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2023 Oscars: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)

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  • OscarBait
    Joined:
    Apr 2nd, 2022
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    #1205092884

    Till is original or adapted ?

    Adapted.


    Rachel615
    Joined:
    Sep 20th, 2018
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    #1205092944

    Adapted.

    What is it adapted from? The documentary that co-scriptwriter and co-producer Keith Beauchamp had previously directed, which led to the reopening of the criminal investigation?


    Heptapod
    Joined:
    Sep 8th, 2021
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    #1205093178

    Not really Picture/Director related but wasn’t sure what thread to put this in, so:

    Interesting that I think this year could be MUCH more packed with first-time nominees than any recent year.

    I’m currently predicting 14 newcomers, with over half of those returning names in Lead Actress alone.

    FYC: The Bear (Ayo Edebiri) Industry (Marisa Abela) OMITB (Jayne Houdyshell) Physical (Rose Byrne) WWDITS (Natasia Demetriou)


    OscarBait
    Joined:
    Apr 2nd, 2022
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    #1205093392

    What is it adapted from? The documentary that co-scriptwriter and co-producer Keith Beauchamp had previously directed, which led to the reopening of the criminal investigation?

    I believe Beauchamp having already made that documentary will be enough to classify it as adapted, though the more I try and look into it the less sure I am since neither it’s Wiki or IMDb page list it as an adaption of anything. I guess we’ll have to see where the studio submits it and where the Academy accepts it.


    jonny
    Joined:
    Sep 18th, 2011
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    #1205093547

    Best Picture
    1.Woman Talking
    2.Everything Everywhere All at Once
    3.TAR
    4.The Banshees of Inisherin
    5.She said
    6.The Fabelmans
    7.Triangle of Sadness
    8.Decision to Leave
    9.Babylon (This years The Irishman)
    10. The Woman King

    Alternates
    Till,Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,Glass Onion

    Director
    1. Sarah Polley
    2. The Daniels
    3. Ruben Ostlund
    4. Steven Spielberg
    5. Todd Field

    Alternates
    Damien Chazelle,Park Chan-wook,Gina Prince-Bythewood


    TrumpBiden
    Joined:
    Dec 22nd, 2020
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    #1205093708

    Woman Talking to me continues to be the film that sweeps Critics Groups, looks like it’ll be the front-runner during the first televised awards and then loses the Oscar to a more approachable film. Seen this before.


    TrumpBiden
    Joined:
    Dec 22nd, 2020
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    #1205093719

    I’m honestly so glad few people have Avatar 2 in their top 10’s. Gonna be good for the ranks when it does get in. Cameron isn’t going to miss, this will be a sequal that will blow people away + box office will be huge + unlike the first I’m expecting it to review above 90% + December release will be fresh on Oscar voters minds.


    BrazilianDude
    Joined:
    Jul 16th, 2022
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    #1205093728

    I believe White Noise has more chances than Bardo. Between these two films I believe that Netflix will prioritize the first.

    I wouldn’t be surprised if Bardo gets some love from the Academy.
    It maybe connects with the industry.


    Bonehead
    Joined:
    Jan 20th, 2021
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    #1205094087

    Starting to think Banshees could win.

    It’s universally loved, and will be getting lots of 1’s, 2’s, and 3’s on the ballot.

    Original Screenplay plus a win for Condon, Farrell and/or Gleeson would be enough.

     

    "I wasn't trying to be nice. I was trying to be accurate."


    sarahvsmovies
    Joined:
    Jun 14th, 2021
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    #1205094097

    Starting to think Banshees could win. It’s universally loved, and will be getting lots of 1’s, 2’s, and 3’s on the ballot. Original Screenplay plus a win for Condon, Farrell and/or Gleeson would be enough.

    Don’t threaten me with a good time!


    Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR
    Joined:
    Sep 22nd, 2011
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    #1205094146

    EEAAO

    All Quiet on the Western Front

    I forgot about this German gem!

    2023 Oscar
    Best Picture: Holy Spider
    Best Director: Decision to Leave
    Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
    Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
    Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
    Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan


    CarlosEdu
    Joined:
    Jan 16th, 2019
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    #1205094408

    So Alejandro G. Inarritu just cut 22 minutes from Bardo. Don’t know if it’ll change the reception of the movie but I’m curious to see how it goes.


    JV
    Joined:
    Dec 31st, 2019
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    #1205094425

    SAG Ensemble
    1- Everything Everywhere All At Once
    2- The Fabelmans
    3- Women Talking
    4- The Woman King
    5- Babylon

    Random SAG nominations that won’t happen at the Oscars:
    Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick
    Laura Dern – The Son
    Tom Hanks – Elvis


    Rachel615
    Joined:
    Sep 20th, 2018
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    Posts:
    #1205094457

    So Alejandro G. Inarritu just cut 22 minutes from Bardo. Don’t know if it’ll change the reception of the movie but I’m curious to see how it goes.

    Interesting. Can anyone think of a time when a movie received mixed reviews on the festival circuit but was significantly edited before its general release, and then went on to awards season success?


    Luke Dias
    Joined:
    Aug 15th, 2017
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    #1205094463

    With Michelle Williams idiotically being moved to Lead Actress, I think it’s time for me to confirm this:

    Women Talking is winning Best Picture.

    Why? Because it’s the only possibility for winning the one-two combo that has been a staple of nearly all recent Best Picture winners: Director/Screenplay + Acting/Editing = Picture. The only two movies in the entire 21st century that have not won this way are Gladiator and Spotlight. And if last year with CODA taught us anything, it’s to NEVER underestimate that combo.

    So with the movie already the frontrunner for Adapted Screenplay, and either Jessie Buckley or Claire Foy (more likely the former as a previous nominee) claiming Supporting Actress, there’s nothing standing in its way. EEAAO is the only thing that could likely stop it with the Original Screenplay/Supporting Actor combo, but unfortunately – genre films winning is where the Academy draws the line, and y’all know it.

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