2023 Oscars: Best Picture and Director (Part 5)

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 1 Posts: 72 View Predictions]

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[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 2342 View Predictions]

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wrote:

Adapted.

What is it adapted from? The documentary that co-scriptwriter and co-producer Keith Beauchamp had previously directed, which led to the reopening of the criminal investigation?

[Heptapod Joined: Sep 8th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 1067 View Predictions]

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Not really Picture/Director related but wasn’t sure what thread to put this in, so:

Interesting that I think this year could be MUCH more packed with first-time nominees than any recent year.

I’m currently predicting 14 newcomers, with over half of those returning names in Lead Actress alone.

FYC: Bad Sisters (Anne-Marie Duff) Cunk on Earth (Diane Morgan), Fleishman Is in Trouble (Lizzy Caplan/Claire Danes), Industry (Marisa Abela/Myha'la Herrold), Physical (Rose Byrne), Poker Face (Ellen Barkin/Joseph Gordon-Levitt/Chloë Sevigny), The White Lotus (Sabrina Impacciatore)

[Joined: Jan 1st, 1970 Topics: 1 Posts: 72 View Predictions]

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[jonny Joined: Sep 18th, 2011 Topics: 0 Posts: 45 View Predictions]

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Best Picture
1.Woman Talking
2.Everything Everywhere All at Once
3.TAR
4.The Banshees of Inisherin
5.She said
6.The Fabelmans
7.Triangle of Sadness
8.Decision to Leave
9.Babylon (This years The Irishman)
10. The Woman King

Alternates
Till,Black Panther: Wakanda Forever,Glass Onion

Director
1. Sarah Polley
2. The Daniels
3. Ruben Ostlund
4. Steven Spielberg
5. Todd Field

Alternates
Damien Chazelle,Park Chan-wook,Gina Prince-Bythewood

[TrumpBiden Joined: Dec 22nd, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 927 View Predictions]

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Woman Talking to me continues to be the film that sweeps Critics Groups, looks like it’ll be the front-runner during the first televised awards and then loses the Oscar to a more approachable film. Seen this before.

[TrumpBiden Joined: Dec 22nd, 2020 Topics: 0 Posts: 927 View Predictions]

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I’m honestly so glad few people have Avatar 2 in their top 10’s. Gonna be good for the ranks when it does get in. Cameron isn’t going to miss, this will be a sequal that will blow people away + box office will be huge + unlike the first I’m expecting it to review above 90% + December release will be fresh on Oscar voters minds.

[BrazilianDude Joined: Jul 16th, 2022 Topics: 0 Posts: 178 View Predictions]

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Selma Linda wrote:

I believe White Noise has more chances than Bardo. Between these two films I believe that Netflix will prioritize the first.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Bardo gets some love from the Academy.
It maybe connects with the industry.

[Bonehead Joined: Jan 20th, 2021 Topics: 0 Posts: 1697 View Predictions]

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Starting to think Banshees could win.

It’s universally loved, and will be getting lots of 1’s, 2’s, and 3’s on the ballot.

Original Screenplay plus a win for Condon, Farrell and/or Gleeson would be enough.

 

[SarahvsAwards Joined: Jun 14th, 2021 Topics: 3 Posts: 873 View Predictions]

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Bonehead wrote:

Starting to think Banshees could win. It’s universally loved, and will be getting lots of 1’s, 2’s, and 3’s on the ballot. Original Screenplay plus a win for Condon, Farrell and/or Gleeson would be enough.

Don’t threaten me with a good time!

[Lydia 3rd Oscar TAR Joined: Sep 22nd, 2011 Topics: 36 Posts: 1502 View Predictions]

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SarahvsAwards wrote:

EEAAO

All Quiet on the Western Front

I forgot about this German gem!

2023 Oscar
Best Picture: Holy Spider
Best Director: Decision to Leave
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett
Best Actor: Brendan Fraser
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia de Leon
Best Supporting Actor: Ke Huy Quan

[CarlosEdu Joined: Jan 16th, 2019 Topics: 1 Posts: 463 View Predictions]

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So Alejandro G. Inarritu just cut 22 minutes from Bardo. Don’t know if it’ll change the reception of the movie but I’m curious to see how it goes.

[JV Joined: Dec 31st, 2019 Topics: 9 Posts: 5264 View Predictions]

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SAG Ensemble
1- Everything Everywhere All At Once
2- The Fabelmans
3- Women Talking
4- The Woman King
5- Babylon

Random SAG nominations that won’t happen at the Oscars:
Tom Cruise – Top Gun: Maverick
Laura Dern – The Son
Tom Hanks – Elvis

[Rachel615 Joined: Sep 20th, 2018 Topics: 6 Posts: 2342 View Predictions]

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CarlosEdu wrote:

So Alejandro G. Inarritu just cut 22 minutes from Bardo. Don’t know if it’ll change the reception of the movie but I’m curious to see how it goes.

Interesting. Can anyone think of a time when a movie received mixed reviews on the festival circuit but was significantly edited before its general release, and then went on to awards season success?

[Luke Dias Joined: Aug 15th, 2017 Topics: 13 Posts: 234 View Predictions]

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With Michelle Williams idiotically being moved to Lead Actress, I think it’s time for me to confirm this:

Women Talking is winning Best Picture.

Why? Because it’s the only possibility for winning the one-two combo that has been a staple of nearly all recent Best Picture winners: Director/Screenplay + Acting/Editing = Picture. The only two movies in the entire 21st century that have not won this way are Gladiator and Spotlight. And if last year with CODA taught us anything, it’s to NEVER underestimate that combo.

So with the movie already the frontrunner for Adapted Screenplay, and either Jessie Buckley or Claire Foy (more likely the former as a previous nominee) claiming Supporting Actress, there’s nothing standing in its way. EEAAO is the only thing that could likely stop it with the Original Screenplay/Supporting Actor combo, but unfortunately – genre films winning is where the Academy draws the line, and y’all know it.