


-
-
December 8, 2022 at 3:12 pm #1205184099This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 8, 2022 at 4:22 pm #1205184296
I’m trying not to read too deep into the NBR results, especially since the season’s just getting started but I do have some thoughts.
Top Gun Maverick has officially taken off. NBR is where Mad Max Fury Road established itself as not just a populist pipe dream like No Way Home and became an actual contender. It’s also looking like a lock in cinematography.
RRR is building momentum. What if its Selma? Gets nominated for just picture and song? Could Rajamouli be this year’s international director too?
Good for Till, Aftersun & The Woman King. Bad for She Said, Elvis (NBR typically nominates something from WB) and The Whale. I’ll wait for a major precursor or at least AFI before making further conclusions.
I think that anyone still predicting Pinocchio in BP should abandon ship ASAP. It’s not even sweeping the animated feature awards. NBR is an animation-friendly group so Pinocchio had a real chance here. Netflix is going to make Glass Onion their main priority and we’ll see how that goes. I think Glass Onion’s release strategy has been very strategic in terms of reminding voters/critics that it exists at the exact right moments.
December 8, 2022 at 6:38 pm #1205184499Decision to Leave is not doing that great either. Has it won something? Both Close and All Quiet on the Western Front are doing way better. I don’t think it’s winning International Film anymore. It’s no Drive My Car.
Yeah it’s not happening at BP and even BD imo. I mean if you have watched the film you would know it doesn’t feel like a typical International Film winner that most voters will go for. The direction still deserves a nom but the screenplay has its issues.
2023:
"TAR", "Banshees","Batman"December 8, 2022 at 8:10 pm #1205184551Satellite nominations can very much be the Oscar nominations come January. I hate to even imagine, but both Joseph Kosinski and Baz Luhrmann can happen and we are underestimating their love for TGM and Elvis. (aka Todd Phillips)
December 8, 2022 at 9:38 pm #1205184612Director is always interesting but it’s really turning into a bloodbath:
Spielberg, Field, McDonagh, the Daniels seen ahead right now. But then you have Polley too. And now Kosinski and Cameron making a charge. Plus the international filmmakers – Rajamouli, Ostlund, Chan-wook and Berger – in the mix (I can definitely see the branch including at least one in the lineup).
Kosinski really seems to be picking up steam.
December 8, 2022 at 9:44 pm #1205184616NBR Superb lineup …I really like it
Best Actor : Colin Farrell, Brendan Fraser, Austin Butler, Bill Nighy
Best Actress : Michelle Yeoh, Ana de Armas, Cate Blanchett , Andrea Riseborough, Danielle Deadwyler
December 8, 2022 at 9:53 pm #1205184623as much as I love Maverick, never saw the Director potent since the film and hysteria of it all basically mimics around Cruise himself and the legacy left from Tony Scott till now, ig his path would be to Todd Phillips into the race
December 9, 2022 at 12:07 am #1205184691This post was found to be inappropriate by the moderators and has been removed.December 9, 2022 at 12:46 am #1205184701We’ll see if She Said can get in at the Globes tomorrow (just like The Post) otherwise it’s only hope is PGA and SAG. I don’t think it’s getting in ensemble for the latter due to the stiff competition and PGA might not even be in its reach.
It’s AFI that releases its top 10 movies of the year tomorrow— Globe nominations won’t be announced until Monday, the 12th.
December 9, 2022 at 1:09 am #1205184711It’s AFI that releases its top 10 movies of the year tomorrow— Globe nominations won’t be announced until Monday, the 12th.
Oops my bad.
Michelle (Yeoh, Williams) Oscar campaign manager.
FYC:
Best Picture: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Decision to Leave
Best Director: Park Chan-Wook Todd Field
Best Original Screenplay: Banshees of Inisherin, Everything Everywhere All At Once
Best Actor: Colin Farrell
Best Actress: Michelle Yeoh, Cate Blanchett, Tang Wei
Best Supporting Actor: Brendan Gleeson, Ke Huy Quan
Best Supporting Actress: Kerry Condon, Nina HossDecember 9, 2022 at 1:57 am #1205184723AFI Predictions
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Guillermo Del Toro’s Pinocchio
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
The Woman King
Women TalkingSpecial Award: The Banshees of Inisherin and All the Beauty and the Bloodshed (last year they also gave to Summer of Soul so I see a path for All the Beauty given the passion the movie got so far)
December 9, 2022 at 3:36 am #1205184761Tbh I don’t know why people aren’t McDonagh in directing each year we get an European director with a top contender that is competitive in either directing or screenplay and they usually make it like the favourite, 1917 , dunkrik , promising young woman ..etc and that branch is very euro heavy so if he makes GG and BAFTA then he could get in
December 9, 2022 at 4:51 am #1205184802Tbh I don’t know why people aren’t McDonagh in directing each year we get an European director with a top contender that is competitive in either directing or screenplay and they usually make it like the favourite, 1917 , dunkrik , promising young woman ..etc and that branch is very euro heavy so if he makes GG and BAFTA then he could get in
I’m still burned from 2018 … I won’t get my hopes up too high unless he literally gets in everywhere.
For Your Consideration:
The Banshees of Inisherin in ALL categories, including:
- Best Picture
- Best Director
- Best Actor (Colin Farrell)
- Best Supporting Actor (Brendan Gleeson)
- Best Supporting Actor (Barry Keoghan)
- Best Supporting Actress (Kerry Condon)
- Best Supporting Actress (Sheila Flitton)
- Best Original ScreenplayLetterboxd: Ray_In_Bruges
December 9, 2022 at 5:02 am #1205184813So, early 2024 prediction. Super Mario Bros movie gets nominated for Animated film.
December 9, 2022 at 5:25 am #1205184829How many films did you spot? I usually finds Google’s round-up very telling of what made the most buzz in the year. I saw Top Gun, Everything Everywhere All At Once, Turning Red, and RRR (that theater celebration..wow!). Could be telling.
And of course, Queen Youn giving Troy the Oscar and Queen Sheryl Lee Ralph’s speech
Why are you reporting this post? (optional):Not now
The topic ‘2023 Oscars: Best Picture and Director (Part 7)’ is closed to new replies.