6. The Banshees of Inisherin
7. TAR
8. She Said
9. Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mistery
10. The Woman KingDecision to Leave and Western Front are my first alternates.
Best Director
1. Steven Spielberg
2. Damien Chazelle
3. Sarah Polley
4. Todd Field
5. Park Chan-wookWith McDonagh, Daniels and Berger following
I had Till in my BP line up but had to drop to make room for Tár, The Woman King, The Banshees of Insherin and Living (my bold choice of the moment).
And knowing the Academy’s history of nominating for BP biopics about man, but not doing the same when the biopic is about a woman, I will keep Elvis (I picked when it was at 100/1)
I respect those choices, and am retaining for now some films on which I have excellent odds that don’t reflect my current thinking. Those last three or four slots are still very uncertain and with Till, Living, Decision to Leave, and All Quiet on the Western Front all currently at 100/1 odds, I think it makes sense to take at least one or two risks at this point in the awards season— NGNG.
I had Till in my BP line up but had to drop to make room for Tár, The Woman King, The Banshees of Insherin and Living (my bold choice of the moment)
Oooo, you might be on to something with that bold choice of Living.
It’s a contender in Actor, Adapted Screenplay, and Cinematography. If it made all three, it could nab a Best Picture spot as well.
Plus, I feel like there’s always something from Sundance that makes the lineup and Sony clearly has faith in it by releasing it over the Holidays.
The topic ‘2023 Oscars: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)’ is closed to new replies.
