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November 20, 2022 at 9:20 am #1205161085
oof, WF OUT!
altough jatinder is saying a higher domestic total prediction https://twitter.com/meJat32/status/1594291987494367237
November 20, 2022 at 9:44 am #1205161141Look like 2020. All Oscar movies are flopping at The Box Office. Again, like 2020
November 20, 2022 at 10:10 am #1205161212i’m not predicting wakanda forever for big noms, but it’s still making tons of money.
especially for a sequel missing the protagonist and antagonist from the first film.
November 20, 2022 at 5:29 pm #1205161782I get the impression that many people seem to think that The Academy is suddenly going to change their ways and nominate a whole bunch of populist entertainment for Best Picture this season.
Over 90+ years, The Academy has established a tradition of nominating and promoting contempory and historical dramas, with a few acclaimed comedies thrown in for good measure, and a couple exceptional fantasy/action films at the maximum.
Why on Earth would this year be any different?
November 20, 2022 at 5:47 pm #1205161817This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.November 20, 2022 at 9:09 pm #1205162214The Oscars aren’t the People’s Choice Awards. They will nominate at least 6 or 7 flops and low grossing films. I never thought She Said was getting a best picture nomination. Never. So I’m not cancelling it for box office reasons. Anyone with common sense knew it would flop when it was greenlit.
Wakanda Forever being a decent but run of the mill Superhero movie with much worse reviews and worse box office than the first is why it isn’t in my predictions. The first one needed stellar reviews and a 1.3 billion dollar gross to get in and Wakanda Forever will get in with worse reviews than Spider-Man: No Way Home? I can’t fathom why that would happen? Why wouldn’t they just nominate The Batman then? It made money and has slightly better reviews than Black Panther and isn’t your typical Superhero movie. For the record, The Batman is not in my best picture predictions either.
November 20, 2022 at 9:44 pm #1205162249I get the impression that many people seem to think that The Academy is suddenly going to change their ways and nominate a whole bunch of populist entertainment for Best Picture this season. Over 90+ years, The Academy has established a tradition of nominating and promoting contempory and historical dramas, with a few acclaimed comedies thrown in for good measure, and a couple exceptional fantasy/action films at the maximum. Why on Earth would this year be any different?
This is a gross oversimplification. The 2019 lineup of Best Picture was extremely populist. Five grossed over $100 mil in the US, two were on Netflix (one of which being one of the most-watched movies on the platform), and one was one of the top five highest-grossing foreign language films in the US ever.
But regardless, who’s saying we’re not getting a lot of dramas? The predictions center top ten are all dramas or dramedies sans EEAAO, Top Gun, and Avatar. Having three unorthodox nominees in Picture is pretty normal.
Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.
November 20, 2022 at 10:15 pm #1205162266This is a gross oversimplification. The 2019 lineup of Best Picture was extremely populist. Five grossed over $100 mil in the US, two were on Netflix (one of which being one of the most-watched movies on the platform), and one was one of the top five highest-grossing foreign language films in the US ever. But regardless, who’s saying we’re not getting a lot of dramas? The predictions center top ten are all dramas or dramedies sans EEAAO, Top Gun, and Avatar. Having three unorthodox nominees in Picture is pretty normal.
Glad to see you back Jacob Boe, even if we butt heads a lot of the time, lol.
The nominees in 2019 were popular and made money, yes, but all of them still fit the model of a traditional academy picture nominee
War films, period dramas, contemporary dramas, prestigious book adaptations, movies about movie-making, and stories about American history
November 21, 2022 at 5:56 am #1205162444Glad to see you back Jacob Boe, even if we butt heads a lot of the time, lol. The nominees in 2019 were popular and made money, yes, but all of them still fit the model of a traditional academy picture nominee War films, period dramas, contemporary dramas, prestigious book adaptations, movies about movie-making, and stories about American history
Thank you very much! I took a break from the film side for a while because I felt like the race was stagnant and I was gonna wait until critics awards started to be doled out, but I’ve seen a lot of the movies in contention so I came back a bit early. Not that you asked haha
And touche. They were very much “typical” Oscar stuff, but I still think that what we have this year is “typical.” Babylon, The Fabelmans, and She Said are about the film industry, TAR and The Whale are psychodramas, and The Banshees of Inisherin and Women Talking are straight dramedy and drama, respectively
Once there was only Dark. If you ask me, the Light's winning.
November 21, 2022 at 7:41 am #1205162568Wow.
That critic only remembers Weinstein in the late 1990s when he was The Most Powerful Man In Hollywood: for example his movie Shakespeare In Love Beating Saving Private Ryan. But the truth is: Weinstein lost all of his power BEFORE his fall. I remember 3 or 4 huge flops in The Last Days of Harvey Weinstein: 2 flops starring Alicia Vikander, 1 flop starring Michael Fassbender, 1 flop starring Jake Gyllenhaal
November 21, 2022 at 7:42 am #1205162570Watched TAR and I will personally nominate it for –
- Best Picture
- Best Original Screenplay
- Best Actress
- Best Editing
- Best Cinematography
November 21, 2022 at 9:30 am #1205162725#SCAwards Nominations:
Top Films of 2022:#Aftersun#DecisionToLeave#Elvis#EverythingEverywhereAllAtOnce#TheMenu#RRRMovie#SheSaid#TAR#TopGunMaverick#WomenTalking pic.twitter.com/8BuHmBTOeS
— Film Updates (@FilmUpdates) November 21, 2022
November 22, 2022 at 2:31 am #1205163413This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.November 22, 2022 at 6:09 am #1205163471Will Smith and Letitia Wright have zero chance of getting nominations. They’re not even in the conversation. This article makes no sense.
And even if I disagree with their attitudes, they should no way be grouped in the same sentence as Pitt.
November 22, 2022 at 8:26 am #1205163727Well. I saw The Fabelmans. It’s a movie. A very long movie.
— Nicole Ackman (@nicoleackman16) November 22, 2022
Seeing more lukewarm responses toward the film. So which movie do you see replacing Fabelman as the frontrunner when we near the ceremony?
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